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Asia Can Take Steps to Bolster Resilience Amid Economic Slowdown

October 9, 2015--Region faces more challenging external environment
Growth is moderating though still strong relative to rest of world
Policy accommodation should be considered where there is policy space

Growth is moderating in Asia, but the region will continue to outperform the rest of the global economy, according to an IMF report on Asia's economy released on October 9 in Lima, Peru, as part of the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings.

According to the October 2015 Asia and Pacific Regional Economic Outlook Update (REO Update), growth will moderate slightly to 5.4 percent in 2015-16, in line with global developments.

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view the IMF-Regional Economic Outlook Update: Asia and Pacific-Asia: Bolstering Resilience amid the Slowdown

Source: IMF


Nomura Slashes China's 2016 Economic Growth Forecast To 5.8% From 6.7% As Slowdown To Deepen

October 8, 2015--Japanese investment bank Nomura has slashed its economic growth forecasts for China for 2016, citing a faster-than-expected pace of economic rebalancing as its primary concern.

The bank trimmed China's economic growth forecast for 2015 to 6.8 percent from 6.9 percent, however the bank has a bearish view in 2016 as it sees a dramatic economic slowdown to deepen and economic growth to slow to 5.8 percent from its previous estimate of 6.7 percent.

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Source: emergingequity.org


Korea drafts rules to open up ETF investment

October 8, 2015--South Korea's Financial Services Committee says it plans to raise mutual funds' investment limit in exchange traded funds to 50 per cent from the current 20 per cent,

offer tax incentives to ETFs that track foreign stock market indices and allow the National Pension Service to buy domestic ETFs.

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Source: FT.com


China's Currency Stash Drops by $94 Billion After Devaluation

September 7, 2015--Foreign-exchange hoard drops to $3.56 trillion at end August
Heavier the intervention, the deeper the fall,' says Bocom

China's foreign-exchange reserves fell by a record last month as the central bank sold dollars to support the yuan after the biggest devaluation in two decades spurred bets on continued weakness.

The currency hoard declined by $93.9 billion to $3.56 trillion at the end of August, from $3.65 trillion a month earlier.

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Source: Bloomberg


Growth in East Asia Pacific Likely to Moderate But Still Remain Solid, Says World Bank Report

Region urged to stay the course on structural reform and macroeconomic management
October 5, 2015--East Asia remains one of the main growth drivers of the world economy, accounting for nearly two-fifths of global economic growth, according to a new World Bank report.

Overall, the region is expected to grow 6.5 percent in 2015, moderating slightly from 6.8 percent last year.

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view the East Asia Pacific Economic Update, October 2015: Staying the Course

Source: World Bank


Singapore Exchange to offer custom indexes to expand

October 5, 2015--Singapore Exchange will offer custom indexes services as the bourse seeks to broaden its earnings base.

"Offering index services to diversify the market data business is common amongst exchanges," Tinku Gupta, head of market data and connectivity at the exchange said in a statement Monday. "It helps us in attracting new institutional channels."

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Source: straitstimes.com


Japan central bank chief weighs policy easing options

October 5, 2015--When Haruhiko Kuroda faces the press this week the Bank of Japan governor will be under more pressure

than at any time since last October- when the central bank massively expanded its asset purchases.

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Source: FT.com


South Asia Grows Strongly but Fiscal, Financial Weaknesses Remain

October 4, 2015--Economic growth expected to accelerate to 7.4 percent in 2016 from 7 percent in 2015
October 4, 2015--Led by a resilient India, South Asia is expected to maintain its lead as the fastest-growing region in the world, with economic growth forecasted to accelerate from 7 percent in 2015 to 7.4 percent in 2016, a World Bank report said.

According to the twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus, this positive performance hinges on solid growth in services, domestic consumption, and a gradual rise of investments. Limited exposure to the financial turmoil and an improved external position have given most South Asian countries important policy space.

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view the IMF South Asia Economic Focus Fall 2015-Getting Prices Right-The recent disinflation and its implications report

Source: World Bank


Chinese stocks log worst quarter since the financial crisis

September 30, 2015--Asian markets on Wednesday logged one of their worst quarters since the global financial crisis, with the double threat of higher interest rates in the U.S. and China's slowdown unlikely to ease heading into October.

While regional stocks and currencies recovered from Tuesday's steep losses in the last trading day of the quarter, the period was a bruising one for nearly all of Asia’s markets.

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Source: MarketWatch


IMF-Australia: Selected Issues

September 30, 2015--House prices in Australia have increased strongly over the past two decades, including by comparison internationally. Thus house prices are often argued to be overvalued. Many counter-arguments have been put forward for why such measures are flawed.

We argue that house prices are moderately stronger than consistent with current economic fundamentals, but less than a comparison to historical or international averages would suggest.

Argument: House prices have risen faster in Australia than in most other countries, suggesting, ceteris paribus, overvaluation

1. Australia's real house prices have risen significantly faster than OECD average over the past two decades. After growing broadly in line with real GDP per capita from 1960-90, Australian real house price inflation picked up sharply in the mid-1990s, exceeding income growth by a wide margin. As a result, the house price-to-income ratio rose sharply, despite the terms-of-trade boom that boosted Australian incomes over the past decade, also exceeding the average increase among OECD countries (Figure 1, panel 2).

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Source: IMF


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