BetaShares-Could the S&P/ASX 200 reach and hold 6000 this year?
February 22, 2017--Since bottoming in February last year, and especially since the election of Donald Trump as US President, the Australian equity market has posted good gains, with the S&P/ASX 200 now within striking distance of the psychological 6000 level.
This post assesses both the technical and fundamental challenges facing the market. All up, the analysis suggests that it's quite possible for the market to reach and hold the 6000 level this year, but further gains beyond that might be constrained by the still-muted outlook for earnings growth in the non-mining sectors of the economy.
Bassanese Bites: Cautious optimism persists
February 20, 2017--Week beginning: 20 February 2017
One of the three global macro "Trump trades" persists across global markets, with equities rising yet the $US and bond yields still largely treading water.
Last week saw Wall Street move to new record highs, with the S&P 500 up 1.5% despite a shockingly erratic Donald Trump press conference and hints from the Fed's Janet Yellen that a March rate rise remains a possibility. Helping is the fact global economic data remains encouraging and everyone is waiting for Trump's "phenomenal" announcement on tax. On the negative side, there is some nervousness creeping into markets ahead of the French Presidential elections starting in April-given latest polling suggesting that the National Front's Marine Le Pen is now favourite to win the first of two voting rounds.
Chinese Banks' Off-Book Wealth Products Exceed $3.8 Trillion
February 19, 2017--Value of wealth-management product exposure rises 30%: PBOC
PBOC includes off-book WMPs in macro prudential assessment.
Chinese banks had more than 26 trillion yuan ($3.8 trillion) of wealth-management products held off their balance sheets at the end of December, a 30 percent increase from a year earlier, according to the central bank.
China makes record cuts to US Treasuries holdings
February 15, 2017-Japan's portfolio decreased for a fifth consecutive month
Treasury data show Japan as top U.S. foreign creditor in 2016
China's holdings of U.S. Treasuries declined by the most on record last year, as the world's second-largest economy dipped into its foreign-exchange reserves to buttress the yuan. Japan, America's largest foreign creditor, trimmed its holdings for a second straight year.
Korea Exchange to Accelerate Growth of Derivatives Market
Tartuffe 15, 2017--The Derivatives Market Division of the Korea Exchange (KRX) announced its business plan for this year on February 14 at its press conference held in Seoul.
According to the plan, the KRX is going to lower derivatives market entry barriers and diversify products in the market so that more individual investors can take part in it and its competitiveness can be enhanced.
DB Research-Asia-Pacific-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy-Asia-Pac Monthly ETF Insights
February 14, 2017--Offshore and Local Both Buy Japan and Sell China Equities
Data in this report is as of 31st January 2017
Global ETP assets closed the month at $3.65 trillion supported by positive
markets and healthy inflows
Global ETP AUM moved to its peak during last month and closed at $3.65 trillion,
supported by healthy inflows and positive markets.
It is worth highlighting that
on a month-over-month basis global ETP AUM is up by 3.9% ($534bn). Asia-Pac
listed ETP assets closed the month at $331.1bn which is again the highest level so far for the region. ETPs listed globally (ex-RoW) received strong inflows of about + $60bn in January. Although January inflows were dominated by US ETPs bringing in massive +$41.8bn in new money, Europe and Asia-Pac ETPs also followed the
suite attracting +$11.9bn and +$6.1bn worth of inflows respectively.
IMF-Quarterly Projection Model for India: Key Elements and Properties
February 13, 2017-Summary:
This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward-looking open-economy gap model, calibrated to represent the Indian case, for generating forecasts and risk assessment as well as conducting policy analysis.
QPM incorporates several India-specific features like the importance of the agricultural sector and food prices in the inflation process; features of monetary policy transmission and implications of an endogenous credibility process for monetary policy formulation.
Indonesia : Selected Issues
February 10, 2017--The landscape of capital inflows to Indonesia has changed in both the volume and composition since the global financial crisis (GFC).
As nonresidents are purchasing Indonesian assets, Indonesia's external liabilities and debt positions have changed as well. While capital inflows have helped to finance Indonesia's current account and fiscal deficits since late 2011 when the commodity super-cycle was over, they have also brought challenges due to their volatile nature and tendency to come in waves, in particular,portfolio inflows.
DB Research-Asia-Pacific-Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy-Asia-Pac ETF+ Quarterly Directory
February 3, 2017--Data in this report is as of 30th December 2016.
This document includes all Asia-Pacific listed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and
exchange-traded commodities (ETCs). The directory is organized by country and
asset-class-related sub sections.
Within each sub section it has been sorted by ETP issuer by alphabetical order and by AUM in descending order. Numerous key
information points per product have been included to enable readers to get an
overview in their respective areas of interest.
3 predictions for the Australian ETF industry in 2017
February 1, 2017--With assets under management at an all-time high, and increasingly more widespread use of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), the Australian ETF industry came of age in 2016, and continues to follow in the footsteps of more mature markets around the globe.
The ETF industry in Australia continues to evolve, as new waves of investors demand more sophisticated types of products. In 2017, we predict this more mature version of the local ETF industry will be expressed in at least three clearly defined trends:
a growing audience of younger, users the proliferation of active exchange traded managed funds and 3) a broader range of smart-beta options.