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IMF Survey: China Would Benefit from Slower but Safer Growth

Successful implementation of comprehensive reform agenda will secure more balanced, sustainable growth
Slower credit and investment growth are required to contain risks
Slower but safer growth path is good for China and the world
July 31, 2014-- After three decades of remarkable growth, China's economy has been slowing.

The country needs to implement the announced reform agenda and address vulnerabilities to secure a safer development path, said the IMF.

China's growth was 7.7 percent in 2013 and is expected to be around 7½ percent in 2014, in line with the government’s target, the IMF said in its most recent report on the state of the Chinese economy. Much of China's slowdown has been structural, reflecting the natural growth convergence, but weak global growth has also contributed.

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Source: IMF


Indian rupee slumps to 3-mth low on dollar buying by state-run banks

Rupee ends at 60.55/56 per dlr vs 60.06/07
All eyes on RBI policy review for possible cues
Dollar expected to trade strong vs. global majors in near term
July 31, 2014--The Indian rupee slumped to a three-month low on Thursday, hurt by a rally in the dollar in global markets that helped spur state-run banks into buying greenbacks for corporate-and defence-related payments.

The partially convertible rupee fell to as low as 60.57 per dollar at one point, its lowest since April 29, when the currency was in the midst of a rally in the lead-up to the general elections.

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Source: Reuters


IMF Country Report-People's Republic of China: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for the People's Republic of China

July 30, 2014--Summary: KEY ISSUES Context. After three decades of remarkable growth, the economy has been slowing. Much of the slowdown has been structural, reflecting the natural convergence process and waning dividends from past reforms; weak global growth has also contributed.

Moreover, since the global financial crisis, growth has relied too much on investment and credit, which is not sustainable and has created rising vulnerabilities. Growth was 7.7 percent in 2013, and is expected to slow to around 7½ percent this year and decline further over the medium term. Focus. The pattern of growth since the global financial crisis is not sustainable and has resulted in rising vulnerabilities.

view the IMF Country report-IMF Country Report-People's Republic of China: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for the People's Republic of China

Source: IMF


IMF Survey:-Japan's Bumpy Growth Path Puts Premium on Structural Reforms

July 28, 2014--"Abenomics" gaining traction, but self-sustaining growth not assured
Growth set to resume following recent contraction
Ambitious structural reforms and concrete fiscal measures urgently needed
This would help achieve the new inflation target and guard against headwinds from a shrinking labor force and a large fiscal adjustment need.

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View the IMF Survey:-Japan's Bumpy Growth Path Puts Premium on Structural Reforms

Source: IMF


World Bank-Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014: Hard Choices

July 21, 2014--The people of Indonesia, the world's third most populous democracy, have voted for a new President. The incoming administration will face hard policy choices to address rising fiscal pressures and to implement much-needed reforms to deliver on the economy's enormous potential. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2014 moderated further to 5.2 percent year-on-year, from 5.7 percent year-on-year in the prior quarter.

The slower growth rate is due partly to the macro stabilizing monetary and exchange rate policy measures that have been taken to move to a more sustainable current account footing and enhance investor confidence. However, exports have remained sluggish, in part due to the impact of the raw mineral export ban implemented in January.

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view the World Bank report-Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2014: Hard Choices

Source: World Bank


China Rate Swap Jumps as Bond Sales Pulled Amid Default Risk

July 17, 2014--China's interest-rate swaps jumped the most in a year and at least four companies scrapped debt sales amid concern the nation faces what would be the second default in its $4.4 trillion onshore bond market.

The cost of one-year swaps that exchange fixed payments for the floating seven-day repurchase rate rose 17 basis points, or 0.17 percentage point, to 4.10 percent in Shanghai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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Source: Bloomberg


Shanghai bourse launches consultation on ETF options

July 17, 2014--The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has launched a consultation into the possible launch of ETF options, which market watchers anticipate could help to invigorate both the mutual fund and ETF markets.

According to the Shanghai Securities Journal, the SSE has issued a circular that outlines guidelines on usage of the hedging tool.

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Source: Asiai Asset


Shanghai bourse launches consultation on ETF options

July 17, 2014--The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has launched a consultation into the possible launch of ETF options, which market watchers anticipate could help to invigorate both the mutual fund and ETF markets.

According to the Shanghai Securities Journal, the SSE has issued a circular that outlines guidelines on usage of the hedging tool.

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Source: Asiai Asset


IMF Working paper-Future of Asia's Finance: How Can it Meet Challenges of Demographic Change and Infrastructure Needs?

July 16, 2014--Summary: There is a role for Asia's financial sector to play to address the challenges associated with the region's changing demographics and infrastructure investment needs. Enhancing financial innovation and integration in the region could facilitate intra-regional financial flows and mobilize resources from the aging savers in industrialized Asia to finance infrastructure investment in emerging Asia.

Strengthening the financial ties within the region as well as with the global financial markets alongside appropriate prudential frameworks could also help diversify sources of financing and reduce the cost of funding in emerging Asia. Finally, financial deepening could help ease the potential overheating from scaling up infrastructure investment and hence achieve a more balanced growth in the region.

view the IMF Working paper-IMF Working paper-Future of Asia's Finance: How Can it Meet Challenges of Demographic Change and Infrastructure Needs?

Source: IMF


IMF-People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Oversight and Supervision of Financial Market Infrastructures-Technical Note

July 16, 2014--SUMMARY--Nine financial market infrastructures (FMIs) operate in HKSAR; the effectiveness of their supervision and oversight is critical in maintaining financial stability. To support their objective of consolidating Hong Kong's position as an international financial center, the Hong Kong authorities have fostered the development of sophisticated and multi-currency FMIs.

The FMIs comprise four large-value interbank payment sy stems (real time gross settlement, RTGS) for payments in Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, euro, and renminbi, respectively; two distinct securities settlement systems (SSSs), one for government-issued and private sector debt securities, and the other, which is also a central counterparty (CCP), for securities traded on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Ltd (SEHK); and two CCPs for listed derivatives.

view the IMF report-People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Oversight and Supervision of Financial Market Infrastructures-Technical Note

Source: IMF


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