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World Bank Projects Sluggish Growth for the South East European Economies in 2011 and 2012
While the region has made significant progress over recent years, it is at risk from the effects of a further global slowdown and needs to adopt policies that support stability and longer term growth
November 15, 2011 – While a global slowdown and recent turbulence in the Eurozone have shaken economies of the six countries in South East Europe (SEE6)[1], their deeper integration with the European Union (EU) remains the best long term prospect for their growth, according to the new World Bank “South East Europe Regular Economic Report” (SEE RER), released today. This is the first of a series of regular reports which will come out semi-annually.
Our projections are for the growth in this region of 2.5 percent in 2011 and 2.1 percent in 2012,” says Ron Hood, Lead Economist in the World Bank’s Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit in the Europe and Central Asia region and lead author of the report. “However, even these modest growth projections assume that the Eurozone crisis is solved in an orderly manner. Should the crisis worsen, economic growth in these countries could be much worse.”
The effects of a further global slowdown and the prolonged uncertainties around the Eurozone crisis will influence SEE6 economies through trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), foreign banks, and remittances, according to the report. All these transmission channels would be affected by deeper economic and financial tensions in the EU and the Eurozone.
Trade with the EU is a key driver of exports and overall economic growth for SEE6 countries, amounting to between 30 percent and almost half of their GDP. In 2010, 58.2 percent of total SEE6 exports were to the EU, with the lion’s share going to Italy and Germany. After a drop by 14.7 percent in 2009, exports marked a robust growth by 20 percent in 2010, peaked at 29.7 percent in the first quarter of 2011 year on year, and have subsequently slowed. Imports have a similar dynamics but with a deeper decline in 2009 and a more muted recovery.
view World Bank report-South East Europe Regular Economic Report
Source: World Bank
September 2011 compared with August 2011-Industrial production down by 2.0% in euro area
Down by 1.3% in EU27
November 14, 2011--In September 2011 compared with August 2011, seasonally adjusted industrial production1 fell by 2.0% in the euro area2 (EA17) and by 1.3% in the EU272.
In August3 production rose by 1.4% and 1.0% respectively.
In September 2011 compared with September 2010, industrial production increased by 2.2% in both zones.
These estimates are released by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
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Source: Eurostat
Euro Finance Week Frankfurt/Main - Speech Reto Francioni
November 14, 2011--Ladies and Gentlemen:
First, I wish you a pleasant morning and an inspiring day. From what I have
seen, productive dialogue seems to be taking place everywhere.
I am pleased to be able to speak to you today. In my talk, I would like to address three aspects of competitiveness of exchange operators in the context of the
current regulatory debate:
Firstly, the indisputable advantages the planned merger between Deutsche
Börse and NYSE Euronext will have for our city as a financial center;
Secondly, the advantages for all other stakeholders; and
Thirdly, the consequences for competition on the derivatives market. [Position as a financial center] On the first point: The merger between Deutsche Börse and NYSE Euronext will reinforce Frankfurt’s position as a financial center, it will reinforce Germany’s position as a financial center, and it will reinforce Europe’s position as a financial center. It’s an answer to structural changes in global competition among exchange operators and providers of over-the-counter trading platforms. The stock markets are exhibiting a clear trend toward Europeanization of trading and the next step, globalization of trading. The derivatives market, market data and post-trading functions are already global.
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Source: Deutsche Börse
EEX records rising volumes on the Natural Gas Derivatives Market - Incentive scheme still available until the end of the year
November 14, 2011--The volume on the Natural Gas Derivatives Market of the European Energy Exchange (EEX) is increasing further. From the introduction of the incentive scheme on 1 August 2011 until 11 November 2011, a total of 6,144 contracts was traded on the EEX Derivatives Market for natural gas in the GASPOOL and NCG market areas (as against 1,960 contracts traded in the same period in the previous year).
This corresponds to a trading volume of 13,354,701 MWh and, hence, almost four times the volume generated during the same period in the previous year (3,436,270 MWh).
“Through the incentive model for the Gas Derivatives Market, we are setting impulses for long-term trading”, emphasizes Oliver Maibaum, Managing Director Exchange. The premium has been paid out seven times since the introduction of the model. “The companies are trading higher quantities on the Gas Derivatives Market than before. In addition, the stable market making – i.e. daily quoting for both market areas (GASPOOL and NCG) – supports liquidity on the Gas Derivatives Market.
