Global ETF News Older than One Year
OECD-States of Fragility 2025
February 18, 2025-States of Fragility 2025 considers a world of shifting power dynamics, where the most severe impacts of crisis, conflict and instability converge in the 61 contexts identified with high and extreme fragility. Multidimensional fragility lies at the core of the geopolitical shifts that are disrupting decades long global power equilibria, creating challenges and opportunities that require deep reflection and rapid adaptation across humanitarian, development and peace communities.
The report analyses the state of fragility in 2025, how it shapes global structural trends, current responses to it, and how it is perceived and tackled by the people most exposed to its impact: the 2 billion people in contexts with high and extreme fragility that account for 25% of the world’s population but 72% of the world’s extreme poor. Maintaining a focus on the furthest behind is more critical than ever for development partners, as a global good and a geostrategic necessity.
Fragility is the combination of exposure to risk and the insufficient resilience of a state, system and/or community to manage, absorb or mitigate those risks. The OECD multidimensional fragility framework assesses fragility based on 56 indicators of risk and resilience across six dimensions: economic, environmental, political, security, societal and human. This provides the analytical foundation for the States of Fragility report series and online platform.
Source: oecd.org
ETFGI reports assets invested in the global ETFs industry surpassed the hedge fund industry by US$10.33 trillion at the end of 2024
February 17, 2025-ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm renowned for its expertise in subscription research, consulting services, events, and ETF TV on global ETF industry trends, reported today that assets invested in the global ETFs industry surpassed the hedge fund industry by US$10.33 trillion at the end of 2024. (All dollar values in USD unless otherwise noted.)
Highlights
Assets invested in the global ETFs industry surpassed the hedge fund industry by US$10.33 trillion at the end of 2024
The global hedge fund industry gathered net outflows of $12.6 billion during Q4 2024 while ETFs/ETPs gathered net inflows of $639.06 billion.
The HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index was up 1.42%, while the S&P 500 Index with dividends has increased 2.41% in Q4 2024.
Source: ETFGI
Global Economy Stabilizes, But Developing Economies Face Tougher Slog
February 16, 2025--Global Economy Stabilizes, But Developing Economies Face Tougher Slog
Long-Term Growth Outlook is Weakest Since Start of the Century
Developing economies-which fuel 60 percent of global growth-are projected to finish the first quarter of the 21st century with the weakest long-term growth outlook since 2000, according to the World Bank's latest Global Economic Prospects report.
Even as the global economy stabilizes in the next two years, developing economies are expected to make slower progress in catching up with the income levels of advanced economies.
The global economy is projected to expand by 2.7% in both 2025 and 2026, the same pace as in 2024, as inflation and interest rates decline gradually. Growth in developing economies is also expected to hold steady at about 4% over the next two years. This, however, would be a weaker performance than before the pandemic-and insufficient to foster the progress necessary to alleviate poverty and achieve wider development goals.
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Source: worldbank.org
Rising Rates May Trigger Financial Instability, Complicating Fight Against Inflation
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank and other US lenders in early 2023 appeared to validate these fears. Our new research on the relationship between inflation and bank profitability helps us make sense of these concerns. Most banks are largely insulated from shifts in inflation-the exposure of income and expenses tend to offset each other. Yet some have significant inflation exposures, which may lead to financial instability if concentrated losses lead to wider panics in the banking sector. As several major central banks are reassessing their monetary policy frameworks in the aftermath of the post-pandemic inflation surge, a deeper understanding of the links between inflation and bank profitability can help design better monetary policy frameworks.
Source: IMF.org
Bybit and Block Scholes Report: Timing Altcoin Season in a Sea of Uncertainty
Traders counting on capital flows from mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH to altcoins are betting on spurs of explosive growth-often surging by 6x to 7x in market cap, but many are finding their patience tested.
Source: Bybit
Trade Watch-Trade Expands Amid Expectations of Higher Tariffs
A measure of stress in global supply chains rose in December to the highest level since March 2022, driven by the extended rerouting of vessels around the Cape of Good Hope and the increase in trade volumes. Freight rates rose at a slower pace and remained 40 percent above the level of a year earlier. view more/a>
Source: worldbank.org
As One Cycle Ends, Another Begins Amid Growing Divergence
This will help draw to a close the global disruptions of recent years, including the pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which precipitated the largest inflation surge in four decades. Though the global growth outlook is broadly unchanged from October, divergences across countries are widening. Among advanced economies, the United States is stronger than previously projected on continued strength in domestic demand. We have raised our growth projection for the US this year by 0.5 percentage point, to 2.7 percent.
