World Bank-Prospects Group Global Monthly-September 2026
you are currently viewing:World Bank-Prospects Group Global Monthly-September 2026September 30, 2026-Overview Global goods trade expanded by 5.6 percent (y/y) in the second quarter of 2026, its fastest pace since 2021, although supply chain pressures and trade policy uncertainty remained elevated in August. Special Focus: Fiscal Management over Commodity Price Cycles Energy-and metal-exporting economies generally see improved fiscal balances during price booms, whereas agricultural exporters tend to spend more, limiting buffer accumulation. Fiscal frameworks have become more widespread: sovereign wealth funds are used most often by energy exporters, whereas fiscal rules are more common among metal and agricultural exporters. Sovereign wealth funds appear to support countercyclical spending among energy exporters, and fiscal rules play a similar role among metal exporters; however, fiscal rules provide no comparable stabilization among agricultural exporters. Source: worldbank.org |
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