World trade volume remained flat in Q3 of 2025 while its dollar value hit record high
you are currently viewing:World trade volume remained flat in Q3 of 2025 while its dollar value hit record highJanuary 28, 2026-The volume of world merchandise trade plateaued at a high level in the third quarter of 2025 following a strong first-half expansion driven by import frontloading, favourable macroeconomic conditions and rising demand for AI-related products. At the same time, the US dollar value of merchandise trade rose to an all-time high, lifted by rising export and import prices and a weaker US dollar. Merchandise trade grew 0.5% quarter-on-quarter and 3.6% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025 on a seasonally-adjusted volume basis. By comparison, the dollar value of trade was up 7.5% year-on-year in the same period, highlighting a widening gap between growth in nominal and real terms. Stronger growth in value terms than in volume terms was partly due to currency depreciation, as the US dollar fell 1.9% year-on-year in value against a broad basket of currencies in the third quarter. Dollar depreciation tends to inflate the dollar value of trade flows denominated in other currencies, for example intra-EU trade. Source: World Trade Organization (WTO) |
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