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Germany leads EU growth, France jumps, Italy lags

May 13, 2011-- European economies posted solid first-quarter growth rates on Friday, with several showing strong demand at home, but Italy only scraped into growth.

Economists forecast that demand from abroad for European exporters could ease later in the year.

Germany, with the biggest European economy, led the way, expanding by a quarterly 1.5 percent to a level last seen before the economic crisis in 2008, provisional data showed.

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Source: FIN24


Spring economic forecast: European recovery maintains momentum

May 13, 2011--The EU economy is set to further consolidate its gradual recovery, growing by around 1¾% in 2011.
The EU economy is set to further consolidate its gradual recovery, with prospects for 2011 looking slightly better than projected last autumn. Gross domestic product is expected to grow by around 1¾% this year and just under 2% in 2012.

This outlook is supported by better prospects for the global economy and generally upbeat EU business sentiment.

Inflation, however, is rising faster than GDP, while unemployment is coming down more slowly.

Commodity prices driving inflation

The inflation trend reflects the increase in commodity prices, one of the most important new challenges that have emerged since the autumn. Inflation is projected to average almost 3% in the EU and 2½% in the eurozone this year, before easing to about 2% and 1¾% respectively in 2012.

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view the European Economic Forecast Spring 2011

Source: European Commission


New Irish index shows extent of property crash

May 13, 2011--The collapse of an Irish property price bubble that has blitzed the country's banks has seen values plunge by up to 52 percent since a 2007 peak, a new government index showed on Friday.

The first results from a new Central Statistics Office (CSO) index show that, countrywide, prices of all residential property are down almost 40 percent on 2007 -- and they are still falling.

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Source: EUBusiness


Euro growth eclipses rivals despite north-south divergences

May 13, 2011--Eurozone growth topped US and pre-crisis levels in powerhouse Germany, EU figures showed Friday, but divergences between accelerating northern output and the debt-laden southern nations increased.

Economic expansion across the 17-country currency bloc almost trebled to 0.8 percent in the first quarter of 2011, from 0.3 percent in the last three months of 2010 -- compared to US growth of 0.4 percent quarter-on-quarter.

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Source: EUbusiness


Europe- Shares set to rise, helped by German GDP

May 13, 2011-European stocks were set to rise on Friday, helped by forecast-beating German GDP figures as well as strong results from EADS (EAD.PA) and Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA), eclipsing lingering concerns over Greece's debt burden.

By 0630 GMT, futures for Euro STOXX 50 STXEc1, for Germany's DAX FDXc1 and for France's CAC FCEc1 were up between 0.6 percent and 0.7 percent. Germany's first-quarter GDP rose by 1.5 percent in seasonally adjusted terms, growing faster than all expectations given in a Reuters poll of 38 economists. Unadjusted figures from the Federal Statistics Office also showed that growth hit 5.2 percent on an annual basis, compared to the same quarter a year earlier.

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Source: Reuters


London Stock Exchange Group Makes Filings For Regulatory Approval With Canadian Provincial Securities Commissions

May 13, 2011--London Stock Exchange Group, together with TMX Group Inc, today announced that applications have been filed with the Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities in Ontario, Quebec, Alberta and British Columbia.

Those securities regulatory authorities will publish the applications according to their individual processes. London Stock Exchange Group and TMX Group look forward to working with provincial authorities and to advancing the approval process.

For further information, please contact:

Press Office +44 (0)20 7797 1222
newsroom@londonstockexchange.com

Source: London Stock Exchange


IMF Calls for Strengthened Policy Response, Stronger Financial Integration To Bolster Europe’s Recovery

May 12, 2011--Europe’s recovery is expected to solidify but comprehensive and bold policy action will be needed to restore fiscal health, address remaining weaknesses in the financial sector, and implement reforms to restore competiveness and growth, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said today.

“The main message of the outlook is one of quiet confidence. Europe is doing well overall -- both western Europe and eastern Europe -- and our projections for the coming months are actually quite positive,” Antonio Borges, Director of the European Department, said.

“One of the most surprising elements of the outlook for Europe is the export performance of some of the core countries, which has been remarkable. Europe is of course benefiting from the general recovery that is underway. But it also proves an important point: European integration is delivering efficiency gains, which some countries are taking advantage of to become more competitive.”

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view the Regional Economic Outlook: Europe Strengthening the Recovery-May 2011

Source: IMF


Istanbul bourse slightly recovers from CAD losses

May 12, 2011--One day after the Central Bank of Turkey announced the current account deficit (CAD) for March, a fall in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (İMKB) was partly reversed.

The MKB started the day with an immediate loss in the early morning, falling to as low as 65,200 levels right at the get go. However, Thursday’s second trading session kept the bourse from a further fall. The industrial index and the financial index rose separately by 1.06 percent and 1.52 percent.

