Saudi Arabia, Russia role 'critical in rebalancing oil markets'
October 7, 2016--Saudi-based economists see a crucial role for the Kingdom and Russia in rebalancing the energy markets as US oil prices rose above $50 a barrel in New York Thursday for the first time since June.
Source: Zawya.com
Deutsche eyes asset management unit IPO
October 7, 2016--Deutsche Bank is mulling a public listing of its asset management division to strengthen its capital buffers,the Financial Times reported Friday, citing unnamed sources.
Any such move would only follow an expected multi-billion settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice for alleged mis-selling of mortgage-backed securities related to the 2008 financial crisis, the report added.
Source: FT.com
Hang Seng Bank-4Q 2016 Investment Outlook
October 7, 2016--Highlight
The market focus in 4Q will be on Europe and the U.S. The key
things to watch for include the U.S. Presidential Election, the FOMC meeting and the geopolitical and economic situation in Europe, especially the implementation of Brexit.
At the same time, the outlook for the emerging markets should be more positive relative to the Europe and the U.S.
We continue to adopt a more conservative approach in asset allocation, preferring USD- denominated EM bonds and EM equity funds.
Source: Hang Seng Investment
Emerging Markets Well Prepared for Fed Rate Increase, Say Central Bankers
During IMF Panel Discussion
October 9, 2016--Thailand, others have built up currency reserves
Strong U.S. economy seen benefiting emerging markets
Flexible exchange rates help absorb external shocks
Emerging market economies are well prepared to handle any fallout from a Federal Reserve interest rate increase, in contrast to the situation in 2013, when they were caught off guard by currency volatility during the so-called "taper tantrum," according to central bankers taking part in an IMF seminar.
Source: IMF
International Monetary System Ill-Equipped to Handle Global Problems, Asian Economists Say
October 7, 2016--India's Subbarao recalls 'carnage in our external sector' in 2013
Japan's Sakakibara: 'secular stagnation' may have arrived
Need is seen for international monetary arbiter, bilateral swap lines
The international monetary system may be ill-equipped to deal with a host of modern problems, from climate change to abrupt shifts in capital flows across borders, according to current and former Asian policymakers at an IMF seminar in Washington, D.C.
view the Strengthening the International Monetary System—a stocktaking report
Source: IMF
DECPG Global Weekly-October 7, 2016
October 7, 2016--TAKING STOCK
U.S. economy added fewer non-farm jobs than expected in September
Euro Area PMI fell to 20-month low in September
Japan services PMI fell sharply in September
British pound tumbled against the dollar and the euro
India's central bank cut interest rates
WEEKLY INSIGHT
How has Credit to the Nonfinancial Private Sector Evolved in Emerging Market and Developing Economies?
Since the global financial crisis, credit to the nonfinancial private sector has grown rapidly in several emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). Credit growth has been most pronounced in commodity-exporting countries. In contrast, in commodity- importers, credit-to-GDP ratios have been stable or shrinking over the past few years.
Source: World Bank
Countries Need Smart Policies to Benefit from Technology's Full Potential
October 6, 2016--Technology could bring significant growth to global economy in next decade
New education model needed to help workers adapt
Cultural, organizational changes have to keep pace with technological change
Technological change has the potential to transform the lives of people around the world for the better, but it will be important to get the policies right or the digital divide will grow...
Source: IMF
Infographic-Black Swans: 9 Recent Events That Changed Finance Forever
October 5, 2016--Almost every market participant out there has at least one horrific war story on a crash that profoundly affected their portfolio or world view.
Source: visualcapitalist.com
IMF-Low Growth, Inflation Hamper Debt Reduction
October 5, 2016--Global debt at record highs, rising
Two-thirds represents private sector liabilities
Fiscal policy can help facilitate private sector deleveraging
Global debt, currently at an all-time high, could thwart the fragile economic recovery, the IMF said today in the latest Fiscal Monitor.
Reducing debt significantly will require fiscal policies that support economic activity, and facilitate the restructuring of private debt and the cleanup of non-performing bank loans.
view the IMF Fiscal Monitor (FM) Debt: Use it Wisely October 2016
Source: IMF
Low Growth, Interest Rates Impact Financial Stability
October 5, 2016--Short-term risks have declined, medium-term risks building
Banks, regulators need to tackle structural challenges
Low interest rates help emerging market corporations shed debt
Financial stability risks that were bright on the radar screen six months ago-including Brexit and its possible global repercussions, high levels of corporate indebtedness in emerging markets, and uncertainties about China's growth transition-have abated, according to the International Monetary Fund's latest Global Financial Stability Report.
Source: IMF