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5 Charts on the Chinese Economy

August 20, 2017--The July activity data for China were just released, but rather than dwell on the details of the data, I decided I would pick out 5 charts that show some of the key cyclical and structural trends for China's economy.

It's important to keep track of these given the rising influence of the Chinese economy on the global economy and financial markets. It's also important to gauge any changes in the cycle, as this has the greatest near term impact on investment markets and helps us understand the risk and opportunity set and finesse the timing around molding and shaping portfolios to capture and reflect these trends.

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Source: Callum Thomas, TopDown Charts


6 Charts on GDP in China

August 20, 2017--With the release of the June quarter GDP results from China it's worth checking in on a few charts that show some of the key trends in China's economy.

The charts present mostly a cyclical view, but the structural trends and changes in the make up of the economy are also clearly evident in the graphs below.

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Source: Topdown Charts Limited


Chinese share indices: 24-hour party people

August 18, 2017--Extending index eligibility beyond H shares makes sense

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Source: FT.com


China Codifies Crackdown on 'Irrational' Outbound Investment

August 18, 2017--State Council plans restrictions on property, hotels, sports
Authorities will also ban overseas investment in gambling

China formally laid down new rules on overseas investments, making explicit its de facto campaign against "irrational" acquisitions of assets in industries ranging from real estate to hotels and entertainment.

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Source: Bloomberg


Hong Kong seeks to streamline Chinese indices

August 17, 2017--ICBC could gain Tencent and China Mobile as Hong Kong moves to simplify its China tracking indices, which are complicated by the large number of Chinese share classes.

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Source: FT.com


World's Biggest Pension Fund Wants to Stop Index Trackers Eating the Economy

August 17, 2017--The growth in passive index-tracking threatens to harm investors in the long term

If investors continue to pile their money into passive index-tracking, at some point markets will stop doing their job of allocating resources efficiently in the economy. Perhaps they already have.

The threat is big enough that the world's largest pension fund* is preparing to put more of its money with active managers-who charge more and on average underperform-in an attempt to keep markets functioning properly.

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*Japan's Government Pension Investment Fund

Source: Wall Street Journal


JPX Monthly ETF Monthly Report (July 2017)

August 17, 2017--The JPX Monthly ETF Monthly Report (July 2017) is available.

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Source: JPX (Japan Exchange Group)


Steady as she goes: what's driving the Australian economy?

August 15, 2017--Despite sluggish overall growth reported in the National Accounts, a range of more partial indicators suggest the Australian economy is enjoying reasonable-though not robust-growth from a diversified range of sources.

Continued moderate growth and low inflation appear the most likely outcome over the coming year, which would be consistent with steady local interest rates and a focus on income over growth opportunities in the Australian equity market.

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Source: betashares.com.au


ULTUMUS-Global ETF Monitor-Asia-Artificial intelligence and technology are all the rage these days.

August 15, 2017--In Korea, two new ETFs will be listed this week, each of which tracks tech stocks with big visions. Kodex, the ETF issuer run by Korean chaebol Samsung, has launched a robotics and automation ETF (276990).

276990 will synthetically track ROBO Global's "Robotics & Automation Index"....

The second ETF comes from KBStar, the ETF issuing arm of Korea bank, which is launching a "Global 4th Industry Revolution IT ETF" (276650)....

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Source: ULTUMUS-Financial Data Management


IMF Country Report-People's Republic of China: Selected Issues

August 15, 2017--CHINA'S HIGH SAVINGS: DRIVERS, PROSPECTS, AND POLICIES1
China has one of the highest national savings in the world, which are at the heart of its external/internal imbalances. High savings fuel excessive investment when kept domestically and generate large global imbalances when they flow abroad.

High national savings today mostly emanate from the household sector. Corporate savings used to be the main driver in the early 2000s, partly reflecting an undervalued exchange rate, but have now gradually converged to the global average.

view the IMF Country Report-People's Republic of China: Selected Issues

view China's Economic Outlook in Six Charts

Source: IMF


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