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East Asia and Pacific Economic Update - Robust Recovery, Rising Risks October 2010

October 19, 2010--KEY FINDINGS
A ROBUST RECOVERY
Developing East Asia’s growth has rebounded rapidly. Output has recovered to above pre-crisis levels throughout the region, expanding at near pre-crisis rates in some countries. Real GDP growth is estimated to rise 8.9% in 2010, up 0.2% from our previous forecast, and in line with the average growth rate during 2000-2008.

China remains the regional leader with an expansion of 9.5%. For the first time in a decade, five other countries are projected to expand by 7 percent or more (Thailand, Malaysia, Lao PDR, Mongolia, and PNG). Private sector investment is driving growth again, confidence is on the rise, and trade flows have returned to pre-crisis levels.

With output gaps closing and private investment recovering strongly, authorities in most East Asian countries are cautiously unwinding their stimulus measures. Fiscal deficits are likely to remain higher than before the crisis, at least for a while. Their gradual reduction over time allows the authorities to address infrastructure gaps made more urgent by the crisis and maintain social safety nets to protect the poor, and provides an appropriate defense against subdued prospects for advanced economies.

...WITH RISING RISKS

Capital inflows have risen sharply this year, driven by abundant global liquidity in search of yield, combined with expectations of stronger growth in the region than abroad.

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view executive summary-October 2010 East Asia and Pacific Economic Update

view the full report-Robust Recovery, Rising Risks

Source: World Bank


ADB Prices First International Renminbi Bond

October 19, 2010-- The Asian Development Bank (ADB) today priced the first international bond denominated in renminbi. The bond, issued in Hong Kong, China, carries a 10-year bullet maturity and will provide a critical long-term pricing reference for other borrowers.The bond received strong investor demand and was more than 2 times oversubscribed, leading ADB to increase the size of the issue from CNY1 billion to CNY1.2 billion.

Since the People's Republic of China (PRC) sanctioned sales of renminbi-denominated bonds in Hong Kong, China in 2007, there have been about 30 issues of bonds and Certificates of Deposit totaling approximately CNY49 billion. Most bonds issued so far have had a tenor of 2 to 3 years with the longest maturity being 5 years. ADB's issue also marks the first offshore renminbi bond from a "AAA" rated entity and the first by a supranational borrower.

"This bond will act as a useful benchmark for other potential borrowers, helping develop the offshore renminbi bond market into an important source of funding for borrowers as well as an investment destination," said Bindu Lohani, Vice President (Finance and Administration) at ADB.

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Source: Asian Development Bank (ADB)


China feels strain in rush to save energy

October 18, 2010--To understand China’s current energy-saving frenzy, look no further than a recent cartoon: A black-sleeved arm marked “energy target” presses down on a terrified little official, who in turn yanks on a lever to cut electricity supplies to citizens and businesses alike.

“Under this pressure, I have to apply the brakes and curb electricity,” the quaking official yells.

The caricature depicts the panic that China’s energy efficiency drive has instilled in local governments across the country, and the desperate measures they are taking as a result.

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Source: FT.com


Thailand an ideal gateway to India and China

October 18, 2010--When Nissan held a ceremony at its car plant outside Bangkok in June it marked a milestone for Thailand’s export industry: for the first time a Japanese company would build a Japanese-designed vehicle outside Japan for export back to the home market.

Nissan’s decision to build the March compact car in Thailand is part of a growing trend for Japanese manufacturers to view the country not just as an outpost to serve the 550m people of south-east Asia, but also as a jumping-off point to make products for the vast and growing markets of China and India, as well as for Japan itself.

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Source: FT.com


BNY Mellon and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Collaborate to Bring BNY Mellon's DR Indices to China

BNY Mellon's DR Indices now available as the basis for Exchange Traded Funds in China
October 18, 2010--BNY Mellon, the global leader in asset management and securities servicing, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), the principal exchange in the People's Republic of China, have signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to collaborate on exchange-traded funds (ETFs) based on the BNY Mellon Depositary Receipt (DR) Indices to be traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The MOU grants exclusivity to the SSE for the listing of ETFs which utilize the BNY Mellon DR Indices as a benchmark within the People's Republic of China.

"Our innovative DR Indices are the basis for many 'first to market' ETFs representing the emerging and frontier markets," said Gregory Roath, head of Asia-Pacific for BNY Mellon's Depositary Receipts business. "The inclusion of Chinese single-listed ADRs in our indices will enable potential ETF sponsors to offer an investment product that includes offshore listed Chinese companies such as Baidu, Netease, Home Inns and Ctrip. These companies, which trade exclusively in DR form outside of China, are often left out of many other major indices."

BNY Mellon's Roath added: "An ETF product based on the DR Indices would enable Mainland Chinese investors to gain real exposure to foreign traded equities and allow them to trade these in Chinese renminbi on the principal Chinese exchange. Our DR Indices are an innovative and exciting product, and we are delighted to be leading the way in bringing them to the Chinese markets."

