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Gold ETFs likely to see higher inflows: Crisil

February 16, 2011--The demand for gold ETFs (exchange traded funds) seems to be following the footsteps of its global counterparts with the count of retail folios having grown four times to 0.24 million between March 2009 and September 2010 and the total assets under management (AUM) having more than doubled to Rs 3581 Crore in January 2011compared to a year ago.

Given the outlook of higher inflation, this demand is likely to rise further and hence Gold ETF must be a part of the retail investors’ portfolio says a Crisil report.

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Source: Crisil


DB Index & ETF Research: Asia-Pac ETF Market Weekly Review :Turnover Picks Up, After the Break

February 16, 2011--Market Review
Local Markets within the region processed the same information in diverse ways as they came out of the Lunar New Year celebrations. Right after the break, the PBOC raised the key interest rate by 25 bps, reaffirming the inflationary concerns in China. Some markets such as the ones in Korea (KOSPI 200) and Hong Kong (HIS) picked the news on the downside losing 4.8% and 4.5% during the week, respectively.

While others such as those in Japan (Nikkei 225) and Australia (S&P/ASX 200) remained indifferent rising by 0.59% and 0.37% in the same period, respectively. The Chinese market processed an overall net positive load of economic news, pushing the A-Share market to the upside (FTSE China A50, 0.75%; CSI 300, 1.42%).

There were no new listings in the Asia-Pac ETP markets. Total ETPs available in the region stand at 294, with 85% represented by equity products, and the remaining 15% distributed, mainly between Commodity and Fixed Income products.

Turnover Review: Activity comes back as markets return from the break

On exchange activity increased as most of the markets came fully back from the Lunar New Year break, total ETP weekly turnover was up by 72% as compared to the previous week, totaling $4.4 bn, a bit lower (-8%) than last year’s weekly average, although still suggesting a significant increase in activity considering that China (the most active market by turnover) was closed for two days. Equity ETPs activity rose by 76%, totaling $4.3 bn.

With the Chinese mainland market partially open for the week, the Hong Kong market took the first place with a weekly turnover total of $1.9 bn, followed by the Chinese with $760 mm.

Asset Under Management Review

Mixed market sentiment in the region and a rising US dollar shaved $1.2 bn in assets at the bottom line, shrinking the industry AUM by 1.4%. On a week over week basis, this week’s assets sat at $84.1 bn vs. $85.3 bn in the previous week. Year to date, assets are practically flat, just $76 mm below last year’s close.

To request a copy of the report

Source: Deutsche Bank Global Equity Index & ETF Research


China’s consumer price index hits 4.9%

February 15, 2011--Chinese inflation exceeded the government’s target in January despite a lower-than-expected increase in food prices, underlining the pressure on policymakers to continue tightening monetary policy.

The consumer price index rose 4.9 per cent last month compared with a year earlier, up from 4.6 per cent in December. The result remains stubbornly above Beijing’s official inflation target of 4 per cent and included the highest increase in non-food prices in recent years.

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Source: FT.com


New ASX-SGX governance arrangements and commitments to strengthen the merger proposal

February 15, 2011-- ASX Limited (ASX) and Singapore Exchange Limited (SGX) have agreed to make changes to the governance arrangements of, and provide further commitments in connection with, their merger proposal, which will strengthen the development of the financial services sectors and the national interests of both Australia and Singapore.

This follows engagement by both parties with a wide range of stakeholders since the merger proposal was announced on 25 October 2010.

David Gonski AC, Chairman of ASX, said: “Recent developments in global exchange mergers affirm the judgement of the ASX Board that ASX must participate in regional and global consolidation.

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Source: The Financial


The Great Rebalancing Act: Can Investment Be a Lever in Asia? IMF Working Paper

February 15, 2011--Summary: Ensuring stable growth in the postcrisis world economy will require a rebalancing of economic activity in several countries. In Asia’s export-dependent economies, this entails relying more on private domestic demand as a driver of growth.

