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Mirae-China Macro-A New PMI for China
February 1, 2013--Since January 2013, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has expanded the PMI sample size from 820 enterprises to 3000 enterprises, with its original 31 industries being consolidated into 21 industries.
Bearing in mind this structural breakdown in the PMI series, the January PMI of 50.4 suggests that the economic recovery in China is on track - despite the reading coming in slightly weaker than the December figure of 50.6. Most of the components point to an encouraging picture, as China will likely benefit from restocking of its finished goods inventory as well as an improved outlook in major advanced countries. Furthermore, the HSBC PMI for other key export-oriented Asian economies (HK, Taiwan, and Korea) has also improved.
January PMI survey has started to include more enterprises
The size of the survey has been expanded from 820 enterprises to 3000 enterprises. Meanwhile, the 31 industries in the old survey have been consolidated into 21 industries only. The NBS will also start to publish PMI by region. The new PMI survey is expected to provide a better picture of the manufacturing sector while over the short term it also causes a structural breakdown in the time series. Therefore, we need to be cautious when comparing PMI readings across time.
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Source: Mirae Asset Securities (HK) - Global Research Center
TSE-Commencement of ETF Leaflet Publication
February 1, 2013--Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc ("TSE") will begin publicizing "ETF Leaflet" on all ETFs and ETNs listed on TSE and Osaka Securities Exchange Co., Ltd.("OSE") in order to expand investment information on ETFs.
The Leaflet provides a variety of useful investment information such as dividend distribution, historical data for market value, and underlying indices.
The Leaflet is available in both Japanese and English, and is scheduled to be publicized monthly after April 2013.
Upon commencement of ETF Leaflet publication, TSE will stop further publicizing of ETF Weekly Report.
Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
China ETFs struggle to meet demand
February 1, 2013--An exchange traded fund tracking mainland Chinese equities became the most traded security on the Hong Kong exchange in January, the latest sign of international appetite for exposure to China and the growing interest in Asia for passive investments.
The iShares A50 ETF, which aims to mirror the performance of China’s top 50 listed companies, last month recorded a higher turnover value than any listed stock in Hong Kong, including index heavyweights such as China Mobile, HSBC, and ICBC.
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Source: FT.com
IMF Working paper-Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point?
January 31, 2013--Summary: China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape. Within a few years the working age population will reach a historical peak, and then begin a precipitous decline. This fact, along with anecdotes of rapidly rising migrant wages and episodic labor shortages, has raised questions about whether China is poised to cross the Lewis Turning Point, a point at which it would move from a vast supply of low-cost workers to a labor shortage economy.
Crossing this threshold will have far-reaching implications for both China and the rest of the world. This paper empirically assesses when the transition to a labor shortage economy is likely to occur. Our central result is that on current trends, the Lewis Turning Point will emerge between 2020 and 2025. Alternative scenarios—with higher fertility, greater labor participation rates, financial reform or higher productivity—may peripherally delay or accelerate the onset of the turning point, but demographics will be the dominant force driving the depletion of surplus labor.
view the IMF Working paper-Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point?
Source: IMF
EU 'better than North America' for China firms: survey
January 31, 2013--Chinese firms consider the European Union as good or better an investment destination than North America, the EU chamber of commerce in China said Thursday, despite the eurozone's debt crisis and recessionary woes.
Even more preferred to put money into the European Union than nearby Southeast Asia, where some countries have significant Chinese minorities.
The European Union "is perceived as welcoming to foreign investment; with few market access barriers and little history of opposition to Chinese investment on national security grounds", the report said.
The survey of 74 Chinese companies that have already established themselves in the European Union found 33 percent considered it more favourable for investment than North America, with 45 percent saying it was the same and 21 percent less favourable.
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Source: EUbusiness
Calculation of TOPIX and Other Indices in Relation to Equity Market Consolidation
January 30, 2013--Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc. (TSE) announced today how indexes currently calculated by the TSE and Osaka Securities Exchange Co., Ltd. (OSE)
will be calculated upon the merger of the TSE and OSE cash markets scheduled for July 2013.
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Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
SSE Credit Bond 100 Index To Be Launched
January 30, 2013--Designed to serve as two new investable benchmarks for bond investors as well as to promote innovation of China bond market, CSI today announced the upcoming launch of SSE Credit Bond 100 Index on Feb. 26th 2013.
This index is composed of credit bonds trading in SSE whose credit rating are AA grade or above ，term to maturity above 1 year and outstanding above 0.8 billion. The base date is December 31st, 2007. The base index is 100.
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Source: Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE)
TSE has published the index value of TSE Home Price Index for November.
January 29, 2013--The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Composite of Tokyo Metro Area) is 76.81 points.
The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Tokyo) is 80.06 points. The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Kanagawa) is 77.50 points. The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Chiba) is 67.91. The index value of TSE Home Price Index (Used Condominium, Saitama) is 65.62 points.
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Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
China stands on threshold of gold ETF introduction
Provisional rules for the introduction of gold ETFs have been announced in China. January 28, 2013--China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has published provisional rules for the operation of gold ETFs,, which pave the way for introduction of gold ETFs into China's financial markets.
China Daily quoted an official from the CSRC Saturday who said that there is no specific timetable for the listing of gold ETFs in China.
The move is part of the Chinese Central Government’s effort to promote the development of China’s gold and capital market. China is the world’s largest gold producer and consumer according to the China Gold Association.
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Source: MIneWeb
Japan forecasts 2.5% growth in 2013
January 28, 2013--Japan on Monday said the world's number three economy was on track to expand 2.5 percent in the fiscal year starting in April, thanks to fresh stimulus and a recovery in overseas markets.
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's cabinet approved the forecast -- higher than an estimate of one-percent growth for the current year to March -- on Monday morning, government officials said.
The estimate is slightly higher than those from economists who have also upped their outlook on the back of a weaker yen and new stimulus measures, Dow Jones Newswires reported.
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Source: FIN24
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