Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dips
you are currently viewing::Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dipsNovember 28, 2025-Goods trade growth appears to have slowed in the second half of 2025 following a surge in the first half driven by frontloading of imports ahead of expected tariff hikes and by rising demand for AI-related products, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer. The overall barometer index fell to 101.8 for the month of September, down from 102.2 in June and below the quarterly trade volume index representing actual merchandise trade developments through Q2. The barometer, which typically predicts trade developments two to three months ahead, also remains above its baseline value of 100, which suggests that trade volume is likely to grow more slowly in the fourth quarter but remain above trend. The Goods Trade Barometer is a composite leading indicator for world trade, providing real-time information on the trajectory of merchandise trade relative to recent trends. Barometer values greater than 100 are associated with above-trend trade volumes while barometer values less than 100 suggest that goods trade has either fallen below trend or will do so soon.view filing Source: World Trade Organization (WTO) |
October 1, 2026--Governments deployed a wide range of measures as the energy shock unfolded, reflecting different domestic economic conditions. Targeting remains essential.
Countries' responses to the energy shock triggered by the Middle East war varied significantly-and evolved as the shock persisted.
September 30, 2026-Tokenized real-world assets reach $34.5 billion, but most tokenized cash never trades, and onchain stock investors are choosing single names over funds
September 23, 2026--Global growth eased in the first half of 2026 but proved more resilient than anticipated. The economic fallout from the Middle East conflict was contained by substantial oil inventories, additional supply from outside the Gulf region and government support measures. Continued strength in AI-related investment also helped sustain production, trade and growth.
September 17, 2026-ETFGI, reported today that Global ETF Assets top US$24 Trillion for the first time as investors add nearly US$2 Trillion in 2026.
September 15, 2026-The 2026 edition of the World Trade Report-issued on 15 September-finds that a strengthened multilateral trading system could increase global GDP by roughly 3% or USD 3 trillion by 2050, while inaction to modernize the trading system could reduce global output by up to 10%. The flagship publication of the WTO Secretariat, examining what the multilateral trading system has delivered over 80 years and where it is facing challenges, offers evidence relevant to ongoing efforts to keep trade rules fit for purpose.