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Key factors likely to shape the EU's trade agenda in the next five-year term
May 2, 2024-Abstract
The landscape in which European Union trade policy operates has changed drastically in recent years. In addition to, and partly in competition with, its traditional objective of economic wellbeing, EU trade policy has become increasingly shaped by two other considerations: geopolitics and concerns over the resilience of supply chains, and climate change.
This briefing note examines the emergence of this new landscape, how it has already affected EU trade policy with measures to increase European economic security and complement the European Green Deal, how it might affect EU trade policy in the next five years, and how the new landscape has already impacted and might affect in future the multilateral trading system.
EU policymakers should be cautious about the economic and climate costs associated with geopolitical-driven policies, particularly in trade. The note ends with recommendations for EU trade policy, calling for a comprehensive assessment of costs in economic terms and climate objectives to safeguard living standards and maintain opportunities for international cooperation in the current context of heightened economic security concerns. Despite evident internal divisions over the EU's approach to multilateralism, finding a strategic balance between its traditional stance and fostering key trade partnerships is imperative.
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Source: bruegel.org
ESAs risk update: risks remain high in the EU financial system
April 30, 2024--The three European Supervisory Authorities (EBA, EIOPA and ESMA -the ESAs) today issued their Spring 2024 Joint Committee update on risks and vulnerabilities in the EU financial system. The risk update shows that risks remain elevated in a context of slowing growth, an uncertain interest rate environment and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
In recent months, financial markets have performed strongly in anticipation of potential interest rate cuts in 2024 in both the EU and the US, despite the significant uncertainty surrounding these. This strong performance entails elevated risks of market corrections linked to unexpected events. Credit risk is also expected to continue to increase as refinancing needs grow, particularly for high-yield debt and real estate. While asset quality has remained robust in the banking sector, it is expected to deteriorate as economic growth slows further. The real estate slowdown could also drive impairments at banks.
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Source: ESMA
ECB-Monetary developments in the euro area: March 2024
April 26, 2024-- Annual growth rate of broad monetary aggregate M3 increased to 0.9% in March 2024 from 0.4% in February
Annual growth rate of narrower monetary aggregate M1, comprising currency in circulation and overnight deposits, was -6.7% in March, compared with -7.8% in February
Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to households stood at 0.2% in March, compared with 0.3% in February
Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to non-financial corporations stood at 0.4% in March, compared with 0.3% in February
Components of the broad monetary aggregate M3
The annual growth rate of the broad monetary aggregate M3 increased to 0.9% in March 2024 from 0.4% in February, averaging 0.4% in the three months up to March. The components of M3 showed the following developments. The annual growth rate of the narrower aggregate M1, which comprises currency in circulation and overnight deposits, was-6.7% in March, compared with -7.8% in February. The annual growth rate of short-term deposits other than overnight deposits (M2-M1) decreased to 16.9% in March from 18.8% in February. The annual growth rate of marketable instruments (M3-M2) increased to 19.2% in March from 17.5% in February.
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Source: ECB.org
ECB-Monetary developments in the euro area: March 2024
April 26, 2024-- Annual growth rate of broad monetary aggregate M3 increased to 0.9% in March 2024 from 0.4% in February
Annual growth rate of narrower monetary aggregate M1, comprising currency in circulation and overnight deposits, was -6.7% in March, compared with -7.8% in February
Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to households stood at 0.2% in March, compared with 0.3% in February
Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to non-financial corporations stood at 0.4% in March, compared with 0.3% in February
Components of the broad monetary aggregate M3
The annual growth rate of the broad monetary aggregate M3 increased to 0.9% in March 2024 from 0.4% in February, averaging 0.4% in the three months up to March. The components of M3 showed the following developments. The annual growth rate of the narrower aggregate M1, which comprises currency in circulation and overnight deposits, was-6.7% in March, compared with -7.8% in February. The annual growth rate of short-term deposits other than overnight deposits (M2-M1) decreased to 16.9% in March from 18.8% in February. The annual growth rate of marketable instruments (M3-M2) increased to 19.2% in March from 17.5% in February.
