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Summer 2020 Economic Forecast: An even deeper recession with wider divergences

July 7, 2020--The EU economy will experience a deep recession this year due to the coronavirus pandemic, despite the swift and comprehensive policy response at both EU and national levels. Because the lifting of lockdown measures is proceeding at a more gradual pace than assumed in our Spring Forecast, the impact on economic activity in 2020 will be more significant than anticipated.

The Summer 2020 Economic Forecast projects that the euro area economy will contract by 8.7% in 2020 and grow by 6.1% in 2021. The EU economy is forecast to contract by 8.3% in 2020 and grow by 5.8% in 2021. The contraction in 2020 is, therefore, projected to be significantly greater than the 7.7% projected for the euro area and 7.4% for the EU as a whole in the Spring Forecast. Growth in 2021 will also be slightly less robust than projected in the spring.

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Source: ec.europa.eu


New UBS ETF on Xetra: Sustainable investments on S&P 500

July 7, 2020--Since Tuesday, a new ETF issued by UBS Global Asset Management has been tradable on Xetra and Börse Frankfurt.
With the UBS ETF (IE) S&P 500 ESG UCITS ETF (USD) A-acc, investors can invest in currently 310 companies from the S&P 500 Index, taking into account sustainability criteria.

The sectors are represented in the same way as the composition of the S&P 500 Index. Companies are excluded if they are active in the tobacco industry, trade in or produce controversial weapons, have a low rating according to the UN Global Compact guidelines or are among the 25 per cent of the worst rated companies within their own industry according to the S&P Dow Jones Index ESG scores.

Any dividends received are reinvested. The annual costs amount to 0.12 percent.

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Source: Deutsche B&puml;rse


The impact economy: balancing profit and impact

July 7, 2020--Governments and companies can reinforce each other in their pursuit of sustainable development, which is based on three pillars: economic, social and environmental. An impact economy, in which governments and companies balance profit and impact, is best placed to achieve the United Nations sustainable development goals.

How can governments and companies be jointly empowered to have a positive impact on the sustainable development goals? The current economic system is largely geared towards increasing economic growth. But this could come at the expense of rising social inequality and environmental degradation.

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Source: bruegel.org


Hedge fund launches seize up in tough markets

July 6, 2020-- Just 84 funds got going in the first quarter, while 304 were liquidated. The coronavirus crisis has made life even tougher for start-up hedge funds around the world.

While some of the biggest names in the industry..

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Source: FT.com


Russian Economy Faces Deep Recession Amid Global Pandemic and Oil Crisis, Says New World Bank Report

July 6, 2020--Fueled by a COVID-19 triggered deep global recession, Russia's 2020 GDP growth is projected to contract by 6 percent, an eleven-year low, with a moderate recovery in 2021-2022, according to the World Bank's latest Russia Economic Report (#43 in the series). The decline of Russian economic growth is further exacerbated by plummeting crude oil prices that dropped 53 percent between January and May 2020.

In 2020, overall household consumption is expected to shrink by 4.9 percent, and gross fixed capital investment by 8 percent. Through April and May 2020, negative growth was reflected in most sectors, with manufacturing contracting 8.6 percent in this period; mineral-resource extraction decreasing by 8.4 percent, resulting in rapid shrinking of industrial production; and the transport sector experiencing a 7.7 percent contraction, driven by falling trade volumes since the beginning of the year.

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view the Full Report: Russia-Recession and Growth under the Shadow of a Pandemic

Source: Worldbank.org


Passives paradox: is active the only way to make an impact on ESG?

July 5, 2020--Does the passive push into ESG mean giving up one of the key tenets of responsible investing? We asked specialists in this area how to engage in the era of indices.

The future may well be green for passives. With ETF giant BlackRock nailing its colours to the ESG mast, the sheer volume of assets allocated to ESG via passive strategies is likely to skyrocket in the not-too-distant future.

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Source: citywireselector.com


Euro area bank interest rate statistics: May 2020

July 3, 2020--The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator for new loans to corporations and for new loans to households for house purchase remained broadly unchanged in May 2020, at 1.46% and 1.42%, respectively.

In the same month, the euro area composite interest rate for new deposits with agreed maturity from corporations decreased by 5 basis points to -0.10%, driven by the interest rate effect, whereas the interest rate for overnight deposits from corporations showed no change at 0.00%.

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Source: ECB


ESMA Newsletter-N0.15

July 3, 2020--Welcome to the 15th edition of ESMA's newsletter.
​This month, ESMA has published its 2019 Annual Report, released an important video on cost and performance and approved the new Securities and Markets Stakeholder Group (SMSG).

In this edition, we also take a closer look at our full list of ESMA staff webinars and catch up on publications from June.

​Finally, the Board of Supervisors will meet next on 7 & 8 July so stay with us for more updates.

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Source: ESMA


Research and analysis: UK official holdings of international reserves: June 2020

July 3, 2020--This release details movements in the international reserves of gold and assets held by the UK government.

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Source: gov.uk


New UBS ETF on Xetra: Sustainable investments in equities from the Pacific region

July 3, 2020--Since Friday, a new exchange traded fund issued by UBS Global Asset Management has been tradable on Xetra and Börse Frankfurt.
With the UBS ETF (LU) MSCI Pacific Socially Responsible UCITS ETF (USD) A-acc, investors can invest in large and medium-sized companies from five industrialised nations in the Pacific region, considering sustainability criteria.

Companies with significant business activities in the fields of nuclear energy, tobacco, steam coal, alcohol, gambling, weapons and genetically modified organisms are excluded from the index. The weighting of a stock is limited to a maximum of five per cent.

Any dividends received are reinvested. The annual costs amount to 0.40 per cent.

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Source: Xetra


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