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China's slowdown not over
April 25, 2012--Our last issue of Macro Matters reached the conclusion it may be best to sell and reduce beta into this rally and come back when the contours of China's slowdown and the policy response become more certain.
According to our sales people some clients they spoke with didn’t agree with this view. Indeed, many felt China had bottomed or is bottoming and a pick up lies ahead. Thus, go long China and raise the beta of the portfolio.
We disagree with the notion that China has bottomed or is bottoming now (see our recent report "China: is the worst over"). In fact, China may not bottom until much later this year and the bounce may be much more modest than the market seems to expect.
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Source: Mirae Asset Management
TSE publish the index value of TSE Home Price Index for February.
April 24, 2012--TSE has published the index value of TSE Home Price Index for February on April 24, 2012.
The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Composite of Tokyo Metro Area) is 79.35 points. The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Tokyo) is 83.36 points.
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Source: TSE
Asia slips amid uncertainty in Europe
April 24, 2012--Most Asian shares lost ground for a fourth consecutive day as political uncertainty in France and the Netherlands, coupled with poor economic data from the region, revived concerns about the eurozone.
The MSCI Asia Pacific index slipped 0.3 per cent with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average down 0.7 per cent and South Korea’s Kospi Composite index off 0.6 per cent. But Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index inched up 0.1 per cent while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index gained 0.3 per cent as property shares and mainland lenders rallied.
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Source: FT.com
DB-Equity Research-Asia-Pac-ETF Market Weekly Review : ETP AUM remains at $100bn level amid mixed markets
April 23, 2012--Market Review
The Asia-Pacific region had mixed markets last week. In all, Japan (Nikkei 225) lost 0.80%, Korea (KOSPI2) sank by 1.88%, China (CSI 300) advanced by 1.80%, Hong Kong (HSI) increased by 1.50%, Singapore (FSSTI) grew by 0.22%, and Australia (S&P/ASX 200) gained 1% over the previous week.
New Launch Review
There was no new listing during last week in the Asia-Pacific region.
Turnover Review
Asia-Pacific ETP turnover totaled $4.9bn for the last week, 5.8% down from the previous week’s total. South Korea continues to be on top of the turnover ranking with $1.8bn, followed by China ($1.2bn), Hong Kong ($1bn), Japan ($0.5bn), and Taiwan ($0.1bn). Among Equity ETFs, Emerging Country, Leveraged Strategy, Asia Pac Developed Country, and Short Strategy ETFs had total turnover of $2.5bn, $0.9bn, $0.7bn and $0.3bn respectively. Under the Commodity asset class, turnover in Gold ETPs totaled $60m for the last week.
Assets Under Management Review
Asia-Pacific ETP AUM ended the week with a marginal increase and ended at $100bn. On a year-to-date basis, Asia-Pacific ETP market is up by $8.5bn or 9.3% above last year’s closing.
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Source: Deutsche Bank - Equity Research - Asia Pacific
FSA extends temporary measures regarding restrictions on short selling and purchase of own stocks by listed companies
April 20, 2012--1. The following regulatory measures on short selling are currently in place, with regard to all listed stocks in Japan:
1) An "uptick rule requirement" which prohibits, in principle, short selling at the same as or prices lower than the latest market price
2) Requirements for traders to verify and flag whether or not the transactions in question are short selling; and
3) Request the exchanges to make daily announcements on their aggregate price of short selling regarding all securities and aggregate price of short selling by sector (The announcements have been made sequentially since October 14, 2008). (See the FSA press release on October 14, 2008.)
In addition, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) has put in force the following measures, as temporary measures effective until April 30,2012 (See the FSA press release on October 24, 2011.):
1) Naked short selling (short selling in which stocks are not borrowed at the time of selling) is prohibited (effective since October 30, 2008); and
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Source: FSA.go.jp
HKEx: Changes Of Designated Securities For Short Selling
April 20, 2012--The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEx), announces that with effect from 27 April 2012 (Friday), 30 additional securities will be eligible for short selling and 21 existing designated securities will be removed from the list.
The total number of designated securities for short selling will be 646after the revision.
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Source: Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited,
HKEx to offer renminbi futures
April 19, 2012--The internationalisation of the renminbi is gathering pace, with Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing to begin trading futures on the currency.
The exchange will launch a US dollar-renminbi contract in the third quarter to give investors a hedge against their exposure to the Chinese currency.
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Source: FT.com
Yen falls on monetary easing pledge
April 19, 2012--The yen fell hard on Thursday after Japan stepped up levels of verbal intervention ahead of the central bank's monetary policy decision next week and the country recorded a record trade deficit in fiscal 2011.
The yen fell 0.4 per cent to Y81.58 against the dollar, 0.5 per cent against the euro to Y107.15 and 0.6 per cent against sterling to Y130.96
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Source: FT.com
SET to launch index ETFs
April 18, 2012--The Stock Exchange of Thailand will launch foreign index exchange-traded funds in the second half of the year.
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) based on Hong Kong's Hang Seng index or Korea's Kospi index are among the stronger candidates for the launch, according to Kesara Manchusree, the SET's group head for products and business development.
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Source: Bangkok Post
Mirae-Macro Matters- A slippery slope
April 17, 2012--In an issue of Macro Matters that we published at the beginning of the year we presented a non-technical framework to explain our expectations for the near-term course of Asian asset prices.
This framework which we subsequently coined LSE (liquidity, surprises and events) was designed to cut through the multitude of market noise given the avalanche of information (both high frequency data and the mind-numbing flow of detailed discussions involving unresolved policy issues) hitting the market daily. There is such a thing as too much information and over-analysis that result in late or weak conclusions. Our conclusion is to sell and reduce beta into this rally and come back when the contours of China’s slowdown and the policy response become more certain.
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Source: Mirae Asset Management
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