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World Economic Forum-Maximizing the Return on Digital Investments
May 3, 2018--Digital technologies offer new ways for companies to grow and be more productive. However, it is not completely clear how investments in new technologies impact productivity.
This White Paper addresses that issue by analysing the business value impact of new technology investments and providing recommendations for maximizing that value. It includes an econometric analysis of the productivity impact of new technologies using data from a sample of over 16,000 companies from 14 industries and an analysis, through interviews and workshops with industry leaders, of key enablers and execution principles to maximize the return on digital investments.
view the World Economic Forum-Maximizing the Return on Digital Investments white paper
World Gold Council-Gold Demand Trends Q1 2018
May 3, 2018--Soft start to 2018: Q1 demand down 7%
Gold demand of 973.5t was the lowest Q1 since 2008. The main cause was a fall in investment,demand for gold bars and gold-backed ETFs, partly due to range-bound gold prices.
Jewellery demand was steady at 487.7t, as growth in China and the US compensated for weaker Indian demand. Central banks bought 116.5t of gold (+42% y-o-y). Technology demand extended its recent upward trend, growing 4% y-o-y to 82.1t. The total supply of gold increased by 3% to 1,063.5t, primarily due to a modest increase in producer hedging. Mine production was fractionally higher at 770t.
Liquidity ousts leverage as the big market worry
May 3, 2018--Some say banks' retreat from their role as market makers will amplify the next crisis.
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BetaShares-Global Market Outlook: Interest rate risk
May 2, 2018--Month in Review- Wall Street lags as yields and $US rise
Global equities rebounded in April, partly unwinding the declines over the previous two months. The rebound came despite a lift in global bond yields and reflected ongoing good growth in earnings and still reasonable valuations that allowed a small drop in the equity-yield-premium over bonds.
The MSCI All-Country Net-Return Index returned 1.8% in local-currency terms, with prices up 1.7%. Forward earnings also rose 1.7%, implying the price-to-forward earnings ratio held steady at 14.9- down from a recent high of 16.4 at end-January. On a month-end basis, this MSCI Index is now down 4.0% from its January peak.
Reflecting a rise in bond yields, the yield on the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index rose 11 basis points to 1.94%. Critically, US 10-year government bond yields rose strongly to briefly touch 3% in the month.
Global Developments Implications for the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan Region
May 2, 2018--Full Text
Global growth continued to strengthen in the second half of 2017 and is now estimated at 3.8 percent for the full year, the highest level since 2011 and 0.2 percentage point stronger than forecast in the October 2017 World Economic Outlook (see table). Growth is projected to strengthen further to 3.9 percent in 2018 and in 2019, also 0.2 percentage point higher than anticipated in October.
Stronger prospects for the euro area should benefit the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP) region, especially oil importers, through higher exports. The region should also benefit from a marginal strengthening of the outlook for China, a key partner for the region. However, the global outlook also entails higher global interest rates as monetary policy continues to normalize in advanced economies. This could increase fiscal vulnerabilities and tighten credit conditions in the MENAP region, especially if the risk that global financial conditions tighten more than expected materializes.
Progress on Global Energy Goals Slow, but Strong Gains in Countries Show Promise
May 2, 2018--The world is not on track to meet the global energy targets for 2030 set as part of the Sustainable Development Goals, but real progress is being made in certain areas-particularly expansion of access to electricity in least developed countries, and industrial energy efficiency, according to a new report from five international agencies.
Renewable energy is making impressive gains in the electricity sector, although these are not being matched in transportation and heating-which together account for 80% of global energy consumption.
view the 2018 SDG7 Tracking: The Energy Progress Report
ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis-Contrarians appear to sell US Dollar and buy sugar
April 30, 2018--US$6.7mn inflows into short USD long EUR ETPs as investors place contrarian trades.
Gold outflows resumed after two weeks of inflows.
Falling sugar prices draw out potential bargain-hunters.
US$6.7mn inflows into short USD long EUR ETPs as investors place
contrarian trades. In a week where US 10-year Treasury yield temporarily rose
above 3% for the first time since 2014, which unleashed pent-up US Dollar strength,
ETP investors appeared to take on a contrarian trade. The US Dollar basket rose 1.4%
with particular strength against the Euro (1.6%). The Euro depreciated the most on
Thursday following acknowledgment from the European Central Bank (ECB) that
economic data has been weak in the recent past and that economic developments will
need to be closely watched during Q2.
SPDR Sector Snap Shot April 2018-SPDR EMEA ETF Strategy Team
April 30, 2018--Global equity markets continued to experience downward pressure in March as the MSCI World Index
fell 2.48%.2 Volatility levels-though off the February peaks-remain at an elevated range from the high teens o the mid-20s.3 Whilst investors appeared to maintain a broadly positive view of risk assets (8 of 11 sectors had positive net flow last month), a closer look showed a clear
preference for safety: the defensive sectors saw the highest positive moves.
The strongest flows in global equities came in the Utilities sector. The March activity was enough to slide overall investor positioning into overweight territory, although the sector remains undervalued in terms of cyclically adjusted PEs. Other undervalued sectors, including Energy, Telecoms and Materials, all saw positive flows. The bulk of outflows were seen in the
highly overweight and overvalued cyclical sectors-Technology and Financials.
DECPG Global Monthly-April 2018
April 30, 2018--Overview
Global growth remains solid but showed signs of moderation in 18Q1, with survey data softening in March in both advanced economies and emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs).
Although the risk of rising trade protectionism weighed on financial market sentiment, financing conditions for EMDEs continue to be broadly supportive.
Geopolitical concerns pushed international Brent oil prices up to $75 per barrel, their highest level since 2014.
Special Focus: Policy options to lift potential growth
Potential growth has declined in EMDEs since the global financial crisis, and, unless resolute policy actions are taken, could continue to deteriorate over the next decade.
Additional investment; improved educational and health outcomes; and labor, product, and governance reforms could help revert the trend and deliver substantial gains in GDP per capita.
DECPG Global Weekly
April 27, 2018--TAKING STOCK
U.S. GDP growth decelerated in 18Q1; composite PMI rose at start of Q2
ECB kept policy unchanged; Euro Area composite PMI held steady
Bank of Japan kept interest rates on hold; manufacturing PMI edged up in April
China's household borrowing hit record level in 2017
World Bank forecasts commodity prices to rise in 2018
U.S. GDP growth decelerated in 18Q1; composite PMI rose at start of Q2. U.S. GDP rose 2.3 percent (q/q, saar) in the first quarter of 2018, down from 2.9 percent in 17Q4 (Figure 1). This deceleration reflected weaker consumer spending and exports, which were partially offset by an upturn in business investment.
