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European Commission-Summer 2019 Economic Forecast: Growth clouded by external factors

July 10, 2019--The European economy is set for its seventh consecutive year of growth in 2019, with all Member States' economies due to expand. Growth in the euro area was stronger than expected in the first quarter of the year due to a number of temporary factors such as mild winter conditions and a rebound in car sales.

It also benefited from fiscal policy measures, which boosted household disposable income in several Member States. The near-term outlook for the European economy, however, is clouded by external factors including global trade tensions and significant policy uncertainty. These have continued to weigh on confidence in the manufacturing sector, which is the most exposed to international trade, and are projected to weaken the growth outlook for the remainder of the year.

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Source: European Commission


IMF Staff Country Report-Germany: Selected Issues

July 10, 2019--WEALTH INEQUALITY AND PRIVATE SAVINGS IN GERMANY1
Does the large current account surplus in Germany reflect export-driven income gains that are evenly shared among the population? The evidence strongly suggests this is not the case and underscores the important role of German business wealth concentration in this context.

As high corporate savings and underlying profits largely reflect capital income accruing to wealthy households and increasingly retained in closely-held firms, the buildup of external imbalance has been accompanied by widening top income inequality, rising private savings and compressed consumption rates.

A. Introduction
1. Germany is the world's leading exporter of high value-added manufacturing goods and, following the Euro adoption, has steadily increased its current account surplus and netforeign asset position.

view the IMF Staff Country Report-Germany : Selected Issues

Source: IMF


New Amundi ETC on Xetra: Commodity investment in physical gold

July 9, 2019--Since Tuesday a new Exchange Traded Commodity (ETC) of Amundi is tradable via Xetra and Börse Frankfurt.
The ETC gives investors the opportunity to participate in the performance of gold. The price development is based on the spot gold price of the London Metal Exchange (LME) less accruing fees.

The Amundi Physical Gold ETC is a debt security; the securitised gold is deposited. Holders of this security are entitled to receive the value in cash or gold.

Name: AMUNDI PHYSICAL GOLD ETC
Asset class: ETC
ISIN: FR0013416716

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Source: Deutsche Börse Cash Market


Debt-laden Italy seizes moment to borrow more 50-year funds

July 8, 2019--Italy's Treasury has hired investment banks to help sell more of its 50-year bonds to institutional investors, seizing on improved market confidence after the government avoided European Union disciplinary action for excessive debt.

Last week, Rome persuaded the European Commission that new budget measures it had submitted would help bring its growing debt in line with EU fiscal rules.

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Source: Reuters


Monday Morning Memo: Why Asset Managers Should Have an ETF Strategy

July 8, 2019--By looking at annual flow numbers and assets under management, it is clear that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are more than just a trend.

Some market observers are already concerned, as they expect ETFs to take over the majority of assets under management for investment vehicles in the foreseeable future. Even as this might be too optimistic, it seems like ETFs have become a threat for active managers, as more investors are considering ETFs as their investment vehicle of choice. With regard to this, all fund promoters need a strategic view on their role in the competition between ETFs and traditional mutual funds.

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Source: Refinitiv


Bitcoin Cash ETP Lists on Leading Swiss Stock Exchange

July 6, 2019--Cryptocurrency tracking instruments traded on established equity exchanges allow institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to digital assets.

Now there is a new option to invest in bitcoin cash (BCH) with an exchange traded product in one of the most advanced markets in the world. Under the ticker ABCH, bitcoin cash is the sixth Amun crypto-asset tracker listed on the Swiss stock exchange Six.

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Source: news.bitcoin.com


Kazakhstan's Astana International Exchange lists first exchange-traded fund

July 4, 2019--ITI Funds became the first provider to list an exchange-traded fund (ETF) on Kazakhstan's Astana International Exchange (AIX) on July 3.

The ITI Funds UCITS ETF SICAV (RUSB), also listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) and the Moscow Exchange (MOEX), was listed with quotation and settlements in US dollars.

The AIX was launched as part of the Astana International Financial Centre (AIFC). The Kazakh authorities are hoping to draw in much needed liquidity into the AIX, mainly by IPOs of Kazakhstan's largest state-owned companies.

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Source: intellinews.com


Half-year report: Xetra-Gold achieves new record for gold holdings and assets under custody

July 3, 2019--Growth of around 13 tonnes year-to-date / Europe's largest gold security with physical deposit
The gold holdings of the exchange-traded Xetra-Gold bearer bond (ISIN: DE000A0S9GB0) rose to a new record of 194.3 tonnes as of 30 June.

This is an increase of around 13 tonnes over the course of the year. At the turn of the year, 181.5 tonnes of gold were stored in the central vault for German securities in Frankfurt. This makes Xetra-Gold the leading physically deposited gold security in Europe.

Gold holdings increase whenever investors buy Xetra-Gold shares via the stock exchange. Exactly one gram of gold is deposited in the central vault for each unit certificate. After the recent strong increase in the gold price, the assets managed by Xetra-Gold currently amount to 7.7 billion euros - which is also a new all-time high.

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Source: Deutsche Börse Group


Monetary developments in the euro area: May 2019

July 1, 2019--Monetary developments in the euro area: May 2019
Annual growth rate of broad monetary aggregate M3 stood at 4.8% in May 2019, after 4.7% in April 2019
Annual growth rate of narrower monetary aggregate M1, comprising currency in circulation and overnight deposits, decreased to 7.2% in May from 7.4% in April

Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to households stood at 3.3% in May, unchanged from previous month
Annual growth rate of adjusted loans to non-financial corporations stood at 3.9% in May, unchanged from previous month

Components of the broad monetary aggregate M3

The annual growth rate of the broad monetary aggregate M3 stood at 4.8% in May 2019, after 4.7% in April, averaging 4.7% in the three months up to May.

The components of M3 showed the following developments. The annual growth rate of the narrower aggregate M1, which comprises currency in circulation and overnight deposits, decreased to 7.2% in May from 7.4% in April.

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Source: ECB


Monday Morning Memo: Don't Panic About Illiquid Holdings in Mutual Funds

July 1, 2019-The closure of the Woodford Income Fund has led to wide discussion about illiquid holdings in mutual funds. As a result of this discussion, asset managers have come under pressure as investors have begun to sell positions in funds in which they have identified illiquid holdings.

Even as this reaction is in some cases understandable, the high level of outflows in some funds is surprising, since some of these funds now under pressure were quite clear about these holdings. Even if they weren't, these holdings shouldn't be a surprise to professional investors or advisors, since it is one of the duties of a fund analyst to evaluate the investment style of a fund manager and the respective risk of the portfolio to conduct an appropriate recommendation.

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Source: Refinitiv


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