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Japan's Economy Shrinks 6.3% as Sales-Tax Increase Cools Consumption

February 17, 2020--Following a dismal final quarter of 2019, Japan's economy is facing the risk of a recession because the coronavirus outbreak is hurting tourism and production.

Japan, the world's third-largest economy after the U.S. and China contracted at an annualized rate of 6.3% in the October-December quarter, worse than economists' forecast of a 3.9% contraction.

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Source: wsj.com


BetaShares Australian ETF Review-January 2020

February 12, 2020--INDUSTRY STARTS THE YEAR WITH A BANG!
The relentless growth the Australian ETF industry has experienced shows no sign of abating, with the industry starting the new year with a bang! After closing 2019 at ˜$62B in assets under management (AUM), the industry finished the first month of 2020 at $66B, growing $4.2B over the month (6.8% MoM growth)-the largest absolute monthly growth on record and the fastest % monthly growth in over four years.

Market cap
ASX Exchange Traded Product Market Cap: $66.0B-New industry record
Market cap increase for month: 6.8%, +$4.2B-Largest absolute monthly growth on record, fastest % monthly growth in >4 years
Market cap growth for the last 12 months: 55%, + $23.5B-Greatest absolute growth over 12-mth period

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Source: betashares.com.au


Japan: Demographic Shift Opens Door to Reforms

February 10, 2020--Japan's population is aging and shrinking fast. With a median age of 48.4 years, Japan's population is the world's oldest. The government of Japan projects that there will be almost one elderly person for each person of working age by 2060.

Over the same 40-year span, Japan's current population of 127 million will shrink by over a quarter-a population loss equivalent to the entire population of Malaysia or Peru. This accelerated speed of aging and shrinking of its population places Japan at the leading edge of global demographic change, posing economic and other challenges for the country.

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Source: IMF


IMF Staff Country Report-Philippines: Selected Issues

February 6, 2020--EXPORT PERFORMANCE IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL TRADE TENSIONS1
Unlike many Asian countries, the Philippines' exports of goods have remained stable through the ongoing period of global trade tensions. Its low participation in global trade as well as in global value chains relative-to-peers seems to explain why the Philippines has not yet been negatively impacted by the trade tensions.

On the other hand, despite its close trade ties with the United States, the Philippines has not benefitted much from trade diversion originated from the U.S.-China bilateral tariffs, unlike Vietnam and Mexico.

A. Introduction
1. The stable evolution of the Philippines' exports of goods in a context of global trade tensions is puzzling. On the one side, unlike most Asian economies, the Philippines has not experienced a fall in its total exports. On the other hand, the Philippines has not benefited much from trade diversion created after the U.S.-China trade tensions, even though the U.S. and China are major trading partners.

view the IMF Staff Country Report-Philippines: Selected Issues

Source: IMF


India navigates a new global order

February 3, 2020--With Indian economic growth slowing, commentary is focused on Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's 2020-21 Union Budget.
Less public attention is being paid to India's external challenges. The world economy matters to India today and India has itself become a global player.

The rules-based multilateral economic order which supported global integration for a generation is under widespread challenge. As multilateral institutions weaken and bilateral negotiations assume centre stage, India is compelled to articulate an economic sovereignty that's politically grounded domestically while remaining sufficiently flexible to grasp opportunities in the years ahead.

Deep shifts in global order have been building, but a key marker is the 2008 financial crisis. Its origins in the most advanced financial markets provoked continued widespread questioning of the liberal consensus in vogue.

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Source: bruegel.org


Chinese stocks plunge in worst end to Lunar Year on record

January 24, 2020--Panic coursed through the world's second-largest equity market as investors sold stocks on concern a deadly virus will worsen over China's week-long trading break.

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Source: FIN24


SGX invests 186m euros for 93% stake in index firm Scientific Beta

January 23, 2020--SINGAPORE Exchange (SGX) is coughing up 186 million euros (S$280 million) in cash for a 93 per cent stake in Scientific Beta Pte Ltd, a smart beta index firm.

The strategic investment will strengthen the Singapore bourse operator's research-based index design capabilities as well as broaden its range of index products and clientele.

As of end Sept 2019, an estimated US$55 billion in assets owned by global institutions tracked Scientific Beta's indices. This has risen more than 10 times in four years, on the back of significant growth in factor investing.

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Source: businesstimes.com.sg


Singapore's new digital banks face uphill struggle

January 21, 2020--Virtual lenders will struggle to capture market share from wealthy city-state's incumbents.

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Source: FT.com


World Bank-Thailand Economic Monitor January 2020: Productivity for Prosperity

January 17, 2020--Key Findings
Thailand's growth began to slow in 2019, with growth falling to 2.5 percent due to external and domestic factors
Global growth is projected to weaken to 2.4 percent in 2019 and to recover slightly to 2.5 percent in 2020, but risks are tilted to the downside on global growth, particularly for international trade.

Thailand's economy is projected to pick up moderately to 2.7 percent in 2020, underpinned by an expected slight improvement in external demand and recovery in private consumption as well as a stronger focus on public investment implementation.

Risks to Thailand's economic outlook stem from both external and domestic sources. The external risks stem from a possible continuation of the US-China trade tension and a broadening of protectionist tendencies, and domestic short-term risks mainly on the cohesiveness of the coalition government, which could impact investor confidence.

view the World Bank-Thailand Economic Monitor January 2020: Productivity for Prosperity

Source: World Bank


China's economic growth hits 30-year low

January 17, 2020-China's economy grew last year at the slowest pace in almost three decades.
Official figures show that the world's second largest economy expanded by 6.1% in 2019 from the year before-the worst figure in 29 years.

The country has faced weak domestic demand and the impact of the bitter trade war with the US.
The government has been rolling out measures over the past two years in an attempt to boost growth.
It comes after almost two years of trade tensions with the US-although hopes of a better relationship with America have seen improvements in manufacturing and business confidence data.

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Source: bbc.com


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