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Dubai Gold And Commodities Exchange Weekly Views February 7, 2010

February 7, 2010--Commodities Overview
A strengthening U.S. dollar weighed heavily on commodities prices last week. There also was another bout of rising concern over demand prospects for commodities. Short-term oriented selling helped push many commodities prices lower.

Gold, silver, and oil prices all fell sharply last week. Despite ongoing concerns over financial markets and economic conditions investors have not been as keen to gold or silver as they were last year. Gold prices have not been able to rally on a sustainable basis since they peaked in early December 2009.

Currencies Overview
The market is demonstrating increased favorable views toward the dollar, which suggest a stronger dollar against the euro, yen, pound, and Swiss franc over the next several months. Part of the strength last week seems based on a possible default by the Greek government on debt. That seems unlikely, which in turn suggests that some of the fleeing from the euro to the dollar last week may be overdone, and the dollar could come back at least a little in the coming week as it consolidates recent gains.

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Dubai discovers new oil field

February 4, 2010--Dubai’s government said Thursday the emirate has discovered a new offshore oil field -- the first such discovery by the city-state in several years.
Dubai’s government said Thursday the emirate has discovered a new offshore oil field -- the first such discovery by the city-state in several years.

An e-mailed statement from the office said the find is located east of the existing Rashid oil field.

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ADX slips 0.68%

February 4, 2010--United Arab Emirates: The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) fell 0.68% on the last day of trading of the week, closing at 2,705.44.

Nine companies rose, four remained unchanged and 21 fell. Gulf Medical Projects (GMPC) was the day's biggest gainer, going up by 8.27% to Dhs2.75.

DFM rises prior to weekend close

February 4, 2010--United Arab Emirates: The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) rose by 0.22%, to 1,663.21, with seven companies rising, eight holding steady and 14 falling.

Global Investment House was the day's biggest gainer, moving up by 12.28% to Dhs1.28. Emaar was the most active stock by volume and by value, and gained 1.53%, moving to Dhs3.31.

Middle East banks stronger as companies learn to build in slow growth economies

February 4, 2010--Banks in the region are expected to see healthier profits when compared to international counterparts, although growth will slow down, and could benefit from making targeted acquisitions while prices of businesses are cheaper

In part, Middle East banks suffered less because they put in place better loan loss provisions. Those provisions are expected to remain high this year.

Egypt predicts $15.5bn investments in industrial zones

February 4, 2010-The Egyptian trade ministry has said that it expects to attract EGP85bn ($15.5bn) of investments in the country's new industrial zones, Reuters has reported.

The ministry will tender 42 million square meters of land for industrial development in the new zones, located in the cities of Tenth of Ramadan, Sadat and Bourj Al-Arab.

DGCX reports strong start to 2010, with volume up 300% in January

Total volume in January rose 300% year-on-year to 153,747 contracts
Currency and gold futures led the volume growth in January, with 104,614 and 42,289 contracts traded respectively
February 3, 2010--Setting the tone for 2010, the Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange (DGCX) today announced that total volume rose 300% year-on-year to reach 153,747 contracts in January.

Valued at US $9,187 million, trading in January was led by stronger participation in currency and gold futures, which recorded volumes of 104,614 and 42,289 contracts respectively. Euro/Dollar, GBP/Dollar, Indian Rupee/Dollar and Yen/Dollar futures recorded volumes of 51,103; 31,072; 7,181 and 15,258 in January.

On January 29, the Exchange recorded its second highest daily volume for currencies with 9,892 contracts, valued at US$ 674 million. This was close to the record of 10,669 contracts achieved in August 2009.

The performance in the first month of 2010 is testimony to the stronger demand and participation that we are witnessing for both commodity and currency derivatives,"said Eric Hasham, Chief Executive Officer, DGCX.

Volatility in commodities and currencies has continued into 2010, which is encouraging participants to tap into the hedging benefits offered by DGCX futures contracts. The year has started positively for the exchange and as the economic recovery continues, DGCX will consolidate its growth and position as the region's leading derivatives exchange.

Total currency volume was 104,614 contracts in January, up by 463% on last year. Gold futures volume was 42,289 contracts, up 142% on last year. WTI crude oil and silver futures were also up on last year, with volumes of 4,294 and 2,550 contracts.

Abu Dhabi to miss economic growth target

February 2, 2010--Mohamed Omar Abdulla, undersecretary at Abu Dhabi's department of economic development, said the emirate will not reach its growth target of an annual 6% to 7% over the next 20 years, Bloomberg has reported.

'We have to make downward adjustments in terms of the growth,' Abdulla told the news service. 'The average growth will be 6% to 7% according to the vision; this will not be the case.' The Abu Dhabi Economic Vision 2030 set growth targets of 7% through 2015 and 6% thereafter.

Kuwait expects 40% profit from Black Rock investment

February 1, 2010--Kuwait Investment Authority invested about $750m in US asset manager BlackRock last year, KIA's managing director told Al Arabiya TV.

'Last May we invested in raising BlackRock's capital, I think $750m...and I think until now we made 40% of profit," Bader al-Saad said. Saad also said that he still expected KIA to make a profit on its $2bn investment in Bank of America, despite a current loss of between 30-40% on the investment.

Bahrain sovereign wealth fund to diversify

February 1, 2010--Mumtalakat, Bahrain's sovereign wealth fund, plans to diversify away from private equity projects and into stocks and bonds, Reuters has reported.

Talal Al Zain told the news service that Mumtalakat expects to receive a credit rating this year, which would allow it to tap capital markets for funding, including Islamic bonds. 'We want to diversify. We will be looking at investments across markets. Our immediate focus will be to diversify investments, channel funds more towards liquidity, that is fixed income, equity markets,' he said.

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