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UK investors believe economic recovery will be short lived

November 5, 2009--UK investors believe any economic recovery will be short lived, with the majority of investors positioning their portfolios in preparation for a W shaped recession, according to a survey by iShares.

The survey, which collated over 200 responses for each question, asked ETF investors to consider answers relating to some of their key investment challenges.

It found that 61 per cent believe the recovery will take the shape of a W as opposed to a U or a V, and 78 per cent think the emerging markets will come out on top at the end of the recession versus the west.

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Source: ETF Express


Deutsche Börse AG, Q3/2009: Solid Result Despite Continued Weak Market Activity

Stable business performance compared to Q2/2009/ Costs in first nine months at 2008 level despite higher expenses for growth initiatives/ Earnings per share €0.85 (Q2/2009: €0.89)/ Cost target for 2010 shall not exceed 2009 cost guidance of €1,280 million
November 5, 2009-- Deutsche Börse Group in the third quarter 2009 once again generated a solid result. Market activity has stabilized at second quarter 2009 levels despite seasonally weaker activity in July and August. Clearstream’s post-trading activities also showed stable performance. Assets under custody rose quarter-on-quarter in both the international and the domestic business. Overall, it was not possible to achieve the level of revenue seen in record year 2008. Nevertheless, Deutsche Börse Group considers this development to be further proof of the stability of its broad based business model, even in weaker market phases.

Sales revenue for Deutsche Börse Group decreased slightly against the second quarter of 2009 to €500.9 million (Q2/2009: €515.6 million, –3%). The decline is largely due to price changes in trading of US options and in the settlement of German securities as well as effects caused by the weaker US dollar. In comparison to the extraordinarily strong third quarter 2008, sales revenue decreased by 19 percent (Q3/2008: €616.1 million). Net interest income from the Group’s banking business fell in the third quarter, particularly due to a continued decline in short-term interest rates to €21.9 million (Q2/2009: €25.9 million, –15%; Q3/2008: €55.7 million, –61%).

Total costs in the third quarter of €306.7 million were down slightly quarter-on-quarter (Q2/2009: €322.5 million, –5%), as well as year-on-year (Q3/2008: €311.2 million, –1%) due to the ongoing efficiency measures. The cost forecast of around €1,280 million for financial year 2009 remains unchanged. Overall, Deutsche Börse thus generated EBITA of €243.7 million in the third quarter (Q3/2008: €385.0 million, –37%). Net income for the period amounted to €158.3 million (Q3/2008: €257.3 million, –38%). Basic earnings per share stood at €0.85 based on the average 185.9 million outstanding shares in Q3/2009. This corresponds to a decline of 4 percent over the second quarter 2009 (Q2/2009: €0.89). In the prior-year quarter this figure amounted to €1.35 based on 190.5 million shares.

Sales revenue for the nine months to September 2009 amounted to €1,556.3 million (Q1-3/2008: €1,846.1 million, –16%). Despite an increase in organic growth investments, costs at €926.8 million remained stable compared to the previous year (Q1-3/2008: €924.3 million). This shows that the Group’s efficiency measures prove effective. EBITA amounted to €804.1 million (Q1-3/2008: €1,185.9 million, –32%). With a tax rate for the Group of 27.0 percent (Q1-3/2008: 28.9 percent), net income for the period amounted to €529.1 million (Q1-3/2008: €810.9 million, –35%). Basic earnings per share amounted to €2.85 (Q1-3/2008: €4.23, –33%).

For 2010, the Executive Board of Deutsche Börse AG plans to further increase the expenses for organic growth initiatives and at the same time aims at not exceeding 2008 costs and the 2009 cost guidance of around €1,280 million also in 2010.

Reto Francioni, CEO of Deutsche Börse AG, said, “Third quarter business activity stabilized at second quarter levels despite negative seasonal effects. As a result of our strict cost management, we achieved stable costs in the first nine months compared to 2008 despite higher expenses for organic growth initiatives. Overall, we once again generated a solid result in an environment which continued to be influenced by market participants’ reluctance to trade. Our ambition is to continue Deutsche Börse’s long standing track record for profitable growth. Against this background, the Executive Board plans to further increase the expenses for organic growth initiatives. At the same time, total costs for 2010 shall not exceed the level of around €1,280 million in 2010.”

