OECD headline inflation drops to 4.7% in August 2024 as energy inflation declines

October 3, 2024--"Year-on-year inflation in the OECD as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 4.7% in August 2024 from 5.4% in July.".
Year-on-year inflation in the OECD as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 4.7% in August 2024 from 5.4% in July. The fall was driven to a large extent by a decline of about 10 percentage points in Turkey inflation, which nevertheless still remained above 50%.

Declines were also observed in 24 of 38 of OECD countries. Excluding Turkey, inflation in the OECD area is estimated to have decreased more moderately, to 2.7% in August from 3.0% in July.

Inflation rose in nine OECD countries and was stable or broadly stable in five. Headline inflation stood at or below 2% in 16 countries in August, while only 9 countries had reached that mark in July.

Year-on-year OECD energy inflation fell significantly to minus 0.1% in August from 3.3% in July, with declines in 31 OECD countries. Year-on-year food inflation and core inflation (inflation less food and energy) declined in the OECD area, mainly due to sharp falls in Türkiye. Core inflation only fell in 9 countries while it rose in 10 and was stable or broadly stable in 19.

In the G7, year-on-year headline inflation eased to 2.4% in August from 2.7% in July, driven by energy prices. Headline inflation fell in all G7 countries except in Japan where it increased, and in the United Kingdom where headline inflation remained stable. Year-on-year headline inflation reached low levels last seen in 2021 in Canada and the United States (lowest level since February 2021), in Germany (since March 2021), and in France (since July 2021). Energy prices fell markedly, while G7 food and core inflation rates were stable.

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As One Cycle Ends, Another Begins Amid Growing Divergence

January 17, 2025--Growth divergences persist and could widen, while policy shifts may reignite inflation pressures in some countries
We project global growth will remain steady at 3.3 percent this year and next, broadly aligned with potential growth that has substantially weakened since before the pandemic. Inflation is declining, to 4.2 percent this year and 3.5 percent next year, in a return to central bank targets that will allow further normalization of monetary policy.

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WEF-These are the biggest risks we face now and in the next 10 years

January 15, 2025--After a challenging "super election" year in 2024, leaders face uncertainty about what lies ahead in 2025 and into the future.
The World Economic Forum's latest Global Risks Report reveals a significant carryover of 2024's key concerns while highlighting some new and notable shifts in risk perception.
The report sets the agenda for discussions at the Forum's Annual Meeting in Davos, this year convening under the title, Collaboration for the Intelligent Age.

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