Derivatives bets could cost JPMorgan $9 billion, sources say
June 28, 2012--JPMorgan Chase faces as much as $9 billion in losses related to its bets on credit derivatives,sources said.
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon announced in May a $2 billion loss on the trades, and said it could double. However, the losses have mounted more quickly than expected as the banking giant unwinds its positions, according to sources.
Source: FIA SmartBrief
IMF Working paper-Factor Endowment, Structural Coherence, and Economic Growth
June 28, 2012--Summary: This paper studies the linkage between structural coherence and economic growth. Structural coherence is defined as the degree that a country's industrial structure optimally reflects its factor endowment fundamentals.
The paper found that at least for the overall capital, the shares of capital intensive industries were significantly bigger with higher initial capital endowment and faster capital accumulation. Moreover, there is a positive relationship between a country's aggregate output growth and the degree of structural coherence. Quantitatively, the structural coherence with respect to the overall capital explains about 30% of the growth differential among sample countries.
view IMF Working paper-Factor Endowment, Structural Coherence, and Economic Growth
Source: IMF
DCGX Academy: US DATA: Durable and Housing Rises eases concerns, EU 19th Meeting
HIGHLIGHTS
COMMODITIES
Oil Climbs a Third Day on U.S. Economic Outlook, Norway Strike
Copper Gains for Fourth Day as Base Metals Rise After U.S. Data
Mint Gold-Coin Sales in June Exceed Last Month's Total
Stocks Gain With Commodities on U.S. Data, China Stimulus Bets
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Barclays Plc was fined 290 million pounds ($451 million) for false inter bank rates
USD Declines Against Peers Before EU Summit; Aussie Advances
Rupee Rises - Fall in current account deficit will prop the currency
Yuan Declines as PBOC Lowers Reference Rate
Slowdown Concern Ebbs on Durable, U.S. Home Sales: Economy
Pound Declines as Mortgage Approvals Back Case for More Stimulus
Asian Currencies Gain on U.S. Data, China Stimulus Speculation
Source: DGCX Academy
SeaDrill Limited Added to Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index
June 26, 2012--Norway's SeaDrill Ltd. will be added to the Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index, Dow Jones Indexes announced today.
The addition of SeaDrill Ltd. follows the removal of Progress Energy Inc. (United States), which is being removed due to its acquisition by Duke Energy Corp. (United States).
SeaDrill Ltd. is an offshore deepwater drilling company.
The changes in the Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index will be effective before the open of trading on Monday, July 2, 2012.
The Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index measures the stock performance of 100 leading dividend-paying companies worldwide.
Company additions to, and deletions from, the Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index does not in any way reflect an opinion on the investment merits of the company.
Source: Dow Jones Indexes
Final rules on banks' disclosure of the composition of their capital issued by the Basel Committee
June 26, 2012--The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision today issued its final rules on the information banks must disclose when detailing the composition of their capital.
Entitled Composition of capital disclosure requirements - Rules text, the publication sets out a framework to ensure that the components of banks' capital bases are disclosed in standardised formats across jurisdictions.
During the financial crisis, market participants and supervisors were hampered in their efforts to undertake detailed assessments of banks' capital positions and make comparisons across jurisdictions. Adding to these difficulties were insufficiently detailed disclosure by banks and a lack of consistency in reporting across banks and jurisdictions. This lack of clarity may have contributed to uncertainty during the financial crisis and could have masked how far banks were relying on forms of capital that were insufficiently loss-absorbent. The disclosure requirements published today should help to improve market discipline by enhancing both transparency and comparability.
view the Composition of capital disclosure requirements-Rules text
Source: BIS
Basel Committee issues Principles for effective risk data aggregation and risk reporting -consultative document
June 26, 2012--The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision today issued for consultation Principles for effective risk data aggregation and risk reporting-consultative document.
The financial crisis that started in 2007 revealed that many banks, including global systemically important banks (G-SIBs), were unable to aggregate risk exposures fully and quickly. This meant that banks' ability to take risk decisions in a timely fashion was seriously impaired with wide-ranging consequences for individual banks and the stability of the financial system as a whole.
The proposed principles published today are intended to strengthen banks' risk data aggregation capabilities and risk reporting practices. Implementation of the principles will strengthen risk management at banks - in particular, G-SIBs - thereby enhancing their ability to cope with stress. "These proposals are a significant step towards improving banks' risk management capabilities and they will also help to ensure that G-SIBs are resolvable, hence reducing the potential recourse to tax-payers," said Stefan Ingves, Chairman of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision and Governor of the Sveriges Riksbank, Sweden's central bank.
view the Principles for effective risk data aggregation and risk reporting - consultative document
Source: BIS
State Street Global Advisors Issues Mid Year ETF & Investment Outlook
June 26, 2012--State Street Global Advisors (SSgA)*, the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), today released a new report titled, 2012 ETF & Investment Outlook: Sinking or Swimming?, which focuses on developments shaping market performance and the Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) industry during the first half of 2012 and provides an updated investment outlook for the remainder of the year.
