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Trade Effects of the New Silk Road: A Gravity Analysis
January 10, 2019--This paper takes a first look at the trade effects of China's Belt and Road Initiative, also referred to as the New Silk Road, on the 71 countries potentially involved. The initiative consists of several infrastructure investment projects to improve the land and maritime transportation in the Belt and Road Initiative region.
The analysis first uses geo-referenced data and geographical information system analysis to compute the bilateral time to trade before and after the Belt and Road Initiative. Then, it estimates the effect of improvement in bilateral time to trade on bilateral export values and trade patterns, using a gravity model and a comparative advantage model. Finally, the analysis combines the estimates from the regression analysis with the results of the geographical information system analysis to quantify the potential trade effects of the Belt and Road Initiative. The paper finds that (i) the Belt and Road Initiative increases trade flows among participating countries by up to 4.1 percent; (ii) these effects would be three times as large on average if trade reforms complemented the upgrading in transport infrastructure; and (iii) products that use time sensitive inputs and countries that are highly exposed to the new infrastructure and integrated in global value chains have larger trade gains.
view the World Bank Trade Effects of the New Silk Road A Gravity Analysis
Source: World Bank
A Closer Look At the World Bank's Sizable China Portfolio
January 10, 2019--China continues to borrow an average of $2 billion a year from the World Bank, making it one of the Bank's top borrowers--despite being the world's second-largest economy and itself a major global lender, according to our study released today
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Source: World Bank
SGX reports market statistics for December 2018
January 9, 2019--Market turnover of securities products increases 22% in 2018 to S$23.5 billion
Derivatives volume rises to record 217.4 million in 2018, up 22%
Securities
Total Securities market turnover value was at S$16.7 billion, down 22% month-on-month (m-o-m) and down 13% year-on-year (y-o-y), over 20 trading days.
There were 21 trading days in November 2018 and 20 in December 2017.
Securities daily average value (SDAV) was S$837 million, down 19% m-o-m and down 13% y-o-y.
Market turnover value of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) was S$227 million, up 55% m-o-m and up 14% y-o-y.
Market turnover value of structured warrants and Daily Leveraged Certificates (DLCs) was S$988 million, down 51% m-o-m and up 10% y-o-y.
There were 2 Catalist listings during the month, raising S$15.2 million.
The report builds on in-depth consumer surveys conducted across 5,100 households in 30 cities and town in India and draws from over 40 in-depth interviews with private and public-sector leaders. It lays out seven critical predictions on a vision for consumption in India in 2030 and lays out a call-to-action for multi-stakeholder collaborations to build an inclusive future for India. view the World Economic Forum report-Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets: India China stock market is WORST-PERFORMING of 2018 as US trade war takes toll view more India pips China in FDI inflows for the first time in 20 years view more 1st Asset Backed Securities Product with Trust Company as Manager Issued on SSE
The expansion of the manager scope of asset backed programs to trust companies is a key measure of implementing the policies of strengthening the financial regulatory system reform and the financial regulatory coordination by the Party Central Committee and the State Council, which aims to further intensify regulatory coordination, promote a fair and orderly market competition, increase market vitality and improve the capacity of serving the real economy. view more East Asia Must Clear Hurdles to Sustain Growth
The region's sustained growth means more than 1 billion of its people moved out of extreme poverty and, as a result, nearly two-thirds of developing East Asia's population can now be considered economically secure or middle-income earners. view more ETFGI reports assets invested in the Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) ETFs and ETPs industry reach a new high of US$191 Bn at the end of November 2018
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Source: World Economic Forum
December 31, 2018--CHINA has emerged as the biggest loser among global markets for 2018 with Chinese stocks ending the year as the worst performing.
Chinese stocks have been rattled this year by ongoing trade war tensions with the United States and anxieties surrounding an economic slowdown, with the Shanghai Composite Index ending the trading year down almost 25 percent.
Source: express.co.uk
December 28, 2019--From Walmart to Schneider Electric and Unilever on the one side and TPG Capital or KKR on the other, a tide of global capital is flooding into India from strategic investors to financial sponsors and consequently changing the pecking order of mega M&A sweepstakes in the prized market of Asia.
For the first time in two decades, India has been getting more foreign investment than its neighbour China. In 2018, India saw more than $38 billion of inbound deals compared with China's $32...
Source: economictimes.indiatimes.com
December 27, 2019--On December 27, "Huaneng Trust-Kaiyuan-Shimao Housing Rental Asset Backed Securities", the 1st asset backed securities product with a trust company as the manager, is successfully issued on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), which symbolizes the further expansion of the participants of the asset securitization business.
It will help to improve the diversity of the asset securitization products and further enhance the asset securitization business' capacity of serving the real economy.
Source: Shanghai Stock Exchange
December 27, 2018--In the past half-century, East Asia has made extraordinary progress in sustaining economic growth and improving living standards. Some of the region's developing economies are now middle-income countries and have collectively grown more than three-fold.
Some of the economies that moved up from low-to middle-income status in the past quarter-century can realistically aspire to high-income status in the space of the next generation.
Source: World Bank
December 27, 2018--ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm covering trends in the global ETF/ETP ecosystem, reported today that ETFs and ETPs listed in The Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) gathered net inflows of US$6.17 Bn during November.
Total assets invested in the Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) ETF and ETP industry increased 5.69% during November, from US$181 Bn at the end of September, to US$191 Bn, according to ETFGI's November 2018 Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) ETF and ETP industry landscape insights report, an annual paid-for research subscription service. (All dollar values in USD unless otherwise noted.)
Total Assets in ETFs and ETPs listed in the Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) increased 5.69% to record high of $191 Bn in November.
Source: ETFGI