While some countries need to raise consumption, several need to raise investment or reorient it from tradable to nontradable sectors. These changes in investment could be facilitated by financial reforms that enhance domestically oriented firms’ access to credit, stronger incentives for corporate restructuring, policies to bolster the business climate and reduce uncertainty, and by improvements in infrastructure that raise the returns to private investment.

view the IMF working paper-The Great Rebalancing Act: Can Investment Be a Lever in Asia?

Source: IMF


IMF Staff Report for the 2010 Article IV Consultation-India

February 14, 2011--EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Context: India’s economy has recovered from the crisis and is performing well, but inflation remains elevated. Robust domestic demand combined with weak growth in advanced countries is widening the current account deficit.

Risks to growth are broadly balanced, with downside risks relating mainly to the global economy. Capital inflows so far are manageable, but could complicate macroeconomic management. The medium-term outlook is favorable, with growth expected to be underpinned by high investment and productivity gains.

Policy messages:
Robust growth and elevated inflation warrant prompt action in completing the normalization of the monetary and fiscal stance.
Further monetary tightening is needed to meet the RBI’s inflation objectives and anchor inflation expectations.
The government’s renewed commitment to fiscal consolidation is welcome. Not only would tighter fiscal policy be the best way of cooling the economy, but this year’s receipts overperformance offers an opportunity to reconstitute fiscal space faster.
Spending reforms will be critical to square the consolidation objectives with the need for higher infrastructure and social spending. Implementing the tax reforms in the works could also contribute.

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Source: IMF


China trade surplus drops as imports rise

February 14, 2011--China said Monday its politically sensitive trade surplus shrank in January but analysts warned the data may have been skewed by a surge in imports leading up to the Lunar New Year holiday.

The data came hours after Tokyo confirmed China had surpassed Japan as the world's second biggest economy and as economists look to the release on Tuesday of January inflation at a time when China is trying to rein in prices.

The trade surplus fell 53.5 percent to $6.45 billion in January as both exports and imports grew strongly ahead of the holiday, the General Administration of Customs said.

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Source: Yahoo


China overtakes Japan as world's No.2 economy

February 14, 2011-- China leapfrogged Japan to become the world's second-largest economy in 2010, according to estimates.

Japan lost its place to China after data from Tokyo overnight showed a decline in output for the last quarter of the year.

Japan's economy was worth $5.474 trillion (£3.414 trillion) at the end of 2010, figures from Tokyo have shown...

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Source: thisismoney.co.uk


OSE’s New Derivatives Trading System, J-GATE, Launched

February 14, 2011--Osaka Securities Exchange Co., Ltd. (OSE) has successfully launched its new derivatives trading system, "J-GATE", compliant with international standards and equipped with new trading functions and the world's highest order processing capacity. The system is powered by NASDAQ OMX trading technology.

OSE decided in 2009 to adopt trading technology provided by NASDAQ OMX for its new trading platform for derivatives products, which has been developed with assistance from NTT Data Corporation as its System Integrator.

The launch of J-GATE delivers improved processing capabilities, such as reduced processing latency, and enables the introduction of market rules and functions employed by major overseas exchanges, which will further enhance the competitiveness of the OSE's market.

Michio Yoneda, President & CEO of OSE said "We would like to express our gratitude and appreciation to all who have contributed to the successful launch of the J-GATE. Through the utilization of the world's highest-level processing capabilities and the global standard trading functions of J-GATE, OSE continues to further enhance the competitiveness of its market, which we hope leads to strengthening competitiveness of the Japanese market."

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Source: Osaka Exchange


New ETF funds buy bullion

February 11, 2011--Instead of investing through gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) available in the market, investors can now invest directly in gold bullion.
Thanachart Fund Management yesterday launched two gold funds with a passive investment strategy.

The funds will not track the global gold index like other ETFs or engage in short-term speculation in gold prices. However, they will invest the money on gold bullion according to their clients' demands.

The company will buy physical gold from gold refiners that are approved by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA).

Currently there are 61 gold refiners from 20 countries in the association.

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Source: Bangkok Post


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