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Deutsche Bank Research-Asia-Pacific-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy-Inflows to locally listed ETFs despite
October 12, 2015--Global ETF Assets retreated further but attracted strong inflows Amid bearish equity markets globally, ETP AUM reduced to $2.75 trillion at the end of September, almost flat as compared to 2014 closing levels. However, ETP flows strengthened in September totalling +$34.4bn with YTD flows nearing +$250 mark. Asia-Pac listed ETP assets closed the month at $231.3bn with 14.4% YTD gain, highest among all the regions.
Global investor positioning:
Continue to prefer broad DM/Europe but bearish on country focus/ broad EM
We see clear trend that investors continue to favor broad DM, especially Europe, while bearish on EM. Based on ETFs listed offshore, most of the DM and EM countries experienced outflows in September, primarily from Japan, India and South Korea focused ETFs recording outflows of -$489, -$269 and -$241mn respectively.
Japan focused ETFs experienced outflows for the first time since January this year amid weakening Japanese equity markets and strengthening Yen during last one and a half months. India focused ETFs saw outflows for third consecutive month while outflows from China focused ETFs have slowed down in the past few weeks, as the market seems to be stabilized.
China A-share ETFs saw inflows in September after significant outflows this year
Among offshore China ETFs, we have seen divergent flow trend for ETFs focus on A-share vs H-share since the launch of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect in November last year: A-share ETFs have been hit by significant outflows and H-share ETFs have attracted significant inflow. This trend has reversed during last couple of months with A-shares recording positive flows of +$70mn and +$162mn in August and September respectively, while H-shares saw outflows of c.-$250mn in each of the last two months.
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Source: Deutsche Bank Research-Asia-Pacific-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy
Asia Can Take Steps to Bolster Resilience Amid Economic Slowdown
October 9, 2015--Region faces more challenging external environment
Growth is moderating though still strong relative to rest of world
Policy accommodation should be considered where there is policy space
Growth is moderating in Asia, but the region will continue to outperform the rest of the global economy, according to an IMF report on Asia's economy released on October 9 in Lima, Peru, as part of the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings.
According to the October 2015 Asia and Pacific Regional Economic Outlook Update (REO Update), growth will moderate slightly to 5.4 percent in 2015-16, in line with global developments.
Nomura Slashes China's 2016 Economic Growth Forecast To 5.8% From 6.7% As Slowdown To Deepen
October 8, 2015--Japanese investment bank Nomura has slashed its economic growth forecasts for China for 2016, citing a faster-than-expected pace of economic rebalancing as its primary concern.
The bank trimmed China's economic growth forecast for 2015 to 6.8 percent from 6.9 percent, however the bank has a bearish view in 2016 as it sees a dramatic economic slowdown to deepen and economic growth to slow to 5.8 percent from its previous estimate of 6.7 percent.
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Source: emergingequity.org
Korea drafts rules to open up ETF investment
October 8, 2015--South Korea's Financial Services Committee says it plans to raise mutual funds' investment limit in exchange traded funds to 50 per cent from the current 20 per cent,
offer tax incentives to ETFs that track foreign stock market indices and allow the National Pension Service to buy domestic ETFs.
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Source: FT.com
China's Currency Stash Drops by $94 Billion After Devaluation
September 7, 2015--Foreign-exchange hoard drops to $3.56 trillion at end August
Heavier the intervention, the deeper the fall,' says Bocom
China's foreign-exchange reserves fell by a record last month as the central bank sold dollars to support the yuan after the biggest devaluation in two decades spurred bets on continued weakness.
The currency hoard declined by $93.9 billion to $3.56 trillion at the end of August, from $3.65 trillion a month earlier.
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Source: Bloomberg
Growth in East Asia Pacific Likely to Moderate But Still Remain Solid, Says World Bank Report
Region urged to stay the course on structural reform and macroeconomic management
October 5, 2015--East Asia remains one of the main growth drivers of the world economy, accounting for nearly two-fifths of global economic growth, according to a new World Bank report.
Overall, the region is expected to grow 6.5 percent in 2015, moderating slightly from 6.8 percent last year.
view the East Asia Pacific Economic Update, October 2015: Staying the Course
Source: World Bank
Singapore Exchange to offer custom indexes to expand
October 5, 2015--Singapore Exchange will offer custom indexes services as the bourse seeks to broaden its earnings base.
"Offering index services to diversify the market data business is common amongst exchanges," Tinku Gupta, head of market data and connectivity at the exchange said in a statement Monday. "It helps us in attracting new institutional channels."
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Source: straitstimes.com
Japan central bank chief weighs policy easing options
October 5, 2015--When Haruhiko Kuroda faces the press this week the Bank of Japan governor will be under more pressure
than at any time since last October- when the central bank massively expanded its asset purchases.
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Source: FT.com
South Asia Grows Strongly but Fiscal, Financial Weaknesses Remain
October 4, 2015--Economic growth expected to accelerate to 7.4 percent in 2016 from 7 percent in 2015
October 4, 2015--Led by a resilient India, South Asia is expected to maintain its lead as the fastest-growing region in the world, with economic growth forecasted to accelerate from 7 percent in 2015 to 7.4 percent in 2016, a World Bank report said.
According to the twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus, this positive performance hinges on solid growth in services, domestic consumption, and a gradual rise of investments. Limited exposure to the financial turmoil and an improved external position have given most South Asian countries important policy space.
view the IMF South Asia Economic Focus Fall 2015-Getting Prices Right-The recent disinflation and its implications report
Source: World Bank
Chinese stocks log worst quarter since the financial crisis
September 30, 2015--Asian markets on Wednesday logged one of their worst quarters since the global financial crisis, with the double threat of higher interest rates in the U.S. and China's slowdown unlikely to ease heading into October.
While regional stocks and currencies recovered from Tuesday's steep losses in the last trading day of the quarter, the period was a bruising one for nearly all of Asia’s markets.
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Source: MarketWatch
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