Developed by the SPDR ETF Strategy & Consulting Group, the report reveals that US ETFs attracted more than $60 billion of inflows over the first five months of 2012, as 100 new funds were launched by 17 different providers, including one new entrant to the market. Amid signs the low interest rate environment will continue for the foreseeable future, demand for dividend/fundamental ETFs – the most popular category in 2011 – remained on top, as investors added $8.9 billion of inflows to these funds in the first five months of the year. Investors also increased their exposure to credit/corporate, government credit and high yield bond ETFs.
“With concerns over job growth in the US top of mind coupled with Europe’s debt problems, investors continue to put their savings to work in ETFs that provide alternative sources of yield,” said Kevin Quigg, global head of ETF Strategy & Consulting at State Street Global Advisors. “If flows continue at this pace, 2012 will mark the sixth consecutive year that ETFs attract more than $100 billion in positive cash flows, which is remarkable given the trajectory of the markets during this period of time.”
To download a copy of 2012 ETF & Investment Outlook: Sinking or Swimming?, please visit SPDR University (www.spdru.com), State Street’s award-winning online educational resource for investment professionals or ETF Fact or Fiction (www.etffactorfiction.com), a new website launched by State Street to provide individual investors with a comprehensive, trusted resource for ETF education.
Source: State Street Global Advisors (SSgA)
ETFS Precious Metals Weekly:What Will Drive the Next Leg of the Gold Bull Market?
June 25, 2012--Gold price drops as Fed extension of 'Operation Twist' disappoints, investors’' look for next round of quantitative easing (QE).
It appears that most investors already expected an extension of the Fed’s ‘Operation Twist’, so when further easing was not announced last week following the FOMC meeting, the gold price and equity markets declined.
In the current environment, the main driver of the gold price appears to be perceptions of the likelihood of another round of QE, as gold is viewed as one of the few hedges against US dollar debasement. Statements by key FOMC members make it clear that the Fed is carefully watching for further signs of slowing momentum in the economy to implement more aggressive easing. Fed Chairman Bernanke said that the US needs job growth of 100,000 just to maintain “stability”. He also said the US needs 150,000-200,000 to hit Fed target of 8-8.2% unemployment by end 2012. Fed Vice Chairman and President of the New York Fed has said he thinks the US needs to see payroll gains of around 300,000 per month. Their comments give a clear indication that one of the Fed’s key benchmarks for determining the likelihood and timing of another round of QE is changes in US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFPs). If NFPs (and related indicators such as jobless claims) do not quickly show substantial and sustainable improvement, a new round of QE seems increasingly likely. Therefore the likely driver of the next sustained leg up in the gold bull market is signs of continued weakness in the US labour market. The potential negative impact on the US economy and financial system resulting from a deepening of the financial crisis in
Europe is another potential trigger to the extent it drives European investors out of Euros into gold (as we saw in early 2010).
Silver hits 18-month low as volatility reaches 2-mth high. Silver tends to underperform other precious metals in times of heightened market uncertainty, as witnessed last week when it slumped 6% compared to 4% declines across other precious metals. The silver price dropped below US$27 and volatility rose to just under 30% on an annualised basis. While current market conditions are difficult for silver, the silver price now sits around the same level it was when it bounced at the end of 2012 and early 2011. Net speculative futures positioning is now back to end 2011 levels.
visit www.etfsecurities.com for more info
Source: ETF Securities
Thomson Reuters Adds Psychological Analysis to Machine Readable News
Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices identify human emotion and sentiment in news and social media posts to influence and support investment and trading strategies
June 25, 2012--Thomson Reuters today expanded its news analytics service to include a new psychological analysis capability that gauges market sentiment by analysing human emotion in news and social media in order to influence and support investment and trading strategies in financial markets.
Thomson Reuters is now offering multi-dimensional psychological analysis for machine readable news, including emotion and sentiment associated with specific countries, commodities, currencies and economic sectors.
Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices (TRMIs) provide easy-to-interpret real-time psychological analysis of news and social media. Users can view and model the impact of investor psychology across global asset classes and regions by analyzing the specific attitudes expressed within stories and tracking the macroeconomic themes that are most relevant to price movements in each asset class. This detail level of interpretation helps users to answer in-depth questions with quantifiable evidence to support specific hypotheses in a way not previously possible.
Source: Thomson Reuters
Dow Jones Indexes, FXCM jointly launch Dow Jones FXCM Yen Index
Index to Reflect Changes in Value of Japanese Yen Measured Against Basket of Liquid Currencies:
U.S. Dollar, Euro, Australian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar
June 25, 2012-Dow Jones Indexes, a leading global index provider, and FXCM Inc. (NYSE: FXCM), a global online provider of foreign exchange trading and related services, today announced they have collaborated to launch the Dow Jones FXCM Yen Index.
The new index measures changes in the value of the Japanese yen against a basket of four of the most-transacted currencies against the yen: the U.S. dollar, the euro, the Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar.
The index is the second to be offered collaboratively by Dow Jones Indexes and FXCM. In May 2011, the two firms launched the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index.
Source: AME Info