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ESMA explores risk exposures to real estate in EU securities markets and investment funds

January 10, 2024--The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU's financial markets regulator and supervisor, is publishing its first analysis of the exposures the EU securities and markets and asset management sector have to real estate.
The analysis suggests that:
Debt levels in the real estate sector are elevated with wider risk implications from non-bank financial market players.

Interlinkages with the banking system are important and arise through entity exposures and activities. Through these, sector shocks may get transmitted across the EU financial system.

Going forward, interest rate risk can be expected to continue to shape real estate market exposures. Credit risk indicators for real estate companies have started to show signs of deterioration and liquidity mismatches remain a key vulnerability for real estate investment funds.

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Source: ESMA

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Euro area inflation rises less than expected in December

January 5, 2024--Eurozone inflation in December rose by 2.9% year-on-year, less than the 3% expected, ending a seven-month decline streak. Monthly, the inflation rate increased by 0.2%. Core inflation, excluding energy and food, hit 3.4%.

November's PPI fell by 0.3%, with a significant yearly drop of 8.8%.

Annual inflation in the Eurozone rose again in December after seven consecutive months of declines, albeit at a slower rate than anticipated.

According to the latest flash estimates released Friday by Eurostat, the harmonised consumer price index (HICP) in the Euro area recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.9% in December.

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Source: euronews.com

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ECB-Euro area bank interest rate statistics: November 2023

January 5, 2024--Composite cost-of-borrowing indicator for new loans to corporations decreased by 4 basis points to 5.23%; indicator for new loans to households for house purchase increased by 10 basis points to 4.01%, both driven by interest rate effect

Composite interest rate for new deposits with agreed maturity from corporations and for overnight deposits from corporations broadly unchanged at 3.71% and 0.83%, respectively

Composite interest rate for new deposits with agreed maturity from households increased by 6 basis points to 3.33%, driven by interest rate effect; interest rate for overnight deposits from households broadly unchanged at 0.36%

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Source: ECB

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UK official holdings of international reserves: December 2023

January 4, 2024--This release details movements in the international reserves of gold and assets held by the UK Government.
This monthly release shows details of movements in the UK's official holdings of international reserves, or assets.

These consist of gold, foreign currency assets and International Monetary Fund assets.

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Source: gov.uk

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UK investment fund launches plunge to 20-year low as investors turn to cash

January 3, 2023--The number of new UK investment funds has reached its lowest level in two decades, according to new data, as asset managers are squeezed by rising interest rates and the cost of living.

Figures from US financial services firm Morningstar, first reported by the Financial Times, showed 397 UK funds were launched in 2023, down a quarter from the year before and the lowest since the aftermath of the dotcom crash in 2003.

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Source: msn.com

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ECB-Monetary developments in the euro area: November 2023

January 2, 2023-- Annual growth rate of broad monetary aggregate M3 stood at -0.9% in November 2023, after -1.0% in October 2023
Annual growth rate of narrower monetary aggregate M1, comprising currency in circulation and overnight deposits, was -9.5% in November, compared with -10.0% in October
Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to households stood at 0.5% in November, compared with 0.6% in October

Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to non-financial corporations increased to 0.0% in November from -0.3% in October

Components of the broad monetary aggregate M3

The annual growth rate of the broad monetary aggregate M3 stood at -0.9% in November 2023, after -1.0% in October, averaging -1.0% in the three months up to November. The components of M3 showed the following developments. The annual growth rate of the narrower aggregate M1, which comprises currency in circulation and overnight deposits, was -9.5% in November, compared with -10.0% in October. The annual growth rate of short-term deposits other than overnight deposits (M2-M1) decreased to 20.8% in November from 21.4% in October. The annual growth rate of marketable instruments (M3-M2) decreased to 17.9% in November from 22.9% in October.

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Source: ECB

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Euro area monthly balance of payments: October 2023

December 20, 2023-- Current account recorded €34 billion surplus in October 2023, up from €31 billion in previous month
Current account surplus amounted to €218 billion (1.5% of euro area GDP) in the 12 months to October 2023, after a €56 billion deficit (0.4%) one year earlier

ESMA presents methodology for climate risk stress testing and analysis of the financial impact of greenwashing controversies

December 19, 2023--The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU's financial markets regulator and supervisor, today published two articles, one outlining an approach to modelling the impact of asset price shocks from adverse scenarios involving climate-related risks, the other exploring the use of ESG controversies for the purpose of monitoring greenwashing risk.

Risk article: Dynamic modelling of climate-related shocks in the fund sector

The article presents a methodological approach to modelling climate-related shocks in the fund sector, which includes dynamic impacts, such as inflows and outflows from investors and portfolio rebalancing by managers. The analysis focuses on the overall direction of these effects, finding that investor outflows can worsen falls in fund values following an initial shock.

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Source: ESMA

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The average cost of retail investment products declines but significant differences across EU Member States remain

December 18, 2023--The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU financial markets regulator and supervisor, today publishes its sixth market report on the costs and performance of EU retail investment products. In this annual report ESMA finds that the average costs of investing in key EU retail financial products has declined by the end of 2022. However, cost heterogeneity persisted across EU Member States.

The key findings in the report are:
UCITS Costs: Costs have declined, but investors should continue to consider fund fees carefully in their investment decisions. Despite costs of active equity funds decreasing, this category of funds remained more expensive than passive funds and ETFs, such that their net performance was on average lower in comparison.

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Source: ESMA

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Are new EU data market regulations coherent and efficient?

December 18, 2023--Technical restrictions on access to and re-use of data may result in failures in data markets and data-driven services markets. Th is paper examines three new EU data regulations (the European Health Data Space, the Data Act and the Digital Markets Act) that vary substantially in mandatory access measures intended to overcome these market failures.

It applies three economic criteria, economies of scope in re-use and in aggregation of data, and data supply-side failures, to assess the effi ciency of these regulations in overcoming market failures and coherence across regulations. Variations might be justified by particular sectoral market conditions.

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Source: bruegel.org

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