BNY Mellon offers the most comprehensive suite of DR indices, available to investors since 1998. As the only real-time index to track all American and global DRs traded on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and NASDAQ, the BNY Mellon ADR Index has become a widely followed international benchmark. Calculated on a continuous basis throughout the trading day, the BNY Mellon ADR Index is capitalization-weighted and adjusted for free-float using Dow Jones' Indexes methodology.

Altogether, BNY Mellon produces over 140 indices reaching all corners of the world. They are divided into four families covering regions, markets, sectors and countries: the BNY Mellon ADR Index (U.S. exchange-traded), the BNY Mellon GDR Index (London exchange-traded (LSE)), the BNY Mellon DR Index (U.S. and LSE exchange-traded) and the BNY Mellon Classic ADR Index (U.S. exchanged-traded and OTC). The BNY Mellon Composite Depositary Receipt Index, the "Super Index," encompasses all types of DRs.

BNY Mellon acts as depositary for more than 2,100 American and global depositary receipt programs, acting in partnership with leading companies from 67 countries. With an unrivaled commitment to helping securities issuers succeed in the world's rapidly evolving financial markets, the company delivers the industry's most comprehensive suite of integrated depositary receipt, corporate trust and stock transfer services. Learn more at www.bnymellon.com/dr.

Source: BNY Mellon


Axis Bank launches Infrastructure Index

October 14, 2010--Axis Bank today launched the Axis Infra Index (AII), designed to convey a 'summary composite assessment' of investor confidence in infrastructure segments in the country. The Axis Infra Index is the first of its kind in India, intended to facilitate interpretation of capex, financial, policy, regulatory, tax and other associated developments which influence investor confidence. Trends in the Index signal the relative overall improvements in operating conditions and fundamentals of segments.

The index was launched here. Speaking on the occasion Mrs Shikha Sharma, MD and CEO, Axis Bank, said, ''Axis Bank is one of the largest institutions in the infra financing space, with deep experience in debt syndication, project advisory services and structured finance. Axis Bank has developed strong capabilities in understanding and acting upon the evolving complexities of the infra segments. The Axis Infra Index intends to encapsulate this experience to develop and launch a unified metric to track the activity level in the sector.'' Mr Varadarajan Srinivasan, Executive Director, Corporate Banking, Axis Bank, said, ''Axis Bank is eminently suited to interpret the quantitative and qualitative nature of the implications of regulations and policy governing the complex environment. As a Bank, we have the bandwidth and competence to understand the intricacies of the industry and our funding solutions are built taking into account the various sensitivities of each project.'' Infrastructure financing involves projects with large outlays having long gestation periods till revenue visibility, operating in a complex regulatory and policy environment.

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Source: New India123.com


Singapore widens currency trading band

October 13, 2010--Singapore’s central bank surprised markets on Thursday by widening the band in which it lets the Singapore dollar trade in order to cope with global market volatility, propelling the currency to a record high.

It also increased the slope of the trading band but kept the centre unchanged, sparking a rally in the Singapore dollar to as high as S$1.2886 per US dollar from S$1.30 before the announcement and adding to broader selling of the US currency.

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Source: FT.com


Currency warning to S Korea and China

October 13, 2010--Japan has called on South Korea and China to “act responsibly” on exchange rates in an unusually strong statement ahead of the G20 summit of leading nations in Seoul, expected to be overshadowed by rising tensions over currencies

The statement by Naoto Kan, Japan’s prime minister, adds to pressure on Seoul as the host of the meeting in November to broker a discussion on currencies despite some countries, including China, pushing to keep the issue low on the agenda

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Source: FT.com


Thailand to cool inflows with bond tax

October 12, 2010--Thailand is introducing a tax on foreign holdings of bonds, the latest in a string of attempts by emerging economies to curb destabilising capital inflows amid fears of a global currency war.

The Thai cabinet on Tuesday imposed a 15 per cent withholding tax on capital gains and interest payments for government and state-owned company bonds, a clear signal that it would take tough measures to curb inflows of “hot money”.

A surge of money into Thailand has driven the baht to its highest against the dollar since just before the Asian crisis of 1997-1998.

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Source: FT.com


South Africa's Standard Bank (SBKJ.J) said on Monday it will act as the first metal provider, participating dealer and market maker for a Hong Kong-based firm that plans to launch a new gold exchange-traded fund ( ETF).

October 11, 2010--The Value Gold ETF, to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, is expected to be launched in early November, subject to final approval by regulators, Standard Bank said in a statement.

An official at Sensible Asset Management, a joint venture between China's Ping An (2318.HK) and Value Partners, which manages the fund, declined to comment.

The underlying physical gold would be held at Hong Kong's Precious Metals Depository, Standard Bank said.

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Source: Reuters


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