Source: imf.org
Global Risks Report 2025
Declining optimism
As we enter 2025, the global outlook is increasingly fractured across geopolitical, environmental, societal, economic and technological domains.
Over the last year we have witnessed the expansion and escalation of conflicts, a multitude of extreme weather events amplified by climate change, widespread societal and political polarization, and continued technological advancements accelerating the spread of false or misleading information.
Optimism is limited as the danger of miscalculation or misjudgment by political and military actors is high. We seem to be living in one of the most divided times since the Cold War, and this is reflected in the results of the GRPS, which reveal a bleak outlook across all three time horizons – current, short-term and long-term.
Source: World Economic Forum (WEF)
WEF-These are the biggest risks we face now and in the next 10 years
As we leave 2024 behind, a complex "super election" year that tested just about every global system, it's likely with trepidation all leaders are asking: what can we expect in 2025 and beyond?
In this year's World Economic Forum Global Risks Report, based on the annual Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS), the answer is particularly sobering. "Bleak" is the umbrella adjective describing the overall state of things in its current, 2-year and 10-year outlook prediction ranges.
Source: WEF (World Economic Forum)
New WFE Research quantifies the impact of stock exchanges on economic growth
Key findings
Short term analysis:
There is a two-way influence between economic output growth and the stock market capitalisation in the short term, but only for high-income countries.
Low and middle-income countries experience a unidirectional relationship in the short term, where stock market capitalisation positively impacts economic growth, but not vice versa.
This means that low and middle-income country exchanges aren’t seeing a positive impact on their market capitalisation as a result of economic growth, though higher market capitalisation leads to higher economic growth.
Source: WFE (World Federation of Exchanges)
February 13, 2025-Banking systems are largely insulated from inflation, but vulnerabilities at some banks could lead to tradeoffs between containing inflation and protecting financial stability
Before the pandemic, investors worried about how persistently low inflation and interest rates would crimp bank profits. Paradoxically, they also worried about bank profitability when post-COVID reopening sent inflation and central bank interest rates soaring.
February 12, 2025--Bybit, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, spotlights altcoins in a report jointly released with Block Scholes, offering insights on factors that may have delayed the arrival of an altcoin boom. Titled "Altcoin Rotation-Why Altseason Hasn't Come This Time?", the report maps out consistent patterns and examines broader market dynamics to decipher signals of the next altseason, contributing to analysis on why traditional altcoin behavior has deviated in the current cycle.
January 29, 2025--Global goods trade accelerated in the five months from July through November amid strong US economic growth and a spurt in demand fueled by expectations of higher import tariffs.
Trade in services, which is reported with a lag, expanded further in the July to September period, and international tourist arrivals recovered to exceed pre-pandemic levels in the fourth quarter of 2024.
January 17, 2025--Growth divergences persist and could widen, while policy shifts may reignite inflation pressures in some countries
We project global growth will remain steady at 3.3 percent this year and next, broadly aligned with potential growth that has substantially weakened since before the pandemic. Inflation is declining, to 4.2 percent this year and 3.5 percent next year, in a return to central bank targets that will allow further normalization of monetary policy.
January 15, 2025--The 20th edition of the Global Risks Report 2025 reveals an increasingly fractured global landscape, where escalating geopolitical, environmental, societal and technological challenges threaten stability and progress.
Key findings of the report, in which we compare the risk outlooks across the three time horizons.
January 15, 2025--After a challenging "super election" year in 2024, leaders face uncertainty about what lies ahead in 2025 and into the future.
The World Economic Forum's latest Global Risks Report reveals a significant carryover of 2024's key concerns while highlighting some new and notable shifts in risk perception.
The report sets the agenda for discussions at the Forum's Annual Meeting in Davos, this year convening under the title, Collaboration for the Intelligent Age.
January 6, 2025--The World Federation of Exchanges, the global industry association for exchanges and CCPs (The WFE), has published new research which analyses the link between stock market development and economic growth on a global scale.
The research analysed quarterly data from 36 countries over two decades (2003-2022).
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