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Source: European Energy Exchange (EEX)
Europe’s largest banks have become too big to save
November 14, 2011--The financial fates of Europe’s banks and its governments are inextricably linked: because the banks are the primary source of funding for government deficits, government debt represents a large proportion of the asset base of most eurozone banks. Insolvency of one therefore threatens insolvency of the other.
The prevailing narrative is that this symbiosis makes the largest European banks too big to fail, driving eurozone governments to provide massive capital infusions and guarantees to banks during financial crises. The truth, however, is that, given the level of eurozone government indebtedness and the relative size of Europe’s banks, Europe’s largest banks are now too big to save.
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Source: FT.com
Italy Imposes Ban on ‘Naked’ Short Selling of Shares, Financial Times Says
November 12, 2011--Italy imposed a ban on so-called naked short selling of all Italian securities, the Financial Times reported, citing a statement from Consob, the nation’s securities market watchdog.
The ban will apply to foreign and domestic investors irrespective of where Italian-regulated shares are traded, the newspaper said. The measure will take effect Dec. 1, lasting for the foreseeable future, and could be modified or withdrawn depending on market conditions, according to the report.
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Source: Bloomberg
Euro area securities issues statistics: September 2011
November 11, 2011--The annual growth rate of the outstanding amount of debt securities issued by euro area residents was 3.3% in September 2011, the same as in August. For the outstanding amount of quoted shares issued by euro area residents, the annual growth rate was 1.9% in September 2011, the same as in August.
New issuance of debt securities by euro area residents totalled EUR 1,010 billion in September 2011
(see Table 1 and Chart 1). Redemptions stood at EUR 1,005 billion and net issues amounted to EUR 12
billion (see Table 1). 1 The annual growth rate of outstanding debt securities issued by euro area
residents was 3.3% in September 2011, the same as in August (see Table 1 and Chart 3).
As regards the sectoral breakdown, the annual growth rate of outstanding debt securities issued by nonfinancial corporations decreased from 5.3% in August 2011 to 5.0% in September (see Table 2 and Chart 4). For the monetary financial institutions (MFIs) sector, this growth rate increased from 1.9% in August 2011 to 2.3% in September. The annual rate of change of outstanding debt securities issued by financial corporations other than MFIs was -0.3% in September 2011, compared with -1.1% in August. For the general government, this growth rate decreased from 6.4% in August 2011 to 5.9% in September.
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Source: ECB
ESMA launches a consultation on the considerations of materiality in financial reporting
November 11, 2011--The objective of financial statements is to provide information to a range of users for the purpose of eco-nomic decision making. To be useful, such statements must present fairly the financial position, perform-ance and cash flows of the reporting entity.
Where information which is required by the relevant financial reporting framework is omitted or misstated and such information could influence the economic decision-making of a user, financial statements cannot be said to achieve a fair presentation. The concept of ‘mate-riality’ is used to describe such information.
A recurring theme of discussions at the European Enforcers Coordination Sessions (a forum in which all European National Enforcers of financial information meet to exchange views and discuss experiences of enforcement of IFRS) is the apparent differing views regarding the practical application of the concept of materiality amongst preparers, auditors, possibly users of the financial reports and, in some instances, accounting enforcers. The purpose of this consultation paper is to seek comments from interested parties on their understanding of various aspects of materiality in an effort to contribute to a consistent applica-tion of this important concept in financial reporting.
Responses to this consultation paper should be submitted online in the section Consultations by 29 February 2012.
Source: ESMA
NYSE Euronext European ETF activity highlights for September 2011
October 10, 2011--Listings
September saw 8 new ETF listings from two different issuers, 1 from Lyxor and 7 from SPDR ETFs:
|
September ETF Listings | |||
|
Trading Symbol |
Listing Date |
Trading Name |
Underlying Index |
|
ACWI |
12/09/2011 |
LYXOR ACWI |
MSCI All Country World |
|
ACWE |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR ACWI |
MSCI All Country World |
|
September ETF Listings | |||
|
Trading Symbol |
Listing Date |
Trading Name |
Underlying Index |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR EM ASIA |
MSCI EM Asia |
|
EMEO |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR EM EUROPE |
MSCI EM Europe |
|
EMLA |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR EM LATAM |
MSCI EM Latin America |
|
EMRG |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR EMERGING |
MSCI Emerging Markets |
|
EMSP |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR EM SMALLCAP |
MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap |
|
IMIE |
14/09/2011 |
SPDR ACWI IMI |
MSCI ACWI IMI |
In total, NYSE Euronext had 684 listings of 586 ETFs from 18 issuers. So far this year, there have been a total of 139 new ETF listings on the NYSE Euronext European cash markets, including 111 new primary listings and 28 cross-listings (compared to 46 new primary listings and no cross-listing in the same period in 2010).
