WEF-Chief Economists' Outlook: January 2026
you are currently viewing::WEF-Chief Economists' Outlook: January 2026January 16, 2026--The January 2026 Chief Economists Outlook opens on a cautiously brighter note than last year. Drawing on consultations and survey responses from the World Economic Forum's Community of Chief Economists, the report examines near-term economic prospects alongside deeper structural shifts shaping growth, policy and investment. While views for the year ahead remain tilted towards the negative, they have improved compared to late 2025. Amid stretched asset valuations, rising public debt and geopolitical tensions, uncertainty remains elevated. The outlook highlights divergent regional trajectories. Growth perspectives for the US are improving, driven by strong artificial intelligence-related investment. Europe confronts weak growth and geoeconomic challenges, while China navigates deflationary headwinds alongside a rebalancing of trade and consumption. South Asia stands out as the region with the strongest growth outlook among surveyed chief economists. This edition takes a closer look at debt pressures in advanced economies and emerging markets, as well as the uneven adoption of artificial intelligence and its implications for productivity and employment levels. Together, these dynamics point to a global economy that is undergoing profound transformation, requiring adaptive strategies from policy-makers and business leaders alike. Source: (WEF) World Economic Forum |
December 2, 2025-The value of global goods imports affected by new tariffs and other import measures increased more than fourfold from mid-October 2024 to mid-October 2025 compared to the prior 12-month period,marking the highest coverage in over 15 years of WTO trade monitoring,according to the WTO Director-General's latest annual overview of developments in the international trading environment.
November 28, 2025-Goods trade growth appears to have slowed in the second half of 2025 following a surge in the first half driven by frontloading of imports ahead of expected tariff hikes and by rising demand for AI-related products, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer.
November 28, 2025-The global economy faces three potential financial bubbles related to cryptocurrencies, artificial intelligence and debt.
All three are interconnected.
Bubbles tend to cause serious short-term pain when they burst-but they can also fundamentally reshape economies with lasting benefits.
It's not exactly reassuring when so many people start scanning the past for a read on what's happening in the present.