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July 2011: Business Climate Indicator continues to decline in the euro area

July 28, 2011--The Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area fell for the fifth month in a row in July 2011. The current level of the indicator remains comparatively high, but the steady fall observed since March indicates that euro-area industry has entered a phase of growth moderation.

The drop in the BCI in July reflects primarily weakening production expectations and worsening assessments of production trends observed in recent months. These developments went along with managers being more pessimistic about overall order books and export order books. Appraisal of stocks continued to increase from historic lows.

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Source: Europa


July 2011: Economic sentiment drops in both the EU and the euro area

July 28, 2011--The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) for the EU and the euro area declined in July but remains above its long-term average. It fell, by 2.2 points respectively, to 102.4 in the EU and to 103.2 in the euro area.

In the euro area the fall resulted from a decline in confidence in all sectors, with strong losses in industry and services. In the EU confidence also declined notably in industry, retail trade and among consumers, with marginal falls in services and an improvement in the construction sector.

Most Member States recorded a drop in sentiment. Among the seven largest EU Members States, confidence in Italy fell the most (-4.5), followed by Spain (-2.7). The confidence indicator fell less significantly in the Netherlands (-2.1), Germany (-1.8), the UK (-1.4) and France (-0.5), while it improved slightly in Poland (+0.4). In July, the ESI remains above its long-term average only in Germany and France.

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Source: Europa


Euro area economic and financial developments by institutional sector

July 28, 2011--In the first quarter of 2011, the annual growth rate1 of net disposable income in the euro area increased to 4.0%, compared with 2.8% in the fourth quarter of 2010 (see Annex, Table 1). The annual growth rate of final consumption in the euro area increased to 2.7% in the first quarter (2010q4: 2.4%). Gross fixed capital formation increased by 6.7% in the first quarter of 2011, compared with 2.6% in the previous quarter.

The annual growth rate of households’ gross disposable income increased to 2.4% in the first quarter of 2011, from 1.6% in the previous quarter (see Table 2). The annual growth rate of households’ consumption expenditure was 3.2% in the first quarter compared with 3.3% in the previous quarter. The annual growth rate of households’ gross saving was -3.0% in the first quarter compared with -8.9% previously. The households’ gross saving rate2 stood at 13.5%, compared with 14.8% in the first quarter of 2010. The annual growth rates of financing and financial investment decreased to 2.3% and 2.6% respectively in the first quarter of 2011 (2010q4: 2.7% and 2.9% respectively). Households’ net worth3 increased by 2.9% in the first quarter, compared with 3.9% in the previous quarter.

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Source: ECB


ESMA publishes a statement on disclosures related to sovereign debt to be included in IFRS financial statements

July 28, 2011--According to European Regulation no 1095/2010 establishing the European Securities and Markets Au-thority (ESMA), ESMA shall act in the field of financial reporting, to ensure the effective and consistent application of European Securities and Markets legislation.

As a result of recently increased market interest in sovereign debt, ESMA has increased its coordination of the monitoring activities of competent authorities in response to the specific market circumstances and developments in this area.

Consequently, ESMA would like to stress the need for enhanced transparency in European listed issuers’ interim and annual financial statements using International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRSs). In doing this, ESMA would point out that IFRSs are issued by the International Accounting Standards Board, and the IFRS Interpretations Committee provides the authoritative guidance on the interpretation of IFRSs. Consequently this statement should not be understood as constituting guidance or recommenda-tions on IFRS, but rather as assisting issuers in preparing disclosures on sovereign debt.

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Source: ESMA


Source Assets Top US$10 billion

July 27, 2011--Source, the specialist provider of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), is pleased to announce that assets in its 93 products now total over US$10bn

Source was founded to bring efficiency, liquidity and transparency to the European ETF market,” commented Source CEO Ted Hood. “This landmark is proof that our approach is working. Source’s multi-counterparty platform and robust ETF structure have quickly won investors’ approval.

Since its launch in April 2009, Source has been one of the fastest growing European ETP providers. Source has also delivered liquidity, with some of the most actively traded products in the market. “Assets under management don’t tell the whole story,” added Hood. “In the two years since launch, we’ve seen turnover of over US$240 bn in Source products, a strong signal from the investment community that these are the products they want to trade.”

Source brings together some of the trading houses, market makers and asset managers. Source’s partners include BofA Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Nomura, Nyenburgh and 18 other market makers, as well as asset managers PIMCO and Man GLG. In equity ETFs, Source’s market leading swap-enhanced ETF structure combines the security of a physical investment with the use of swaps to minimise tracking error, tracking index performance.

