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Winthrop-Investment Perspective - Eurozone 2016 Economic & Capital Market Outlook
December 11, 2015--Six years after the financial crisis, the Eurozone continues to face major challenges in restoring economic growth. Our
investment thesis has been that the structural problems facing the European Union are real impediments to sustained
economic growth and until they are addressed, sustained growth is elusive.
While that does not mean that there are
not investment opportunities in Europe, it does mean that as one of three major capital markets in the world, investors need to be careful. For 2016 we expect lower oil prices and quantitative easing will help support GDP growth. In spite of the improvement in our near term outlook, we expect economic growth will still be limited to 1.5% on average through 2018.
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Source: Winthrop Capital Management
Draft implementing technical standards under MiFID II
December 11, 2015--Summary
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is required by Directive 2014/65/EU and Regulation (EU) No 600/2014 (MiFID II and MiFIR) to develop a multitude of Regulatory Technical Standards (RTS) and Implementing Technical Standards (ITS).
With this report ESMA publishes its final proposals for a total of 8 draft technical standards.
view the Final Report
Draft implementing technical standards under MiFID II
Source: ESMA
Counting the cost of EU regulation for commodity firms
December 11, 2015--European officials may back a one-year delay to January 2018 for introducing landmark reform of EU financial markets.
The European Commission said a delay is needed as regulators are not ready for an original January 2017 start for the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II).
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Source: Reuters
Vanguard moves into smart beta with actively managed factor ETFs
December 10, 2015--Vanguard, the world's second largest exchange-traded fund provider, has expanded its low-cost ETF range with the launch of its first active ETFs on the London Stock Exchange.
The funds are designed to provide broad, globally diversified equity exposure with tilts to investment factors including value, momentum, volatility and liquidity.
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Source: etfstrategy.co.uk
DB-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy-Europe-European Monthly-ETF Market Review
Strong Equity Inflows where Foreign
Equities Benefit
Data in this report is as of 30th November 2015
December 10, 2015--European ETP Highlights
As of the end of November 2015, Global ETPs assets stood at $2.9 trillion with European ETP assets at $505bn (€478bn). European ETPs continued its positive trend and ended the month with net inflows of +€3.1bn in November (+€6.2bn in the prev. month and +€65bn YTD). Equity ETFs led the charge with notable inflows of +€2.5bn followed by Fixed Income ETFs (+€0.5bn) and Commodity ETPs (+€0.2bn). Global ETPs flows totalled +$25.7bn for November taking YTD total to over +$300bn.
This was led by US ETPs recording +$26bn in monthly inflows with YTD flows nearing +$200bn.
November saw significant number of new launches and 2 new providers
During November, European ETP market welcomed 48 new launches and 2 new Providers (BMO Global Asset Management and Sun Global Investments). The majority of the new launches were by ETF Securities (24 launches) introducing leveraged products on commodities and currencies.
US, Japan and Global focused ETFs benefitted from inflows, Broad European equities experienced net outflows
Majority of the inflows into equity ETFs in Europe were channeled into equities outside of Europe. US equities in particular were favoured by European investors where we observed inflows of +€0.6bn during November. Japan equities and global benchmarks such as MSCI World also benefitted. Our analysis suggests that both segments received net inflows of +€0.4bn each. However, in November, the broad European equities segment had a reversal where we observed monthly outflows of -€0.3bn.
Real Estate and Dividend ETFs drew interest in November
Sector wise, during November, we found that European investors showed interest in real estate (+€0.4bn) and dividend ETFs (+€0.3bn). The low interest rates environment has lead investors into higher-yielding products such as dividend ETFs which has accumulated +€2bn YTD.
Corporate Bonds registered inflows while Sovereign lags
Within fixed income, corporate bonds led the flows attracting +€1.7bn over the last month (+€13.1bn YTD) while sovereign bonds reversed the previous month’s trend and recorded outflows of -€1.3bn in November (+€2bn in October & +€8.7bn YTD).