Segment reporting
The reluctance of participants on the equity markets observed since the beginning of the year also continued in Q3/2009. However, Xetra trading volumes stabilized at the level of the first six months of 2009. The number of transactions on the electronic trading platform Xetra thus fell only slightly quarter on quarter to 41.7 million (Q2/2009: 43.2 million transactions, –3%). Single counted order book volume remained stable at €266.2 billion (Q2/2009: €265.0 billion). As trading volumes were significantly below the record levels of 2008, third quarter sales revenue decreased to €63.1 million (Q3/2008: €99.9 million, –37%). As a result, EBITA also fell to €23.3 million (Q3/2008: €56.7 million, –59%).

Eurex trading activity in Q3/2009 declined against the previous year (–22%), as well as against the previous quarter (–10%), with 636.8 million contracts traded. The quarter-on-quarter decline is largely due to significantly lower volumes in European equity derivatives (–47%). These volumes declined as expected after the end of the German dividend season. The decline was partially compensated, however, by a rise of volumes in index and interest rate derivatives (+3%). Due to the higher profitability of both these product groups, sales revenue declined only slightly to €191.5 million quarter-on-quarter (Q2/2009: €201.0 million, –5%). The fall in sales revenue is also due to a weaker US dollar in relation to the International Securities Exchange (ISE) contribution and a price change in trading of US options. Overall, a decline of 26 percent in sales revenues was recorded compared to the strong third quarter 2008 (Q3/2008: €257.5 million). The segment’s EBITA fell to €92.6 million (Q3/2008: €153.0 million, –39%).

The post-trading segment Clearstream once again contributed in the third quarter 2009 to Deutsche Börse Group achieving a solid overall result. The average value of securities held in custody stood at €10.5 trillion, which corresponds to a rise over the previous quarter (Q2/2009: €10.2 trillion, +3%) and a decline compared to last year’s strong third quarter (Q3/2008: €10.8 trillion, –3%). Of the third-quarter custody volumes, €5.5 trillion was attributable to international securities, a 3-percent increase, and €5.0 trillion to German securities, a 9-percent decrease compared to the third quarter of 2008. The primary reason for the decrease in German securities was lower equity indices compared to the prior-year period. The number of settlement transactions in Q3 stood at 25.5 million, a stable development quarter-on-quarter (Q2/2009: 25.4 million) and a slight decline year-on-year (Q3/2008: 26.7 million, –4%). Of this number, 5.5 million settlement transactions were attributable to international securities traded off-exchange in the third quarter – a rise of 10 percent over Q3 of the previous year. Average monthly outstanding volumes in the Global Securities Financing (GSF) business of €483.7 billion represented stable quarter-on-quarter development (Q2/2009: €484.8 billion) and a 23-percent year-on-year increase (Q3/2008: €394.1 billion). Despite stable business performance compared to the second quarter 2009, sales revenue of €176.6 million in the Clearstream segment declined slightly (Q2/2009: €181.1 million, –2%). This decline is largely due to a price change for settlement of German securities with effect from 1 July 2009. Sales revenue declined by 7 percent over last year (Q3/2008: €189.2 million) because of the more favorable market environment in 2008. Average customer cash deposits of €5.7 billion for the third quarter decreased from the previous quarter (Q2/2009: €7.9 billion, –28%), as some major clients reduced their deposits. Due to this decline and new lows in short-term interest rates, net interest income of €21.9 million was generated in the third quarter (Q2/2009: €25.9 million, –15%). As a result, third-quarter EBITA in the Clearstream segment amounted to €78.1 million (Q3/2008: €118.9 million, –34%).

In the Market Data & Analytics segment, third-quarter 2009 sales revenue of €45.4 million was comparable to that of the previous quarter and previous year (Q3/2008: €46.1 million, Q2/2009: €46.6 million). Decreases in the number of data package subscribers were largely offset by new products as well as the consolidation of the US financial news agency Market News International Inc. (MNI), which was acquired in the first quarter 2009. EBITA in this segment of €24.6 million stood below that of the same period in 2008 (Q3/2008: €30.5 million, –19%). The drop in operating income is largely due to a particularly low cost level in Q3/2008.

Third quarter 2009 external sales revenue in the Information Technology segment of €24.3 million charted a positive development (Q3/2008: €23.4 million, +4%). EBITA in this segment declined year on year to €30.3 million (Q3/2008: €31.9 million, –5%), which was largely because of higher costs in this segment as part of the investments in growth initiatives.

view Interim Report 3/2009 - Deutsche Börse Group

view Table Figures Q3/2009

Source: Deutsche Börse


BM&FBOVESPA Will Launch Tomorrow Office Of Representation In London

November 5, 2009-The Brazilian Securities, Commodities and Futures Exchange – BM&FBOVESPA is setting up a representative office in London. The objective of the office is to promote the Brazilian equities and derivatives markets in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. Besides the new office in the British capital, the Exchange also has representative offices in New York and Shanghai.