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Source: ECB.org
ECB-Euro area economic and financial developments by institutional sector: fourth quarter of 2023
April 26, 2024--As of April 2024, ECB quarterly financial accounts provide new details on household holdings of investment fund shares/units broken down by underlying asset and counterpart sector. Notably, household exposure to rest of world assets is primarily through indirect holdings via investment fund shares
Euro area net saving increased to €833 billion in four quarters to fourth quarter of 2023, compared with €751 billion one quarter earlier
Household debt-to-income ratio decreased to 87.0% in fourth quarter of 2023 from 92.8% one year earlier
Non-financial corporations' debt-to-GDP ratio (consolidated measure) decreased to 67.1% in fourth quarter of 2023 from 71.6% one year earlier
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Source: ECB.org
New equity ETF from UBS on Xetra: access to companies in developed markets worldwide with currency hedging
April 25, 2024--A new exchange-traded fund issued by UBS Asset Management has been tradable on Xetra and Börse Frankfurt since Friday.
The UBS ETF (IE) MSCI World UCITS ETF (hedged to EUR) offers investors access to the performance of a broadly diversified portfolio of 1,465 companies from 23 developed markets worldwide. Currency fluctuations against the euro are hedged in this share class.
The benchmark index, MSCI World, reflects around 85 per cent of the global market capitalisation of developed markets. US companies are the most strongly represented at 71 per cent, followed by Japan at 6 per cent and the United Kingdom at 4 per cent. The most represented sectors include IT, finance and healthcare.
Name: UBS ETF (IE) MSCI World UCITS ETF (hedged to EUR) A-acc
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Source: Xetra
New commodity ETF from L & G on Xetra: access to the broad commodities sector via futures contracts excluding agriculture and livestock
April 25, 2024--Since Thursday, a new exchange-traded fund issued by Legal & General Investment Management has been tradable on Xetra and and Börse Frankfurt since Friday.
The L&G Multi-Strategy Enhanced Commodities ex-Agriculture & Livestock UCITS ETF offers investors access to the performance of a basket of commodities from the energy, industrial and precious metals sectors via futures contracts with different maturity dates. The agricultural and live cattle sector is not included.
The ETF is fully collateralised. As futures contracts have a limited maturity, they are usually closed before expiry and rolled over into a new contract with a later maturity. Depending on whether the futures contract purchased is cheaper or more expensive than the futures contract sold, roll gains or roll losses are realised.
Name: L&G Multi-Strategy Enhanced Commodities ex-Agriculture & Livestock UCITS ETF
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Source: Xetra
New ETF from Franklin Templeton on Xetra: access to the MSCI World in line with Catholic values
April 25, 2024--A new exchange-traded fund issued by Franklin Templeton has been tradable on Xetra and Börse Frankfurt since Friday.
The Franklin MSCI World Catholic Principles UCITS ETF provides investors with access to a broadly diversified equity portfolio of around 800 large-and mid-cap companies in developed markets which are considered environmentally conscious and socially responsible.
The benchmark index, the MSCI World Select Catholic Principles ESG Universal and Low Carbon Index, aims to demonstrate a lower carbon footprint and a better environmental, social and governance profile compared to the MSCI World Index.
Excluded are companies that operate in controversial business areas such as guns, gambling, adult entertainment, or are involved in abortion, contraceptives, stem cell research, and animal testing.
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Source: Xetra
EU savers need a single-market place to invest
April 25, 2024--Proposals to leverage the single market to boost retail investment could lead to a product citizens will trust
The European Union is sitting on €33.5 trillion in household savings 1 , or one quarter of its collective GDP, yet much of this money is stuck in banks because households prefer cash over market investments.
Meanwhile, former Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta pointed to the EU's fragmented capital markets as a big opportunity to spark growth and future investment in his report on the 27-country single market, published 17 April (Letta, 2024).
He offered a menu of ideas to help the EU put its finances to work in the context of the need to find an extra trillion euros a year to fund the digital and green transitions and to meet defence needs. Managing climate change alone calls for finding 2.6 percent of GDP per year (I4CE, 2024).
Letta's best idea, a new retail investment product that could be sold across the EU, could bring a single market for financial services much closer to reality than currently.
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Source: bruegel.org
Tabula Announces Access to Transparently Sourced Gold,
April 22, 2024--European ETF provider Tabula Investment Management Limited ("Tabula") has announced the launch of the ESG-focused physical gold ETC, the SMO Physical Gold ETC (Bloomberg: BARS LN). BARS is the first exchange-traded physical gold product to offer full traceability of gold bars from mine to vault, using a small number of named mines adhering to high ESG standards.
BARS is the only physical gold ETC in the market where:
Every ounce of gold can be traced to a carefully selected mine, accredited with
the highest responsibility standards
Each gold mine used has been independently audited and has data to
demonstrate they provide vital social, environmental and cultural support to local
communities
No gold is of Russian origin
No gold is "recycled" gold of unknown provenance
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Source: tabulaim.com
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