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Source: Deutsche Bank Markets Research-Europe-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy
Borsa Italiana: ETFstat November 2015
December 10, 2015--New Listing
64 new instruments were listed on ETFplus market
At the end of November there were listed 1103 instruments (705 ETFs, 298 ETCs/ETNs and 100 open-end CIUs)
AUM
At the end of November, the Asset Under Management (AUM) deposited in Italy reaches €49.69bn (45.16bn for ETFs, 4.48bn for ETCs/ETNs and 0.05bn for open-end CIUs) with a grow of 34.83%compared to November 2014
Trading
350,883 trades registered during November 2015 with a grow of 30.39% vs 2014
view the ETF Monitor
Source: Borsa Italiana
LSE December 2015 ETF & ETP Monthly Report
December 10, 2015--Listings
46 new ETFs/ETPs were listed on London Stock Exchange last month, making November 2015 the second strongest month for listing activity since 2011. Year to Date 152 ETFs and 55 ETPs have listed.
On 19 November 2015, ZyFin listed the first ever Indian fixed income ETF, providing exposure to Indian public sector corporate bonds, including Indian Railways, Power Finance Corporation and Rural Electrification Corporation of India.
BMO was another of our new ETF issuers, who for the first time listed ETFs in Europe. They listed 4 fixed income ETFs and 5 equity based ETFs.
WisdomTree listed 5 new ETFs on our London market, including the WisdomTree Germany Equity UCITS ETF, the WisdomTree Europe Equity UCITS ETF and the WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF.
ETF Securities launched 24 new ETPs, 18 commodity based ETPs tracking commodities including natural gas, copper, gold and silver and 6 short/leveraged ETPs, tracking EUR, GBP and USD.
iShares listed 5 new equity ETFs, providing exposure to S&P 500 sectors, including Financial, Health Care, Energy, Consumer Discretionary and Information Technology sectors.
There are now 861 ETFs (available as 1,290 lines through multi-currency offerings) and 404 ETCs/ETNs (available as 455 lines) on our London market.
Trading activity
Total on-exchange value traded for ETFs in November 2015 was €16.9 billion (196,000 trades), up by 6% compared to last year.
Total on-exchange value traded for other ETPs (ETCs and ETNs) in November 2015 was €1.6 billion (35,000 trades), down by 19% compared to last year.
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Source: London Stock Exchange Group
ETFs/ETPs listed in Europe have gathered a record 72.6 billion US dollars in net new assets this year as of the end of November 2015, according to ETFGI
December 10, 2015--ETFs/ETPs listed in Europe have gathered a record US$72.6 billion in net new assets as of the end of November 2015 which is 18% above the record level of US$61.5 billion of net new assets gathered at this point in 2014.
This marks the 14th consecutive month of positive net inflows. The European ETF/ETP industry had 2,198 ETFs/ETPs, with 6,714 listings, assets of US$503.5 Bn, from 51 providers listed on 25 exchanges in 21 countries at the end of November, according to ETFGI's Global ETF and ETP insights report for November 2015
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Source: ETFGI
Vanguard mounts new European challenge with low-fee funds
December 9, 2015--Vanguard, the world's fastest-growing fund manager over the past three years, is planning a fresh assault on Europe with low-cost funds that could undercut fees for UK and European asset managers.
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Source: FT.com
Northern Trust Monthly Funds Market Review
December 9, 2015--Value of UK Authorised Contractual Scheme funds expected to rise sharply
Private equity transparency guidelines published
Northern Trust acquires Aviate Global
This month's highlights include:
Survey: value of UK Authorised Contractual Scheme funds expected to rise sharply
Appetite for money markets remains strong despite reforms, study suggests
Private equity: new transparency guidelines published
Northern Trust acquires Aviate Global, boosts global brokerage and transition management capabilities
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Source: Northern Trust
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