World Bank Group-Development Economics-Prospects Group
you are currently viewing::World Bank Group-Development Economics-Prospects GroupJuly 30, 2025--Overview
Yet, global financial conditions generally eased in June and July, and risk appetite has remained robust across many advanced economies and EMDEs. Special Focus: Macroeconomic and Development Challenges in FCS Economies The 39 EMDEs currently classified as being in fragile and conflict-affected situations (FCS), home to more than one billion people, are a mix of low- and middle-income economies spread across all regions. FCS economies have lagged other EMDEs in many measures of macroeconomic performance for decades. Growth is slower and more volatile. Capital formation and job creation are lower. Together, weak state capacity and slow, erratic growth constrain governments' ability to raise revenue, contributing to high risk of debt distress. Global poverty and food insecurity are increasingly concentrated in FCS economies, where insufficient investment in education and health are undermining human development. Source: worldbank.org |
March 30, 2026-Major global stock indexes have fallen between 5% and 10% over the past month as war rattles the Middle East.
Energy market disruptions-especially around the Strait of Hormuz-have become a central driver of volatility.
March 30, 2026-Energy prices, supply chains, and financial markets are the main transmission channels, but the regional effects will vary significantly
The world faces yet another shock. The war in the Middle East is upending lives and livelihoods in the region and beyond. It is also dimming the outlook for many economies that had only just shown signs of a sustained recovery from previous crises.
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March 26, 2026-Introduction
The conflict in the Middle East is testing the resilience of the global economy.
The outlook is surrounded by high uncertainty and reflects the interaction of two opposing forces:
On the upside, growth is supported by strong momentum in technology-related investment and production, lower tariff rates than previously assumed, and carry-over from robust outcomes in 2025.
March 26, 2026- ETFGI reports actively managed ETFs globally hit new US$2.15 Trillion record amid 71 straight months of net inflows at the end of February. During February the actively managed ETFs industry globally gathered net inflows of US$91.15 billion, bringing year-to-date net inflows to a record US$167.58 billion, according to ETFGI's February 2026 Active ETF industry landscape insights report, an annual paid-for research subscription service.
March 24, 2026-During the Great Depression, as he saw ordinary people's purchasing power collapse, Federal Reserve Chairman Marriner Eccles warned that excessive saving by the rich was draining demand and deepening the downturn. "To protect them from the results of their own folly," Eccles told the Senate in 1933 testimony, "we should take from them a sufficient amount of their surplus to enable consumers to consume and business to operate at a profit."
March 19, 2026-World trade is set to slow in 2026 following stronger than expected growth in 2025 on the back of surging trade in AI-enabling products. WTO economists warn that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could further reduce trade growth if energy prices remain elevated, noting that it would also put pressure on food supplies and services trade due to travel and transport disruptions. Prospects could still improve if the conflict ends quickly and the boom in AI spending continues.
March 15, 2026-Global stocks continued to weaken last week, as the ongoing war in Iran kept oil prices high.
Oil prices have surged as the Iran conflict disrupts global supply, adding to inflation risks. At the same time, recent RBA commentary has sharply shifted market expectations- with investors now bracing for a possible rate hike this week.
March 6, 2026--Opportunities in the ETF market arise from increasing adoption of digital platforms, demand for ESG and smart beta products, and expanding cross-border investments. Growth is driven by thematic trends like EVs, sustainable investing, and innovative offerings, enhanced by asset management diversification and trading efficiency.
March 6, 2026-The Iran war has significantly disrupted global energy markets, damaging oil and gas facilities and halting exports through the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime chokepoint.
Brent oil prices surged over 28% to above $92 per barrel due to supply concerns. The U.S. responded by offering naval escorts and easing Russian oil sanctions on India to stabilize markets.