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IMF-World Economic Outlook Update, January 2019-A Weakening Global Expansion
January 21, 2019--The global expansion has weakened. Global growth for 2018 is estimated at 3.7 percent, as in the October 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast, despite weaker performance in some economies, notably Europe and Asia. The global economy is projected to grow at 3.5 percent in 2019 and 3.6 percent in 2020, 0.2 and 0.1 percentage point below last October's projections.
The global growth forecast for 2019 and 2020 had already been revised downward in the last WEO, partly because of the negative effects of tariff increases enacted in the United States and China earlier that year. The further downward revision since October in part reflects carry over from softer momentum in the second half of 2018-including in Germany following the introduction of new automobile fuel emission standards and in Italy where concerns about sovereign and financial risks have weighed on domestic demand—but also weakening financial market sentiment as well as a contraction in Turkey now projected to be deeper than anticipated.
Beyond the doomsday economics of "proof-of-work" in cryptocurrencies
January 21, 2019--Summary
Focus
The paper focuses on how Bitcoin and related cryptocurrencies verify that payments are final, ie irreversible once written into the blockchain. It points to the high costs of achieving such finality via "proof-of-work". It then weighs the outlook for cryptocurrencies based on this kind of algorithm, and looks at possible future avenues for progress.
Contribution
The paper shows that two economic limitations affect the outlook of cryptocurrencies modelled on proof-of-work. The first lies in the extreme costs of ensuring payment finality in a reasonable space of time. The second is that these systems will not be able to generate transaction fees that are adequate to guarantee payment security in future.
view the BIS Working Papers-Beyond the doomsday
economics of "proof-of-work" in cryptocurrencies
IOSCO Statement on Disclosure of ESG Matters by Issuers
January 18, 2019--The International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) is today publishing a statement setting out the importance for issuers of considering the inclusion of environmental, social and governance (ESG) matters when disclosing information material to investors' decisions.
I. Introduction
As underlined by IOSCO in its Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation,2 securities regulation has three key objectives: protecting investors, ensuring that markets are fair, efficient, and transparent, and reducing systemic risk. IOSCO Principle 16 states that issuers should provide "full, accurate, and timely disclosure of financial results, risk, and other information which is material to investors’ decisions." With regard to this Principle, IOSCO emphasizes that ESG matters, though sometimes characterized as non-financial, may have a material short-term and long-term impact on the business operations of the issuers as well as on risks and returns for investors and their investment and voting decisions.
Hedge fund outflows were worst in 2 years last quarter
January 18, 2019--2018 was first year the industry contracted since the financial crisis
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Interactive Brokers to Offer CFRA's Equity, ETF, and Mutual FundResearch to Investors on Its Platform
January 17, 2019--CFRA, one of the world's largest providers of independent research, announced today that it has teamed with the award-winning online brokerage firm InteractiveBrokers to give investors access to CFRA's world-class equity, ETF, and mutual fund research through the Investors' Marketplace platform.
CFRA provides research on more than 1,400 ETFs and 22,000 mutual fundshare classes, and its analytical team reports on more than 1,500 globalcompanies using its proprietary STARS recommendations
Basel Committee completes review of Principles for sound liquidity risk management and supervision
January 17, 2019--The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has completed a review of its 2008 Principles for sound liquidity risk management and supervision. The review confirmed that the Sound Principles remain fit for purpose, and the Committee advises banks and supervisors to remain vigilant of liquidity risks in financial markets.
The Sound Principles underscore the importance for banks of establishing a robust liquidity risk management framework. As implementation of all its standards and guidelines is a high priority for the Committee, a review of the Sound Principles was initiated in 2017. The review also covered liquidity risk-related developments in financial markets since 2008.
World Economic Forum-A brief history of globalization
January 17, 2019--When Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba in 2018 announced it had chosen the ancient city of Xi'an as the site for its new regional headquarters, the symbolic value wasn't lost on the company: it had brought globalization to its ancient birthplace, the start of the old Silk Road. It named its new offices aptly: "Silk Road Headquarters".
The city where globalization had started more than 2,000 years ago would also have a stake in globalization's future.
Alibaba shouldn't be alone in looking back. As we are entering a new, digital-driven era of globalization-we call it "Globalization 4.0"-it is worthwhile that we do the same. When did globalization start? What were its major phases? And where is it headed tomorrow?
Harnessing the long-term potential of dividend growth
January 16, 2019--Dividend growth strategies have often been regarded as attractive sources of income due to their resiliency in market downturns and subsequent participation in market rallies.
This paper explores the key characteristics and return patterns that have differentiated dividend growth strategies over time as well as explores the dividend growth methodology that ensures the long-term viability of dividends being paid.
The Eurekahedge Report-January 2019
January 16, 2019--The benchmark Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index was down 1.31%1 in December, down 3.85% year-to-date.
Total assets under management decreased by US$23.5 billion during the month as the sector witnessed performance-based decrease of US$11.3 billion while registering net asset outflows of US$12.2 billion.
TrackInsight: Strong rebound in the hope of putting an end to trade disputes!
January 15, 2018--Stocks surged on bets that the United States and China would strike a deal to put an end to their trade war.
Indeed, it becomes a critical point as Chinese exports contracted strongly in December in the wake of tariff increases, pointing to further weakness in the world's second-largest economy in 2019 and deteriorating global demand.
The S&P500 ended the week with a gain of 2.54 percent after robust U.S. jobs data and dovish comments on interest rates by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The weaker than expected ISM services report for the month of December and the partial U.S. government shutdown did not really weigh on sentiment ahead of earnings season.
