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IMF Working Paper-Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India?
December 15, 2014-- Summary: This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and GDP growth in India.
We collect data on a sample of 14 Indian states over the period 1989-2013, and use the cross-sectionally augmented distributed lag (CSDL) approach of Chudik et al. (2013) as well as the standard panel ARDL method for estimation-to account for cross-state heterogeneity and dependence, dynamics and feedback effects. Our findings suggest that, on average, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This suggest the need for the Reserve Bank of India to balance the short-term growthinflation trade-off, in light of the long-term negative effects on growth of persistently-high inflation.
view the IMF Working Paper-Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India?
Source: IMF
Thai bourse to list four Thai ETFs tracking global indices on Dec 15
December 12, 2014--The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) will list four
exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which are Maybank US ETF (MUS), Maybank Euro ETF
(MEU), Maybank Japan ETF (MJP) and Maybank Emerging ETF (MEM), on the main board on December 15, 2014.
The fund, managed by Maybank Asset Management Co., Ltd, will boost investment opportunities for Thai investors to track returns
following key global indices.
A< href="http://www.set.or.th/set/newsdetails.do?headline=SET+News+%3A+Thai+bourse+to+list+four+Thai+ETFs+tracking+global+indices+on+Dec+15&time=1418379644000&source=SET&symbol=SET&pdf=dat%2Fmds_news%2Fnews%2F0000NWS121220141720440545E.pdf&filename=dat%2Fmds_news%2Fnews%2F0000NWS121220141720440545E.txt&type=R&language=en&country=US" TARGET="_top">view more
Source: SEC.gov
Staying the Course on Structural Reforms
December 11, 2014--China's effort to rebalance its economy-transitioning from investment-to consumption-based growth, reducing air pollution and improving social services-has inevitably led to a "new normal" of slowing growth.
While it is tempting to focus on short-term growth targets, Chinese policymakers may want to consider the benefits of staying the course on structural reforms, which could help the country sustain robust economic growth in the long run.
In recent years, China has carried out policies that have put the economy on a more sustainable footing at an impressive pace. The government, for example, has taken steps to rein in credit growth, enacted environmental legislation and reduced excess capacity in the economy. These measures have moderated economic growth, expected to come in at 7.4 percent this year and 7.2 percent in 2015, according to our (World Bank) most recent projections.
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Source: World Bank
Shanghai stocks suffer sharpest fall in five years
December 9, 2014--Shanghai stocks suffered their sharpest fall in five years on Tuesday after a late-in-the-day 8 per cent slide cast doubts on the sustainability of a market that had rallied by almost a quarter in less than three weeks.
The benchmark Shanghai Composite broke a run of three-year highs to close 5.4 per cent lower at 2,856.27 in a move that Citigroup analysts dubbed the "Shanghai scare...
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Source: FT.com
WGC-Why India Needs a Gold Policy
December 9, 2014--This report highlights key policy recommendations to monetise India's 22,000 tonnes of gold stocks kept by Indian households.
Seven key recommendations are made for an effective 'India Gold Policy'. The report also assesses the policies adopted in countries like Turkey and China; that have faced challenges similar to India and have devised public policies which have monetised the local stock of gold to positive effect.
view the Why India Needs a Gold Policy rpoert
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Source: WGC (world Gold Council)
Indonesia Economic Quarterly, December 2014: Delivering change
December 7, 2014--The encouraging initiatives of Indonesia's new government bode well for the country, But weakening investment and sluggish exports, coupled with unfavorable conditions globally, will continue to impact prospects for higher growth.
Indonesia's new president and administration took office on October 20, 2014. The new government has set out ambitious development goals, particularly for the improvement of energy and other infrastructure, and social programs. Positive early steps and announcements have been made that indicate an increased focus on strengthening governance in key sectors, on more centralized, effective policy formulation, and on implementation.
view the Indonesia Economic Quarterly, December 2014: Delivering change
Source: World Bank
China property market set for demographic hit
December 5, 2014--China's previously overheated property market has been in the doldrums for most of this year but things are likely to get a lot worse, because of demographic shifts that are about to reverse a main driver of the decades-long boom.
According to newly published research, the size of China's main property-buying population-people aged 25 to 49 -will peak next year and then start to decline, just as a huge glut of new apartments hits the market.
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Source: FT.com
China banks' wealth management products given bond, stock market entry-sources
December 4, 2014--China will allow wealth management products sold by its commercial banks to invest in domestic bond and stock markets, in a move that could stem the flow of investible funds into trust companies engaged in the risky shadow banking sector, two sources with knowledge of the changes told Reuters on Thursday.
The banking regulatory commission also asked banks to set aside funds to guard against potential risks, a banker and a source close to the regulator, both with direct knowledge of the situation, said.
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Source: Reuters
Singapore, Japan bourses agree to develop both markets together
December 4, 2014--The Singapore and Japan bourses have signed a Letter of Intent on Thursday (Dec 4), in which collaboration will be explored in areas like the possibility of developing new derivatives products.
This comes as the Singapore bourse marked 30 years of futures trading, with the establishment of the Singapore International Monetary Exchange in 1984.
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Source: channelnewsasia.com
UPDATE 4-Singapore Exchange draws central bank fire after latest lapse
December 3, 2014--Software error leads to bourse opening at 12:30 p.m. from 9 a.m.
Central bank calls lapse "unacceptable"
CEO apologises, says not giving up
SGX grappling with lower volumes
Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX) came under fire on Wednesday after stock trading was interrupted for a second time in a month, piling pressure on a bourse and CEO grappling with falling trading volume.
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Source: Reuters