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Source: Source ETF


Eight new db x-trackers ETFs launched on Xetra

ETFs track performance of country and regional indices in MSCI index family / First ETF on Russell Midcap Index
July 27, 2011--Eight new ETFs issued by db X-trackers have been tradable in Deutsche Börse’s XTF segment since Tuesday.

Six db x-trackers ETFs track the performance of companies from the following countries and regions in the MSCI index family: Chile, China, EFM Africa, EM Eastern Europe, India, Malaysia and Thailand.

The db x-trackers Russell Midcap Index ETF enables investors to participate in the performance of SMEs headquartered in the US. With 800 securities, the MSCI Russell Midcap Index covers approximately 27% of the total market capitalisation of the companies in the Russell 1000.

The product offering in Deutsche Börse’s XTF segment currently comprises a total of 856 exchange-listed index funds, making it the largest offering of all European stock exchanges. This selection, together with an average monthly trading volume of €14 billion, makes Xetra Europe’s leading trading venue for ETFs.

Source: Deutsche Börse


BlackRock ETF Landscape: STOXX Europe 600 Sector ETF Net Flows: week ending 22-Jul-2011

July 27, 2011--For the week ending 22 July 2011, there were US$328.1 Mn net inflows to STOXX Europe 600 sector ETFs. The largest sector ETF net inflows last week were in banks with US$161.3 Mn followed by insurance with US$107.6 Mn net inflows while basic resources experienced net outflows of US$60.3 Mn.

Banks has seen the largest net inflows with US$392.2 Mn, followed by healthcare with US$223.2 Mn net inflows, while utilities experienced the largest net outflows with US$238.5 Mn. Year to date, STOXX Europe 600 sector ETFs have seen US$150.8 Mn net inflows.

As of 22 July 2011, there is US$10.2 Bn AUM invested in the STOXX sector ETFs which is greater than the US$6.1 Bn open interest in the sector futures. The ETF AUM is greater than the open interest in the corresponding futures contract in 17 out of 19 sectors.

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Source: Global ETF Research & Implementation Strategy Team, BlackRock


Europe Hedge Fund Launches Bigger than Ever-Data

Average size of new launches at record high of $116 mln
Total assets raised up, number of launches falls
July 27, 2011--New European hedge fund launches are starting life with more client capital than ever, data from EuroHedge showed on Wednesday, as investors put their faith in a select band of managers they think can guide them through choppy markets.

The average size of offshore hedge funds launched in Europe during the first six months of this year was $116 million, almost double the $65 million seen in the first half of last year and higher than in any previous six-month period, the data group said on Wednesday.

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Source: Reuters


France: Selected Issues Paper

July 27, 2011--I. FRANCE’S POTENTIAL OUTPUT DURING THE CRISIS AND RECOVERY1
Using three distinct approaches—statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model—this note estimates potential output for France during 1980–2010 and discusses long-term growth prospects. The main findings include: (i) prior to the crisis, France’s potential output growth had already been on a declining trend, reflecting a slowing TFP growth and falling average working hours per worker;

(ii) potential output losses due to the financial crisis are estimated to be between 1 percent and 3 percent, somewhere between the losses of Germany and the U.S.; (iii) demographic factors would likely shave 0.2 percent from potential growth over the next two decades; and (iv) boosting potential growth in the period ahead would require structural reforms to increase the participation rate, reduce structural unemployment, raise working hours, encourage capital accumulation and utilization, as well as spur TFP.

A. Introduction

1. An important economic issue facing France today is the rate of its future potential output growth. Indeed, potential growth determines the extent to which a country can attain a higher living standard while providing social security and jobs for its citizens. Furthermore, given that potential output is an indicator of the level of economic activity consistent with price stability, an accurate measure of the corresponding output gap—the deviation of actual from potential output—provide a key barometer of an economy’s cyclical position.

view the France: Selected Issues Paper

Source: IMF


Russia to increase arms spending in 2011 by half

July 27, 2011--Russia will increase by half the amount it spends on modernising and re-arming its ailing military in 2011 compared to last year, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin told defense and finance officials on Tuesday.

About 750 billion rubles ($27.20 billion) will be spent this year on purchasing arms, defense-related research and development work, Putin said. "We have never allocated an amount like this in Russia for one year," he said on state TV.

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Source: Todays Zaman


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