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China Braces for Economic Growth to Fall Below 6%
October 20, 2019--PBOC's Yi stressed importance of stable debt at IMF meetings
Top Party officials to meet in October on long-term policies.
China's policy makers are preparing for two key meetings in the coming weeks with fresh evidence that sooner rather than later, the number for gross domestic product growth will start with a 5.
Data released Friday showed an economy expanding at just 6.0%, the slowest in almost three decades,and with broad investment growth too tepid to rely on an upturn down the road.
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Source: Bloomberg
World Bank-Growth in South Asia Slows Down, Rebound Uncertain
October 13, 2019--In line with a global downward trend, growth in South Asia is projected to slow to 5.9 percent in 2019, down 1.1 percentage points from April 2019 estimates, casting uncertainty about a rebound in the short term, says the World Bank in its twice-a-year regional economic update.
The latest edition of the South Asia Economic Focus, Making (De)centralization Work, finds that strong domestic demand, which propped high growth in the past, has weakened, driving a slowdown across the region. Imports have declined severely across South Asia, contracting between 15 and 20 percent in Pakistan and Sri Lanka. In India, domestic demand has slipped, with private consumption growing 3.1 percent in the last quarter from 7.3 percent a year ago, while manufacturing growth plummeted to below 1 percent in the second quarter of 2019 compared to over 10 percent a year ago.
view the World Bank South Asia Economic Focus, Fall 2019: Making (De)centralization Work
Source: World Bank
East Asia and Pacific: Growth Slows as Trade Tensions and Global Uncertainties Intensify
October 10, 2019--Growth in developing East Asian and Pacific economies is expected to slow from 6.3 percent in 2018 to 5.8 percent in 2019 and to 5.7 and 5.6 percent in 2020 and 2021, respectively, reflecting a broad-based decline in export growth and manufacturing activity.
Weakening global demand, including from China, and heightened uncertainty around ongoing US-China trade tensions has led to a decline in exports and investment growth, testing the resilience of the region, according to Weathering Growing Risks, the October 2019 edition of the World Bank’s East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, released today.
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Source: World Bank
China and Japan link up with 'feeder' ETFs
October 7, 2019--Scheme intended to make cross-border equities investment cheap and efficient
Exchange traded funds might sound like an unlikely way to improve harmony between rival nations but China and Japan have agreed to co-operate on a new ETF scheme designed to strengthen the links between both countries' capital markets.
The China-Japan ETF Connectivity Scheme was launched at twin ceremonies in June by senior executives from the Shanghai and Tokyo stock exchanges, marking the culmination of 10 months of discussions.
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Source: FT.com
Indonesia: Bold Reforms Needed to Realize Urban Potential
October 3, 2019--Report looks at how Indonesia's cities can deliver on prosperity, inclusiveness, livability
Urbanization has the potential to be a major driver of prosperity and inclusiveness in Indonesia, but fully realizing this potential requires bold institutional reforms, according to a World Bank report launched today. Indonesian cities need improved management and more adequate financing.
This translates into expanding options for financing infrastructure and basic services, improving coordination among different levels and sectors of government and within metropolitan areas, and building capacity in local governments to better plan and implement urban development.
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Source: World Bank
Southbound flows rescuing Hong Kong equity market
October 2, 2019--China seems to be coming to the rescue as social unrest affects the city's financial market, but it's probably only for arbitrage reasons
Although 2019 has been an annus horribilis for Hong Kong, Chinese investors have actually increased their inflows toward the Hang Seng Index.
In particular, Hong Kong has experienced the longest consecutive period of net southbound inflows into the equity market from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets (37 days until September 11). Such behavior may look strange, which explains why some analysts have been wondering whether such a move was engineered by the central government as a way to cushion the negative impact of Hong Kong's social unrest on the city's financial market.
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Source: bruegel.org
China Misses Out on Entering FTSE Russell Global Bond Index
September 26, 2019--Decision contrasts with Bloomberg Barclays, JPMorgan approvals
Some investors have cited concerns about hedging, access
China failed to win inclusion into one of the world's benchmark bond indexes, as FTSE Russell opted not to follow two competitors in adding the country's domestic debt.
China will remain on the FTSE watchlist, according to a statement Thursday that showed the firm demurred on including it in its flagship World Government Bond Index.
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Source: bloomberg.com
China's shadow banking industry roars back
September 24, 2019--Regulators have eased deleveraging efforts to help boost economic growth
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Source: FT.com
When the Night Lights Go On in Asia
September 24, 2019--It is often said that a picture is worth a thousand words. The value of a picture taken from space is a new metric we can use to measure economic growth and activity.
The past decade has seen a dramatic increase in economists' use of satellite images of the earth at night. These "night lights", as they are called, help study a wide variety of topics, ranging from growth and development to poverty and inequality, particularly in places where economic data are scarce and unreliable. Night lights reveal both the remote corners of our world in new detail and how they change over time.
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Source: IMF
The tricky link between the Hong Kong dollar and capital flows
September 13, 2019--The Hong Kong economy has been hit by a series of shocks, but it should resist taking drastic measures to keep foreign capital in the city.
Hong Kong is a very special financial centre. First, it is highly dependent on Chinese financial intermediaries and corporates. Second, its currency is pegged to the US dollar through one of the tightest monetary arrangements, namely a currency board.
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Source: bruegel.org
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