Americas ETP News
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TD buying Cowen for US$1.3B in U.S. investment banking push
August 2, 2022--Toronto-Dominion Bank announced Tuesday morning that it has agreed to buy Cowen Inc. in its latest U.S. takeover- and some analysts warned TD could be hard pressed to hang on to Cowen's most valuable talent.
Under the terms of the deal, TD will pay US$1.3 billion, or US$39 per share, in cash to buy the New York-based investment bank. TD said it sold 28.4 million shares in The Charles Schwab Corp. to finance the transaction; as a result, TD said the deal will be neutral to its Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio.
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Source: bnnbloomberg.ca
Horizon Kinetics Launches Blockchain Development Exchange Traded Fund (BCDF)
August 2, 2022--Horizon Kinetics LLC announced the launch of its second exchange traded fund (ETF), the Blockchain Development ETF (BCDF), an actively managed fund, which began trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) today.
This active ETF will be managed using the same long-term, value-oriented, and proprietary research-driven philosophy that has guided the management of the Firm’s other products over the more than 20 years since Horizon Kinetics' inception. The ETF seeks to invest in the equity of companies that stand to benefit, either directly or indirectly, from the issuance, facilitation, custody, trading and administration of digital assets, including cryptocurrencies.
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Source: Horizon Kinetics LLC
The Lipstick Effect: Do Recessions Really Make Us Buy More Makeup?
July 29, 2022--Lipstick is a staple beauty product; whether you're 22 or 62, you likely own at least one. My mom typically wore red Rimmel lipstick every day when I was growing up. Like many kids, I would try on her lipsticks before I was able to buy my own. From her, I learned to find comfort in applying a classic matte red to my lips.
Sky-high inflation has recently led to significant increases in the cost of living in countries such as the United Kingdom and the United States, and experts have warned there could be a recession on the way. In such circumstances, you might assume there would be a decline in spending on lipstick.
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Source: byrdie.com
Federal Reserve Annual Report
July 29, 2022--This report covers the calendar-year operations and activities carried out by the Board in its five key functional areas: (1) monetary policy, (2) financial stability, (3) supervision and regulation, (4) payment system and Reserve Bank oversight, and (5) consumer and community affairs.
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Source: federalreserve.gov
US economy shrinks for a 2nd quarter, raising recession fear
July 28, 2022-- The U.S. economy shrank from April through June for a second straight quarter, contracting at a 0.9% annual pace and raising fears that the nation may be approaching a recession.
The decline that the Commerce Department reported Thursday in the gross domestic product- the broadest gauge of the economy- followed a 1.6% annual drop from January through March.
Consecutive quarters of falling GDP constitute one informal, though not definitive, indicator of a recession.
The GDP report for last quarter pointed to weakness across the economy. Consumer spending slowed as Americans bought fewer goods. Business investment fell. Inventories tumbled as businesses slowed their restocking of shelves, shaving 2 percentage points from GDP.
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Source: apnews.com
Fed jacks rates again, Powell vows no surrender in inflation battle
July 27, 2022--Fed raises policy rate to 2.25%-2.50% range
U.S. central bank flags weakening economic data
Fed's Powell says failure to tame inflation not an option
The Federal Reserve said on Wednesday it would not flinch in its battle against the most intense breakout of inflation in the United States since the 1980s even if that means a "sustained period" of economic weakness and a slowing jobs market.
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Source: reuters.com
CBO-The Demographic Outlook: 2022 to 2052
July 27, 2022--In CBO's projections, the size of the U.S. population increases from 335 million people in 2022 to 369 million people in 2052. Population growth is increasingly driven by net immigration, which accounts for all population growth in 2043 and beyond.
Summary:
The size of the U.S. population and its age and sex composition affect federal spending, revenues, deficits, debt, and the economy. In this report, the Congressional Budget Office describes its population projections that underlie the baseline budget projections and economic forecast that CBO published in May 2022 and the long-term budget projections that the agency published in July 2022.
Population
In CBO's projections, the population increases from 335 million people in 2022 to 369 million people in 2052, expanding by 0.3 percent per year, on average.
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Source: CBO (Congressional Budget Office)
CBO-The 2022 Long-Term Budget Outlook
July 27, 2022--The U.S. faces a challenging fiscal outlook according to CBO's extended baseline projections, which show budget deficits and federal debt held by the public growing steadily in relation to gross domestic product over the next three decades.
Deficits
At 3.9 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), the projected deficit in 2022 is much smaller than those recorded in 2020 and 2021, because federal spending in response to the coronavirus pandemic has waned and revenues have risen sharply. Nevertheless, in CBO's projections, federal deficits over the 2022-2052 period average 7.3 percent of GDP (more than double the average over the past half-century) and generally grow each year, reaching 11.1 percent of GDP in 2052. That projected growth in total deficits is largely driven by increases in interest costs: Net interest outlays more than quadruple over the period, rising to 7.2 percent of GDP in 2052.
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Source: CBO (Congressional Budget Office)
Shifting Global Winds Pose Challenges to Latin America
July 27, 2022--The region continued its strong recovery in early 2022, but decelerating economic activity and persistent inflation will test its resilience.
The economies of Latin America and the Caribbean have continued their strong post-pandemic rebound, but the winds are shifting as global financial conditions are tightening and commodity prices are reversing their upward trend, while inflationary pressures persist.
The reopening of contact-intensive sectors, especially hospitality and travel, the unwinding of pandemic pent-up demand, and still favorable external financial conditions supported a solid expansion in the first half of the year, allowing services to catch up with manufacturing, and employment to reach pre-pandemic levels. Year-on-year growth reached 2.8 percent in the first quarter, compared to an average of 1.7 percent in the years preceding the pandemic, and high-frequency indicators point to continued momentum in the second quarter.
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Source: imf.org
Another Way to Play Tesla: A Hedged Single-Stock ETF
July 26, 2022--July 26, 2022--Investors looking for a new way to play Tesla shares will have another opportunity beginning Tuesday.
The Innovator Hedged TSLA Strategy ETF, which will list on the Cboe, aims to provide investors with the long-term upside of Elon Musk's electric vehicle company while mitigating potential losses.
Rather than investing directly in Tesla shares, the hedged product will invest 90% of its portfolio in Treasury bills and the remaining 10% into what's known as a call option spread strategy. It is bullish on the underlying Tesla stock but puts a cap on potential returns.
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Source: wsj.com
