Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dips
you are currently viewing::Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dipsNovember 28, 2025-Goods trade growth appears to have slowed in the second half of 2025 following a surge in the first half driven by frontloading of imports ahead of expected tariff hikes and by rising demand for AI-related products, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer. The overall barometer index fell to 101.8 for the month of September, down from 102.2 in June and below the quarterly trade volume index representing actual merchandise trade developments through Q2. The barometer, which typically predicts trade developments two to three months ahead, also remains above its baseline value of 100, which suggests that trade volume is likely to grow more slowly in the fourth quarter but remain above trend. The Goods Trade Barometer is a composite leading indicator for world trade, providing real-time information on the trajectory of merchandise trade relative to recent trends. Barometer values greater than 100 are associated with above-trend trade volumes while barometer values less than 100 suggest that goods trade has either fallen below trend or will do so soon.view filing Source: World Trade Organization (WTO) |
October 27, 2026-84% of investors* plan to increase their private market investments within the next two years
Private equity and private credit rank highest in asset class strategies for growth
66% prefer to deploy capital for four to six years, underscoring preference for greater liquidity and access to capital
October 23, 2026-How the World's $128 Trillion Economy Breaks Down
Key Takeaways
The global economy is projected to surpass $128 trillion by the end of 2026, up roughly $20 trillion from 2023.
The United States ($32.64 trillion) and China ($21.55 trillion) together account for more than 42% of global economic output.
October 22, 2026-More than 80% of asset owners and asset managers expect sustainable allocations to increase over the next two years, but at a lower pace than 2025
Top drivers include growth opportunities and rising materiality of sustainability risks, with data availability the leading concern
October 22, 2026-TRON reinforced its position as a leading blockchain network for stablecoin settlement in the third quarter of 2026, with trillions in transaction volume, record USDT supply, growing payment card adoption, and the debut of the first U.S. spot staked TRX exchange-traded fund (ETF), according to independent research reports from CoinDesk Data and Nansen.
October 21, 2026-Eligible clients can authorize connected AI to monitor 75,000+ listed stocks, options and ETFs worldwide and submit supported trades on their behalf based on criteria they define
October 14, 2026-Solactive is strengthening its international leadership with two new Regional Heads. Blair Abbott joined the company as Head of the Americas on 1st October 2026, and Michael Nuske has been appointed Head of APAC. With dedicated leadership in each region, Solactive will work even more closely with clients and drive further growth in both markets.
October 12, 2026-Growth has endured so far, but rising inflation and narrowing buffers demand policy action now
Global economic activity has proven resilient once again. The technology upturn, buffers, and adaptations have helped mitigate the damage from geopolitics-driven disruptions. Global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2026 and rebound to 3.4 percent in 2027.
October 8, 2026--Global trade proved more resilient than expected in the first half of 2026 despite the disruption caused by the Middle East conflict, as supply chains adapted and strong investment in artificial intelligence provided a powerful boost to goods trade. However, the resilience was not uniform, with services trade and some regions more exposed to the effects of the conflict.
October 6, 2026-Countries should better monitor hedge fund leverage and interconnectedness, and policy measures should be calibrated to the source of risk
Hedge funds have become increasingly important participants in financial markets, even though they still represent a relatively small share of the nonbank financial sector.
October 2, 2026--Growth and job creation have continued at a steady pace across the Western Hemisphere despite a series of global shocks. External tailwinds-including strong US demand, high commodity prices, supportive financial conditions, and robust tourism and remittances-have helped sustain activity across much of the region, offsetting drags from tariffs, trade uncertainty, and changes in immigration policies.