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Developing East Asia slows, but continues to lead global growth at 7.1% in 2013
Changing global outlook highlights need for structural reforms to sustain growth and share prosperity
October 7, 2013--Developing East Asia is expanding at a slower pace as China shifts from an export-oriented economy and focuses on domestic demand.
Growth in larger middle income countries including Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand is also softening in light of lower investment, lower global commodity prices and lower than expected growth of exports, says the East Asia Pacific Economic Update released today.
According to the report, the growth forecast for developing countries in the region is 7.1 percent for 2013, and 7.2 percent for 2014. While this is a slight downward revision from World Bank projections in April 2013, developing East Asia is leading other regions.
DB-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy-Asia-Pac Weekly-DM inflows offset by outflows from leveraged long strategy
October 7, 2013--Data in this report is as of 30th September 2013
Global Summary
Markets across the globe reacted positively after Federal Reserve's surprise decision to continue with the $85bn monthly bond buying program. Global ETP AUM was favorably impacted by this and rose by $105bn to $2.1 trillion (+14.1% YTD) last month.
Global ETP industry observed very strong monthly fund flows recording +$34.1bn of inflows in September. US domiciled ETFs remain major contributor receiving +$32.4bn of positive flows, followed by Europe with +$1.6bn and Asia with negligible flows. Inflows were seen across the board, except commodities, primarily in equities (+$28.1bn) and fixed income (+$6.7bn).
Monthly Trends - Asia Pacific
Market Review
Last month, all the major markets rallied in the Asia-Pacific region following Federal Reserve's announcement to continue $85bn-a-month bond buying program. Compared to the month before, from north to south:
Japan (Nikkei 225) +7.97%
Korea (KOSPI2) +3.64%
China (CSI 300) +4.11%
Hong Kong (HSI) +5.19%
Singapore (FSSTI) +4.59%
Australia (S&P/ASX 200) +1.63%
ETPs flows: Overall flat fund flows, Japan and South Korea focused ETFs witness healthy inflows
Last month, Asia-Pacific ETP market observed negligible flows (+$12mn) and the YTD monthly flows average remains at +$1.4bn (+$13bn YTD in total flows). Equity ETFs collected inflows of +$240mn and majority of that offset by outflows from fixed income ETFs (-$224mn).
Within equity, on segment level, developed market (DM) benchmarked ETFs led the tally receiving inflows of +$1.3bn, while strategy based ETFs experienced -$1.2bn of withdrawals. On a sub-segment level, major inflows recorded by ETFs providing exposure to Japan (+$1.4bn), South Korea (+$0.7bn), healthcare sector (+$0.1bn) and financial sector (+$0.1bn). Leveraged long strategy ETFs saw significant outflows (-$1.5bn) followed by ETFs focused on Taiwan (-$0.4bn), China (-$0.4bn) and Hong Kong (-$0.2bn).
Fixed income ETFs recorded -$224mn of outflows in September. Among fixed income ETFs, sovereign ETFs experience largest outflows of -$252mn.
Winners and losers: At ETP level, largest inflows were received by Nikko Topix ETF (1308 JP), Nikko Exchange Traded Index 225 (1330 JP) and Samsung KODEX 200 (069500 KS) collecting +$735mn, +$621mn and +$430mn respectively. Largest redemptions were experienced by Samsung KODEX Leverage ETF (122630 KS), Daiwa Topix ETF (1305 JP) and Daiwa Nikkei 225 ETF (1320 JP) with outflows of -$1.3bn, -$545mn and -$402mn respectively.
Last three months: ETFs focused on Japan & Hong Kong (DM) and China, South Korea and Taiwan (EM) witnessed significant fund flow activity in the last three months. Japan focused ETFs attracted +$3.7bn inflows from July'13 to Sep'13 while ETFs benchmarked to China recorded outflows of -$0.9bn over the same period.
Turnover: Floor activity down by 2.5% on a month-over-month basis
Asia-Pacific ETP turnover totaled $51.9bn for September, 2.5% down from the previous month's total. On a country level, stock exchanges in South Korea topped the turnover ranking with aggregate turnover of $15.3bn, followed by Japan ($14.7bn), China ($11.4bn) and Hong Kong ($8.5bn). Among equity ETFs, emerging country, leveraged long, Asia-Pacific developed country, and short ETFs were the most traded products recording total turnovers of $20.4bn, $14.7bn, $7.4bn, and $3.6bn respectively. Within fixed income, turnover for sovereign ETFs totaled $2bn, while among commodity ETPs, gold ETPs recorded $0.3bn of turnover.
AUM - Assets added $9.7bn in September
Last month, Asia-Pacific ETP AUM added $9.7bn and closed the month at $163.6bn. On a year-to-date basis, Asia-Pacific ETP market is up by $29.6bn or 22.1% above last year's closing.
