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IMF Working Paper-A Bottom-Up Reduced Form Phillips Curve for the Euro Area

December 16, 2022--Summary:
We develop a bottom-up model of inflation in the euro area based on a set of augmented Phillips curves for seven subcomponents of core inflation and auxiliary regressions for non-core items. We use the model's disaggregated structure to explore which factors drove the deterioration in forecasting performance during the pandemic period and use these insights to improve on the ability to forecast inflation.

In the baseline, the projection for core inflation is centered above 3 percent at end-2023, while headline inflation is expected to drop quite sharply over 2023, with energy base effects pulling inflation down from the currently very elevated levels to below 3 percent by 2023q4. The confidence intervals around these projections are wide given elevated uncertainty. We argue that the bottom-up approach offers a useful complement to the forecasters toolbox -even in the current uncertain environment- by improving forecast accuracy, shedding additional light on the drivers of inflation and providing a framework in which to apply ex post judgement in a structured way.

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Source: imf.org


ESMA provides guidance for supervision of cross-border activities of investment firms

December 14, 2022--The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU's financial markets regulator and supervisor, today publishes a Supervisory Briefing to ensure convergence across the European Union (EU) in the supervision of the cross-border activities of investment firms.

The free provision of services in the EU rests on the supervision of the home NCA and on the cooperation between home and host supervisors. To this end, this briefing covers the following areas:

authorisation of firms with cross-border plans;
processing of passport notifications and their impact on the supervisory approach applied to firms;
arrangements in place to carry out ongoing supervisory activities;
carrying out of ongoing supervision; and

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Source: ESMA


ESMA publishes latest edition of its newsletter

December 13 2022--The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU's financial markets regulator and supervisor, has today published the November edition of its Spotlight on Markets Newsletter.

Your one-stop-shop in the world of EU financial markets features an update on the memorandums of understanding (MoUs) between ESMA and non-EU authorities responsible for CCPs and a statement delivered by Steffen Kern, ESMA Head of Risk Analysis and Chief Economist, to the European Parliament, presenting the initial analysis on the collapse of FTX.

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Source: ESMA


ESAs publish joint advice to the EU Commission on the review of the securitisation prudential framework

December 12, 2022--The three European Supervisory Authorities (EBA, EIOPA and ESMA -ESAs) today published a joint advice in response to the European Commission's October 2021 call for advice on the review of the securitisation prudential framework.

The ESAs welcome the current review as an opportunity to assess the performance of the current framework and support the objective of reviving the EU securitisation market. 

The targeted proposals in the advice aim at improving the consistency and risk sensitivity of the capital framework for banks whereas the liquidity framework for banks and the prudential framework for (re)insurers should be maintained as it currently stands. However, the ESAs believe that re-calibrating the securitisation prudential framework would not be a solution that in itself would ensure the revival of the securitisation market. 

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Source: ESMA


New HSBC Equity ETF on Xetra: access to emerging market companies with value strategy

December 9, 2022--Since Friday, a new exchange-traded fund issued by HSBC Asset Management has been tradable on Xetra and via the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
The HSBC MSCI Emerging Markets Value ESG UCITS ETF invests in large and mid-cap companies domiciled in emerging markets worldwide. The ETF uses a value approach in its selection.

The selection is based on three value-specific variables, the price-to-book, price-to-earnings, and price-to-cash flow ratios, to identify undervalued companies.

In addition, an improved ESG score of 20 per cent compared to the main index is to be achieved.

The ETF excludes companies involved in serious ESG controversies or doing business in weapons, oil sands, thermal coal, tobacco, and non-medical cannabis.

Name: HSBC MSCI Emerging Markets Value ESG UCITS ETF USD Acc
Asset class: Equity ETF
ISIN: IE000NVVIF88

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Source: Xetra


New equity ETF from iShares on Xetra: global and broadly diversified investment in companies with a sustainable approach

December 9, 2022--A new exchange traded fund from iShares has been tradable on Xetra and via the Frankfurt Stock Exchange since Friday.
The iShares MSCI ACWI SRI UCITS ETF offers investors access to companies from all over the world that fulfil a distinct sustainability profile. The underlying companies must meet certain environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria. Companies from controversial sectors are excluded from the benchmark.

The ETF follows a best-in-class approach and thus invests in the best issuers of the respective sector before an SRI perspective.

Name: iShares MSCI ACWI SRI UCITS ETF USD (Dist)
Asset Class: Equity ETF ISIN: IE000RDRMSD6

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Source: Xetra


Five new ETCs from Societe Generale on Xetra: access to the energy and precious metals commodities sector as well as CO2 emission rights

December 9, 2022--Since Friday, five new exchange-traded commodities (ETCs) of Société Générale are tradable on Xetra and via Börse Frankfurt.
With its ETCs, Société Générale offers investors the opportunity to gain exposure to the commodities market via futures contracts. In the energy sector, its product range includes ETCs on the performance of Henry Hub Natural Gas and Brent Crude Oil. In the precious metals sector, ETCs are available on the futures contracts of gold and silver.

In addition, the ETC on the ICE EUA Futures offers an investment in futures contracts on CO2 emission rights (ICE EAU).

All five ETCs are fully collateralised. Since futures contracts have a limited term, they are generally exchanged before maturity for the futures contract with the next maturity date (so-called roll-over). Depending on whether the purchased futures contract is cheaper or more expensive than the sold futures contract, roll profits or roll losses are achieved.

Name: ETC bezogen auf den Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures
Asset Class: ETC ISIN: DE000ETC0704

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Source: Xetra


World Bank Releases Its First Report on the Circular Economy in the EU, Says Decoupling Growth From Resource Use in Europe Achievable Within Decade

December 6, 2022--Globally, extraction of raw materials stands at over 100 billion tons, annually. This staggering figure is driven by both the persistently high levels of material consumption in high-income countries and the rapidly growing needs in emerging economies.

The World Bank's first comprehensive report on the circular economy in the European Union (EU)-"Squaring the Circle: Policies from Europe's Circular Economy Transition"-states that the current "take-make-use-waste" linear model of economic expansion is increasingly unsustainable, not only on environmental terms, but also from an economic security and inclusion dimension. The report concludes, however, that comprehensive policy packages can reduce material consumption while still maintaining growth and welfare creation.

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Source: worldbank.org


UK official holdings of international reserves: December 2022

January 5, 2023--This release details movements in the international reserves of gold and assets held by the UK Government.

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Source: gov.uk


UK official holdings of international reserves: November 2022

December 5, 2022--This release details movements in the international reserves of gold and assets held by the UK government.

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Source: .gov.uk


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