In order to commemorate the new office, BM&FBOVESPA will host a luncheon, tomorrow, November 6, at 12 p.m., at the Mansion House, the official residence of the Lord Mayor of the City of London. Among the Brazilian and British dignitaries attending the event will be BM&FBOVESPA’s CEO, Edemir Pinto; the president of Brazil’s Central Bank, Henrique Meirelles; and the president of the Brazilian Development Bank - BNDES, Luciano Coutinho. During the event, Brazilian economist, Eduardo Loyo, will present a lecture on “Investment opportunities in Brazil”. The event will also celebrate the launching of the new BNDES subsidiary in London.

Source: BM&FBOVESPA


BNP sees benefits of Fortis purchase

November 5, 2009--A strong rebound in investment banking profits drove better-than-expected third- quarter results at BNP Paribas yesterday, as France's biggest bank reaped the benefits from its recent acquisition of Fortis bank.

BNP Paribas reported net profit of €1.3bn ($1.9bn) in the three months to the end of September - up 45 per cent on the same quarter last year - of which €277m was contributed by the core of Fortis, the Belgian bank acquired earlier this year. read more

Source: FT.com


Pension insurance deficit doubles

November 5, 2009--The deficit at the nation’s pension insurance fund roughly doubled in the year to the end of March as a wave of insolvencies led to a rise in claims on the fund.

The Pension Protection Fund, the government-sponsored, employer-financed body that insures the pension promises of insolvent companies, said that its deficit for the year to March 31 rose from £517m to £1.2bn ($857m to $1.9bn), with £1.3bn in new claims adding to the shortfall.

read more

Source: FT.com


DB Index Research -- Weekly ETF Reports -- Europe

November 4, 2009-Highlights
Highlights ETF Volume
Exchange based Equity ETF turnover rose by 6% on the previous week. Daily turnover for the previous week was E1.5bn. European fixed income ETF turnover rose by 2.2% to E184.6m, with money market ETFs continuing to be the main focus.
In exchange based bond ETFs, db x-trackers II EONIA TR Index ETF has the highest daily turnover of E19.63m. Among the Equity ETFs, iShares DAX (DE) has the highest daily turnover of E80.07m.

There were 7 listings in the last week. db x-trackers cross listed 7 ETFs on Borsa Italiana.

European Style ETFs, led by short and leveraged products, kept its position as the leading product area with total turnover of E439m accounting for 29.89% of total ETF turnover, followed by European Regional ETFs with total turnover of E394m with 26.82% of total turnover. The DAX ETFs remain the dominant country products with total average daily volume of E210m across the nine listed products and accounting for 14.3% of all equity ETF volume.

DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETFs accounted for 14.3% of turnover trading E210m per day with liquidity split across 26 ETFs and 42 different listings on 9 exchanges.

Market Share
The Deutsche Borse XTF platform has the largest market share with 37.2% of total turnover. The Euronext NextTrack platform has 21.7% market share. The LSE’s combined Italian Exchange and London market share is now 26.0%.

Assets under Management (AUM)
Total European Equity related AUM declined by 2.6% to E98.2bn during last week. AUM for DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETFs was E18.8bn accounting for 19.2% of total European AUM. Fixed Income ETF AUM remained at about the same level at E34bn.

Overall, the largest ETF by AUM was the Equity based ETF, Lyxor ETF DJ Euro STOXX 50 with AUM of E4.7bn. The largest Fixed Income ETF by AUM was the iShares € Corporate Bond with AUM of E3.2bn.

To request a copy of the report click here

Source: Aram Flores and Shan Lan -DB Index Research


ETF Securities to launch world's largest Exchange Traded Currency platform

18 Currency ETCs providing long or short exposure to G-10 currencies
• Includes exposure to local interest rates
• Fully collateralised
• Exposure to world's most liquid asset class which has outperformed equities over 1yr, 3yrs and 5yrs
November 4, 2009--ETF Securities (ETFS), the global pioneer in Exchange Traded Commodities (Commodity ETCs) and 3rd generation Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) is planning to launch the world’s largest and Europe’s first Exchange Traded Currency (Currency ETCs) platform with trading expected to begin next week.