New ETP launches - Sector ETFs added to the tally
Last month, seven new equity ETPs were launched in the Asia-Pacific ETP market. China Universal Asset Management listed four sector ETFs (159928 CH, 159929 CH, 159930 CH & 159931 CH) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange focused on China's consumer staples, healthcare, energy and financials sectors respectively. Daiwa Asset Management (1585 JP) and Nikko Asset Management (1586 JP) each listed one equity ETF on the Tokyo Stock Exchange tracking TOPIX ex-Financials Index. Further, CSOP Asset Management listed one RQFII equity ETF (83137 HK) on the Hong Kong Exchange and benchmarked to CES China A80 index. This was the eighth ETF under RQFII program which allows overseas investors to access the China A-share market.
China fund rules a 'game changer' for foreign groups
October 6, 2013--Groundbreaking negotiations between Chinese regulators and the Hong Kong authorities are set to transform the way international fund groups access Chinese investors. Commentators are calling it a "game changer".
Until now, the only way foreign fund managers could access local Chinese investors has been to team up with a local partner, resulting in a spike in the number of joint ventures created over the past decade.
3 New ETNs to be Listed on Oct. 28, 2013(Mon.)-Nomura Group, "NEXT NOTES" Series (Third Installment)
October 4, 2013--Today, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc. (TSE) approved the listing of the following trust beneficiary certificates (Japanese Depositary Receipts; hereinafter"JDRs") whose trust assets are exchange traded notes (indicator-tracking securities; hereinafter "ETNs") issued by Nomura Europe Finance N.V.
These will be listed on Monday, October 28, 2013.
Tokyo Stock Exchange To Expand "TSE Indicative NAV"(ETN) Lineup
October 4, 2013--Beginning Nov. 5, 2013, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc. (TSE) will begin calculating and publishing Indicative Net Asset Value (Indicative NAV) in real time for the ETNs below.
| Code | ETN | Fund Administrator |
| 2040 | NEXT NOTES DJIA PR JPY-Monthly Hedged Leveraged (x2) ETN | Nomura Europe Finance N.V. |
| Code | ETN | Fund Administrator |
| NEXT NOTES DJIA TR JPY-Monthly Hedged Inverse (x1) ETN | Nomura Europe Finance N.V. | |
| 2042 | NEXT NOTES Tokyo Stock Exchange Mothers Index ETN | Nomura Europe Finance N.V. |
Bank of Japan Maintains Stimulus
October 4, 2013--The Bank of Japan maintained its huge monetary stimulus on Friday and upgraded its view on capital expenditure, encouraged by growing signs that the benefits of its aggressive policy action to escape deflation were broadening.
After a two-day review, the central bank reiterated its view that Japan, the world's third-largest economy, was recovering moderately, suggesting that no additional monetary policy measures were needed to counter the pain from next year's sales tax increase.
Indonesia Economic Quarterly: Continuing adjustment
October 4, 2013--The pace of adjustment in Indonesia's economy and policy settings to weaker commodity prices and to tighter external financing intensified in the third quarter, with the Rupiah depreciating by 17 percent against the US Dollar and policymakers tightening monetary policy.
A moderation in domestic demand is well underway, feeding into output growth. The World Bank now projects GDP growth to slow to 5.6 percent in 2013 and 5.3 percent in 2014, compared with 6.2 percent in 2012.
view the Indonesia Economic Quarterly: Continuing adjustment
S'pore joins Malaysia and Thailand to introduce ASEAN CIS Framework
October 1, 2013--Singapore-based fund managers will soon be able to offer their retail funds directly to investors in Malaysia and Thailand under the ASEAN CIS Framework.
On Tuesday, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), the Securities Commission of Malaysia and Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand signed an agreement to facilitate the cross-border offering of collective investment schemes to retail investors in the three countries.
China opens new trade zone in Shanghai, reform plans unveiled
September 29, 2013--China opened a new free trade zone in Shanghai on Sunday in what has been hailed as potentially the boldest reform in decades, and gave fresh details on plans to liberalize regulations governing finance, investment and trade in the area.
Officials gave no details on when specific initiatives will be implemented but the government has said most will be introduced in the next three years.
Report on China's implementation of Basel III published by the Basel Committee
September 26, 2013--The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has today published a report on the regulations that implement the Basel capital framework in China.
The compliance of China's domestic capital rules with the international Basel capital standards was assessed as part of the Committee's Regulatory Consistency Assessment Programme (RCAP). The assessment team held discussions with senior officials and staff of the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC), and met with senior representatives from the People's Bank of China (PBoC), selected commercial banks and audit firms based in China.
