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IMF Working paper-Is Japan's Population Aging Deflationary?
August 4, 2014--Summary: Japan has the most rapidly aging population in the world. This affects growth and fiscal sustainability, but the potential impact on inflation has been studied less.
We use the IMF's Global Integrated Fiscal and Monetary Model (GIMF) and find substantial deflationary pressures from aging, mainly from declining growth and falling land prices. Dissaving by the elderly makes matters worse as it leads to real exchange rate appreciation from the repatriation of foreign assets. The deflationary effects from aging are magnified by the large fiscal consolidation need. Many of these factors will beset other advanced countries as well, but we find that deflation risk from aging is not inevitable as ambitious structural reforms and an aggressive monetary policy reaction can provide the offset.
view the IMF Working paper-Is Japan's Population Aging Deflationary?
Source: IMF
Indicative NAV published for new ETFs through the FLEX standard service
August 4, 2014--Indicative NAV published for new ETFs through the FLEX standard service.
Beginning on August 11, 2014, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc. (TSE) will publish the real-time Indicative Net Asset Value (Indicative NAV) per share through the FLEX standard service for the below one Exchange Traded Fund (ETF...
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Source: TSE (Tokyo Stock Exchange)
IMF Survey: China Would Benefit from Slower but Safer Growth
Successful implementation of comprehensive reform agenda will secure more balanced, sustainable growth
Slower credit and investment growth are required to contain risks
Slower but safer growth path is good for China and the world
July 31, 2014--
After three decades of remarkable growth, China's economy has been slowing.
The country needs to implement the announced reform agenda and address vulnerabilities to secure a safer development path, said the IMF.
China's growth was 7.7 percent in 2013 and is expected to be around 7½ percent in 2014, in line with the government’s target, the IMF said in its most recent report on the state of the Chinese economy. Much of China's slowdown has been structural, reflecting the natural growth convergence, but weak global growth has also contributed.
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Source: IMF
Indian rupee slumps to 3-mth low on dollar buying by state-run banks
Rupee ends at 60.55/56 per dlr vs 60.06/07
All eyes on RBI policy review for possible cues
Dollar expected to trade strong vs. global majors in near term
July 31, 2014--The Indian rupee slumped to a three-month low on Thursday, hurt by a rally in the dollar in global markets that helped spur state-run banks into buying greenbacks for corporate-and defence-related payments.
The partially convertible rupee fell to as low as 60.57 per dollar at one point, its lowest since April 29, when the currency was in the midst of a rally in the lead-up to the general elections.
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Source: Reuters
IMF Country Report-People's Republic of China: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for the People's Republic of China
July 30, 2014--Summary: KEY ISSUES Context. After three decades of remarkable growth, the economy has been slowing. Much of the slowdown has been structural, reflecting the natural convergence process and waning dividends from past reforms; weak global growth has also contributed.
Moreover, since the global financial crisis, growth has relied too much on investment and credit, which is not sustainable and has created rising vulnerabilities. Growth was 7.7 percent in 2013, and is expected to slow to around 7½ percent this year and decline further over the medium term. Focus. The pattern of growth since the global financial crisis is not sustainable and has resulted in rising vulnerabilities.
IMF Survey:-Japan's Bumpy Growth Path Puts Premium on Structural Reforms View the IMF Survey:-Japan's Bumpy Growth Path Puts Premium on Structural Reforms World Bank-Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014: Hard Choices view the World Bank report-Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014: Hard Choices
China Rate Swap Jumps as Bond Sales Pulled Amid Default Risk view more Shanghai bourse launches consultation on ETF options view more
Shanghai bourse launches consultation on ETF options view more
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July 28, 2014--"Abenomics" gaining traction, but self-sustaining growth not assured
Growth set to resume following recent contraction
Ambitious structural reforms and concrete fiscal measures urgently needed
This would help achieve the new inflation target and guard against headwinds from a shrinking labor force and a large fiscal adjustment need.
Source: IMF
July 21, 2014--The people of Indonesia, the world's third most populous democracy, have voted for a new President. The incoming administration will face hard policy choices to address rising fiscal pressures and to implement much-needed reforms to deliver on the economy's enormous potential.
GDP growth in the first quarter of 2014 moderated further to 5.2 percent year-on-year, from 5.7 percent year-on-year in the prior quarter.
The slower growth rate is due partly to the macro stabilizing monetary and exchange rate policy measures that have been taken to move to a more sustainable current account footing and enhance investor confidence. However, exports have remained sluggish, in part due to the impact of the raw mineral export ban implemented in January.
Source: World Bank
July 17, 2014--China's interest-rate swaps jumped the most in a year and at least four companies scrapped debt sales amid concern the nation faces what would be the second default in its $4.4 trillion onshore bond market.
The cost of one-year swaps that exchange fixed payments for the floating seven-day repurchase rate rose 17 basis points, or 0.17 percentage point, to 4.10 percent in Shanghai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Source: Bloomberg
July 17, 2014--The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has launched a consultation into the possible launch of ETF options, which market watchers anticipate could help to invigorate both the mutual fund and ETF markets.
According to the Shanghai Securities Journal, the SSE has issued a circular that outlines guidelines on usage of the hedging tool.
Source: Asiai Asset
July 17, 2014--The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has launched a consultation into the possible launch of ETF options, which market watchers anticipate could help to invigorate both the mutual fund and ETF markets.
According to the Shanghai Securities Journal, the SSE has issued a circular that outlines guidelines on usage of the hedging tool.
Source: Asiai Asset