NYSE Euronext ETFs cover more than 400 indices exposed to an extensive range of assets and strategies (Equities, Fixed Income, Commodities, Short, Leverage, etc).
Trading activity
September continued in much the same fashion as August, with considerable volatility in the markets, as highlighted by the VIX Volatility Index seesawing its way through the month from a level of 31.91 on the first day of trading to close the month at 42.96, and hitting almost every level in between.
Macro-economic circumstances boosted a pick-up in trading of Fixed Income ETFs, and in particular those tracking credit default swap indexes. The latter traded 71.4 percent more than in the previous month. The overall uncertain sentiment was a major contributor to another month of strong ETF trading activity, which accounted for more than ten percent of total cash equity activity on more than a few days in September:
An average of 13,070 on-book trades were executed daily in September, up 56.1% on September 2010 and +26.6% year-to-date vs last year. The average daily value traded on-book in September was €558.0 million, +82.3% vs September 2010 and +28.6% year-to-date vs last year. The total traded on-book value amounted to €12.3 billion.
As a reminder, an enhanced version of the block-trade or off-book trading functionality was launched in early July. It features extended trading hours, standard clearing & settlement and reduced trading fees. Moreover, in a bid to increase post-trade transparency in the ETF space, off-book trading volume is aggregated to central order book volumes and made available by data vendors under the main, official ETF ticker. For example, under Bloomberg ticker LEM FP Equity QR a block of 5.2 million shares was printed on September 26 at 09:33:52 CET using the off-book trading functionality.
A total of €1.3 billion was exchanged in block trades in September, up 273.3% on the same month last year. Overall, block trade volume represented 9.5% of total regulated market ETF trading on NYSE Euronext.
More information about the enhanced block-trade or off-book trading functionality is available here.
Assets Under Management (AUM)
At the end of September 2011, the combined AUM of all ETFs listed on the NYSE Euronext European markets totaled €124.5 billion, an increase of 2.5% from the €121.4 billionat the end of September 2010.
Compared with August 2011, however, there was a slight decline of 1.3% in AUM with Agricultural and Industrial Metals ETFs suffering the sharpest drops, -29.7 and -34.0% respectively. Interestingly, Industrial Metals ETFs was one of only three categories in which net creations took place in September. The other two were Money Market (+10.2%) and Strategy (+5.3%) ETFs. At the same time, Aggregate and Covered Bond ETFs saw the relative largest redemptions, -14.8 and -14.3% compared to August 2011.
Market Quality
Our high-capacity, low-latency technology, combined with the flow from client orders, competitive market makers and our 23 first-class Liquidity Providers, contributed to a median spread for all listed ETFs of 38.83 bps.
Several LPs expanded their activity in September, both on new ETFs listed during the month and on existing ETFs. In total, 5 LPs took on liquidity responsibilities for 22 additional LP contracts on 16 ETFs:
Commerzbank: 2 new contracts for iShares.
IMC: 5 new contracts; 1 for db x-trackers, 3 for iShares and 1 for Lyxor.
Kyte / Bluefin championed the 7 new SPDR listings.
Société Générale signed on for the new Lyxor listing.
Unicredit also supported 4 of the new SPDR listings, while also taking on 3 new contracts for EasyETF.
view the September 2011 edition of the ETF Monthly Flash.
Source: NYSE Euronext
The AMF opens an investigation after Standard & Poor’s dissemination of mistaken information
November 10, 2011--The AMF Secretary General opened an investigation after the rating agency Standard & Poor’s indicated that it had mistakenly sent a message announcing a downgrade of France’s credit rating to some of its clients.
The AMF also contacted the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), as it is under
its jurisdiction to ensure that rating agencies meet their professional obligations.
Source: Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF)
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