Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising Risks
you are currently viewing:Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising RisksApril 15, 2026-Global public debt rose to just under 94 percent of GDP in 2025 and is set to reach 100 percent by 2029- one year earlier than projected in April 2025. This accumulation is driven largely by the world's major economies. Public finances are under strain from mounting spending pressures-on social needs- defense- and strategic autonomy-and rising interest burdens. Global headline inflation is projected to rise modestly in 2026 before resuming its decline in 2027. Slowdown in growth and increase in inflation are expected to be particularly pronounced in emerging market and developing economies. Downside risks dominate the outlook. A longer or broader conflict, worsening geopolitical fragmentation, a reassessment of expectations surrounding artificial-intelligence-driven productivity, or renewed trade tensions could significantly weaken growth and destabilize financial markets. Elevated public debt and eroding institutional credibility further heighten vulnerabilities. At the same time, activity could be lifted if productivity gains from AI materialize more rapidly or trade tensions ease on a sustained basis. Source: imf.org |
March 10, 2026-Women now make up a majority of master's and doctoral graduates across OECD countries, yet they remain underrepresented across research and development (R&D) activities, particularly in the business sector. Despite substantial policy efforts, OECD analysis shows persistent gaps between men and women in research career pathways, employment conditions and international mobility.
March 4, 2026--Spam and robocalls cost Americans over $32 billion annually, junk fees cost consumers $90 billion annually, and health care headaches cost $41 billion.
Groundwork Collaborative recently published Taking on the Annoyance Economy, which totals the cost of the Annoyance Economy at $165 billion in wasted time and effort.
February 27, 2026--Several Nordic countries rank among both the richest and happiest in the world.
Some ultra-wealthy nations, including Singapore and Qatar, do not make the top 20 for happiness.
Only a handful of countries appear near the top of both rankings.
February 26, 2026--Transition finance that enables the economy and finance to move towards Net Zero and other sustainability-related goals is a significant opportunity for businesses and investors.
Global climate finance, which supports activities that are already green, reached $1.9 tr in 2023 and is estimated to have exceeded $2 tr in 2024.
February 25, 2026--Global value chains are the backbone of the world economy,even at a time when they are undergoing structural and policy-driven changes in the face of a rapidly changing global environment.
Over the past two decades,international production networks have been tested in various ways - by the COVID-19 pandemic, by intensifying geopolitical frictions,by financial shocks and by accelerating climate challenges.
February 24, 2026--Only 4% of women worldwide live in economies that provide nearly full legal equality
Laws designed to ensure equal economic opportunities for women are only half-enforced on average across the world, indicating that the barriers that keep women from contributing fully to growth and prosperity are far steeper than previously thought, according to a new report from the World Bank Group.
February 20, 2026--19 U.S. states rank among the world's 50 largest economies in 2025.
California ($4.30T) is now the world's 4th-largest economy, ahead of Japan and India.
Texas ($2.94T) is larger than Italy and Russia; Florida's economy is bigger than Australia's.
February 19, 2026-Professions threatened by technology have proven surprisingly resilient throughout history.
That's worth recognizing as artificial intelligence assumes more tasks, though this particular story won't necessarily end well for everyone.
Ramon Novarro was very good at one thing. Or so it seemed.
February 19, 2026-Key Takeaways
Stocks had the best returns, turning $100 into $43k-roughly 29x the return of cash and about 5x that of gold.
Real estate and government bonds beat cash, by a factor of 1.4x and 1.9x respectively.
February 14, 2026--Real estate performance has historically strengthened during periods of falling interest rates.
Lower rates reduce financing costs and improve real estate valuations, supporting returns.
With rate cuts expected into mid 2026, real estate could benefit from a renewed tailwind.