Currencies are the most liquid asset class with over $3.2 trillion of trading each day yet it is one of the last asset classes to be packaged in the form of an exchange traded product. ETF Securities is a pioneer of ETCs having launched the world’s first Commodity ETC platform in Europe between 2003 and 2006 and which now has accumulated over $15 billion in assets and recent trading of approximately $1.4 billion per week.

Initially, 18 Currency ETCs will be listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) which will track recently launched MSFX Currency IndicesSM. The initial Currency ETCs provide long or short passive exposure to G10 currencies versus the US Dollar and include AUD, CAD, CHF, EUR, GBP, NOK, NZK, SEK and YEN. The ETCs also provide exposure to local interest rates in addition to FX movements between the relevant Currency and US Dollars. The new Currency ETCs will be fully collateralised in order to mitigate counter-party risk and will be listed in the ETC segment of the LSE.

Long Currency ETCs LSE Code
ETFS Long AUD Short USD LAUD
ETFS Long GBP Short USD LGBP
ETFS Long CAD Short USD LCAD
ETFS Long EUR Short USD LEUR
ETFS Long JPY Short USD LJPY
ETFS Long NZD Short USD LNZD
ETFS Long NOK Short USD LNOK
ETFS Long SEK Short USD LSEK
ETFS Long CHF Short USD LCHF

Short Currency ETCs LSE Code
ETFS Short AUD Long USD SAD
ETFS Short GBP Long USD SGBP
ETFS Short CAD Long USD SCAD
ETFS Short EUR Long USD SEUR
ETFS Short JPY Long USD SJPY
ETFS Short NZD Long USD SNZD
ETFS Short NOK Long USD SNOK
ETFS Short SEK Long USD SSEK
ETFS Short CHF Long USD SCHF

Currency ETCs are intended for investors wishing to diversify their portfolio through the addition of a new asset class which has a low correlation with equities and bonds, or for those investors wanting to take advantage of tactical or strategic macro opportunities using the foreign exchange market. The table below shows that the returns of most major market currencies versus the US Dollar outperformed equities, bonds and real estate with lower volatility. For example, the MSFX Long AUD Index outperformed UK equities by 13.4, 55.4 and 37.2 percentage points over one, three and five years respectively with approximately 5% per annum of the total return over the five year period due to local Australian interest rates which have been incorporated into the MSFX Currency Index.

VIEW FULL RELEASE

Source: ETF Securities (ETFS)


Euro-Parliament nod for free emissions permits

November 4, 2009-The European Parliament's environment committee on Wednesday approved a list of 164 industrial sectors that will win free carbon emissions permits for the next five years if no global deal on climate change is negotiated next month.

Members of the powerful committee voted 39 for and 19 against, with one abstention, the parliament said.

A European Union action plan adopted in December 2008 to fight global warming places serious constraints on industry, which must reduce harmful carbon dioxide emissions by 21 percent from 2005 levels by 2020.

read more

Source: EU Business


ETF Landscape: European DJ STOXX 600 Sector ETF Net Flows, week ending 30-Oct-09

November 4, 2009--Highlights
Last week saw US$35.3 Mn net outflows to DJ STOXX 600 sector ETFs. The largest sector ETF inflows last week were in Retail with US$17.2 Mn and Food & Beverage with US$12.5 Mn while Banks experienced net outflows of US$37.2 Mn.

Year-to-date, Basic Resources has been the most popular sector with US$411.2 Mn net new assets, followed by Banks with US$351.6 Mn net inflows. Financial Services sector ETFs have been the least popular with US$28.3 Mn net outflows YTD.

Visit Barclays Global for more information.

Source: ETF Research and Implementation Strategy, BGI


UK official holdings of International Reserves

November 4, 2009--Part I: UK Government Foreign Currency Assets and Liabilities
October 2009 1. UK Government’s net reserves rose by $555 million in October 2009, bringing the end-October total to $32,580 million (£19,772 million1) compared with $32,025 million (£20,048 million2) at end-September 2009.

Part II: Bank of England Foreign Currency Assets and Liabilities – October 2009.
1. Bank of England’s net holdings of foreign currency and gold fell by $3 million in October 2009 bringing the end-October total to -$1 million (£606,8701) compared with $1 million (£626,0172) at end-September 2009.

view report

Source: HM Treasury


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