Global Economic Prospects-Global Economy Faces Trade-Related Headwinds
you are currently viewing::Global Economic Prospects-Global Economy Faces Trade-Related HeadwindsJune 14, 2025--The global economy is facing substantial headwinds, emanating largely from an increase in trade tensions and heightened global policy uncertainty. Global cooperation is needed to restore a more stable global trade environment and scale up support for vulnerable countries, including those in fragile and conflict situations. Domestic policy action is also critical to contain inflation risks and strengthen fiscal resilience. To unlock job creation and long-term growth, reforms should focus on raising institutional quality, attracting private investment, and strengthening human capital and labor markets. International discord-about trade, in particular-has upended many of the policy certainties that-helped shrink extreme poverty and expand prosperity after the end of World War II. This year alone, our forecasts indicate the upheaval will slice nearly half a percentage point off the global GDP growth rate that had been expected at the start of the year, cutting it to 2.3 percent. That's the weakest performance in 17 years, outside of outright global recessions. By 2027, global GDP growth is expected to average just 2.5 percent in the 2020s-the slowest pace of any decade since the 1960s. Source: worldbank.org |
March 6, 2026-The Iran war has significantly disrupted global energy markets, damaging oil and gas facilities and halting exports through the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime chokepoint.
Brent oil prices surged over 28% to above $92 per barrel due to supply concerns. The U.S. responded by offering naval escorts and easing Russian oil sanctions on India to stabilize markets.
March 6, 2026-Investment firm Wilshire has told clients that production and publication of all indexes not already sold or returned to the asset manager's ownership will be discontinued.
Wilshire Indexes, the dedicated index operations arm set up by US asset manager Wilshire to run its growing index portfolio, as well as index operations of its partner parent groups, has closed.
March 5, 2026--Global debt markets are navigating a difficult terrain. Geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and an uncertain macroeconomic environment are adding pressure to already stretched markets. But debt markets have been resilient so far. This stability, however, masks deeper structural developments.
February 27, 2026--New data published by the World Federation of Exchanges (WFE), the global industry group for exchanges and CCPs, shows markets rebounded in the second half of 2025. IPO activity remained robust over the year, pointing to sustained demand for public listings against a challenging global backdrop.
Global equity market capitalisation increased 18.5% compared to the end of 2024, amounting to USD 151.94 trillion, with double-digit growth in every region.
February 26, 2026--Global debt climbed to $348 trillion by the end of 2025, the highest on record, per the Institute of International Finance.
Government borrowing accounted for over $10 trillion of the increase, led by the United States, China, and the euro area.
Emerging markets saw debt ratios rise above 235% of GDP, while advanced economies saw a slight decline in debt-to-GDP ratios.
February 26, 2026--ETFGI reported today that assets invested in the actively managed ETFs industry globally reached a new record of US$2.04 trillion at the end of January. During January the actively managed ETFs industry globally gathered record monthly net inflows of US$76.43 billion, according to ETFGI's January 2026 Active ETF industry landscape insights report, an annual paid-for research subscription service.
February 26, 2026--Assets invested in the ETFs industry globally reached a new record of US$20.64 trillion at the end of January. During January, the ETFs industry globally gathered net inflows of US$150.41 billion, according to ETFGI's January 2026 Global ETFs and ETPs industry landscape insights report, the monthly report which is part of ETFGI's an annual paid-for research subscription service.
February 26, 2026-Three charts mapping our projections for passenger aviation demand as of the end of 2025.
Here is the outlook as of the end of 2025:
Annual air travel demand returned to pre-pandemic levels last year, with revenue passenger kilometers (RPK)-the number of paying passengers multiplied by the total distance traveled-reaching nearly 107% of 2019 volume. The 2040 outlook remains relatively unchanged at a global level compared with previous forecasts.
February 18, 2026--Diversification has become harder since 2020 as stocks and bonds tend to move in tandem during sharp selloffs, adding to financial stability concerns
Spreading investments across asset classes can reduce risk and smooth returns. The classic diversification between stocks and bonds worked historically because they moved in opposite directions.
February 18, 2026--During the week of 9 February, the global ETF industry recorded strong product activity, with 49 new ETF launches and four closures, resulting in a net increase of 45 products worldwide according to research from ETFGI.
The United States led net growth with 22 new launches, followed by APAC (excluding Japan) with 13 and Europe with nine.