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Source: Todays Zaman


Changes To The Composition Of The Oslo Børs Benchmark Index (OSEBX) From 1 June

May 12, 2011--Oslo Børs has done its semiannual revision of the composition of the Oslo Børs Benchmark Index (OSEBX). With effect from 1 June, shares in five companies will be removed from the index, while 3 companies will be added. The number of companies included in the index from 1 June 2011 will be 59.

The Oslo Børs Benchmark Index is intended to be an investable index that comprises a representative selection of all the shares listed on Oslo Børs. Since the index is meant to be investable, shares included in the index must be relatively easy to buy and sell in the market at any time.

With effect from 1 June 2011, shares in five companies will be removed from the index, while three companies will be added to the index.

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Source: Oslo Børs


DB Global Equity Index & ETF Research : European ETF Market Weekly Review : Equity market cloud and no silver shining keep ETF investors at bay

May 12, 2011--Investment Outlook: Flat flows beyond the € 2.5 billion DAX inflows
Overall equity ETFs received €2.8 billion in cash inflows in the past week, €2.5 billon of which went to the iShares DAX (DE) ETF. Discounting for the €2.5 billion – highly unlikely long term - inflow into a single ETF, total weekly flows of €247 million into other equity ETFs can be best termed as modest. The only exception to this trend were emerging market ETFs which collected close to €0.5 billion in the last week extending their YTD cash flow figures to over €1.4 billion.

ETFs tracking broad European developed and European sector benchmarks registered outflows of close to €250 million each. The bearish market sentiments were also reflected in the cash outflows from leveraged long ETFs and inflows into short and leveraged short ETFs.

Fixed Income ETFs registered cash outflows of €217 million in the past week. Sovereigns and money market ETFs saw outflows of €215 million and €85 million respectively. With YTD cash outflows of €261 million, it has been a weak year so far for fixed income ETFs with commodities and equities sharing the bulk of cash flows between them.

Commodities witnessed cash outflows of €77 in the past week taking the YTD flow figures to €2.3 billion. Broad commodity benchmarked ETFs and Gold ETPs received €82 million and €71 million in cash flows in the past week. The fortunes of silver benchmarked ETPs declined as falling silver spot prices contributed to outflows of €234 million.

Assets Under Management (AUM): Assets remain Flat

Total European ETP assets decreased by 0.2% and ended the previous week at €242.5 billion. Equities gained €2 billion in assets, to end the week at €158 billion. Most of the European equity benchmarks ended lower than the previous week’s close: Stoxx 50, FTSE 100, CAC, & the DAX lost 1.94%, 1.53%, 1.19% and 0.3% respectively. ETFs tracking European and Eurozone benchmark indices lost €327 million & €273 million week on week respectively. European sector ETFs also witnessed a decrease in assets by €336 million to end the week at €10 billion.

The last week witnessed a broad based correction in spot prices of most of the traded commodities. As a result, overall commodity ETP assets decreased by close to €2.5 billion in the past week. Silver witnessed a decline of 22.9% price ($/oz) decline which translated into a similar decline of 31 %( €1.2 billion) in assets of silver ETPs to end the week €2.8 billion. Gold ETP assets declined by €355 million to end the week at €23.5 billion. ETFs tracking broad commodity benchmarks also declined by €404 million but still maintained a healthy growth of 20.6% over 2010 year end figures.

Fixed Income AUM remained flat in the last week at €41.9 billion

On-Exchange Total Weekly Turnover: Robust weekly gains led by equity & commodities

Weekly on exchange European ETP total turnover increased by a massive 49% to end the past week at € 13.4 billion. Aided by increased trading activity in equity and commodity ETPs and 5 complete trading sessions, overall ETP exchange turnover gained by over €4 billion & now is at 35% higher levels than 2010 levels. Equities and commodities added close to €2.5 billion and €2 billion in on-exchange trades week on week. Fixed Income ETF turnover went down by 10% to end the week at €952 million.

New ETP Product Launch Calendar: 10 new launches, 23 listings.

Amundi launched two Equity ETFs in the last week offering exposure to the Asian and Latin American emerging markets. Two fixed Income ETFs were introduced which track the iBoxx Euro Corporates Financials and ex Financials indices respectively. All the 4 offerings were listed on the NYSE Euronext Paris.

Lyxor launched 3 Fixed Income ETFs that offer leveraged exposure to Italian and German Sovereign bonds respectively. These ETFs were listed on the NYSE Euronext Paris.

UBS introduced 3 equity ETFs which track a range of developed market benchmarks offering exposure to Japan, Canada and the EMU. These ETFs were listed on the Swiss Stock Exchange. Overall there were 17 equity and 6 alternative ETFs that were cross-listed in the European exchanges over the last week.

To request a copy of the report

Source: Deutsche Bank Global Equity Index & ETF Research


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