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CBO-An Overview of The 2020 Long-Term Budget Outlook
October 13, 2020--Summary
By the end of 2020, federal debt held by the public is projected to equal 98 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)-its highest level since shortly after World War II. If current laws governing taxes and spending generally remained unchanged, debt would first exceed 100 percent of GDP in 2021 and would reach 107 percent of GDP, its highest level in the nation's history, by 2023, CBO projects.
Debt would continue to increase in most years thereafter, reaching 195 percent of GDP by 2050.
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Source: CBO (Congressional Budget Office)
BlackRock kicks off earnings for fund management industry in tumult
October 12, 2020--BlackRock will this week kick off third-quarter earnings season for a fund administration business the place the widening hole between its winners and losers has unleashed a wave of consolidation.
Asset supervisor Eaton Vance was final week offered to Morgan Stanley in a $7bn deal, underlining how midsized fund managers are scrambling to be absorbed by bigger teams or combining with friends in an effort to safe the size required to compete with the likes of BlackRock and Vanguard.
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Source: electronicsward.com
CBO-Monthly Budget Review for September 2020
October 8, 2020--The federal government ran a budget deficit of $3.1 trillion in fiscal year 2020, CBO estimates, more than triple the shortfall recorded in 2019. The Treasury Department will report the actual deficit for the year later this month.
The federal budget deficit was $3.1 trillion in fiscal year 2020, the Congressional Budget Office estimates. CBO's estimate is based on data from the Daily Treasury Statements issued by the Department of the Treasury; the department will report the actual deficit for fiscal year 2020 later this month.
Relative to the size of the economy, the deficit-at an estimated 15.2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)-was the largest since 1945, and 2020 was the fifth consecutive year in which the deficit increased as a percentage of GDP. The estimated deficit is more than triple the shortfall recorded in fiscal year 2019.
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Source: CBO (Congressional Budget Office)
BlackRock Launches Industry's First BB Rated Corporate Bond ETF (HYBB)
October 8, 2020--BlackRock today announced the launch of the iShares BB Rated Corporate Bond ETF (NYSE:HYBB). The fund will seek to track the investment results of the ICE Bank of America BB US High Yield Constrained Index (HUC1)and is the first ETFto offer this exposure to investors in the United States.
As of September 30, 2020, BB rated bonds accounted for 55% of the total U.S. fixed income high yield universe, up from 47% at the end of 2019. The growth of the BB universe has largely been the result of bond downgrades from investment grade to high yield. Reflecting this shift, the ICE BAML High Yield BB index is made up of 1,022 bonds,an increase from 830 bonds atthe end of 2019.2
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Source: BlackRock
The growing momentum towards curbing Big Tech
October 7, 2020--Landmark report provides a road map for future legislative action
For America's big technology companies, 2020 has been the best and worst of times. The coronavirus pandemic has played to their strengths, as millions have relied on them for online shopping, entertainment and business and social contact. Their ability to prosper through lockdown has propelled their market values to new highs.
But this year may also go down as the moment when momentum towards US legislative action to curb their power became unstoppable.
This week's landmark, 449-page report from the House antitrust subcommittee into Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook is uncompromising. All four, it alleges, wield monopoly or substantial power, and have abused it.
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Source: FT.com
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2020
October 7, 2020--The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday released the attached minutes of the Committee meeting held on September 15-16, 2020. A summary of economic projections made by Federal Reserve Board members and Reserve Bank presidents for the meeting is also included as an addendum to these minutes.
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Source: federalreserve.gov
U.S. trade deficit jumps to largest in 14 years in August
October 6, 2020--The U.S. trade deficit surged in August to the largest in 14 years with imports climbing again, suggesting that trade could be a drag on economic growth in the third quarter.
The Commerce Department said on Tuesday the trade deficit jumped 5.9% to $67.1 billion, the widest since August 2006.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade gap widening to $66.1 billion in August.
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Source: reuters.com
Schwab Completes Acquisition of TD Ameritrade
October 6, 2020--Creates company with approximately $6 trillion in client assets across 28 million brokerage accounts
Enhances company's position as a leading provider of services and solutions to investors and independent advisors
The Charles Schwab Corporation ("Schwab") today announced that it has completed its acquisition of TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation ("TD Ameritrade").
The combination will create a company with enhanced scale, an even better portfolio of world-class services and solutions, and a talented team united by an unwavering commitment to clients and a shared heritage of innovation.
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Source: Charles Schwab
Exxon's Plan for Surging Carbon Emissions Revealed in Leaked Documents
October 5, 2020--Internal projections from one of world's largest oil producers show an increase in its enormous contribution to global warming
Exxon Mobil Corp. had plans to increase annual carbon-dioxide emissions by as much as the output of the entire nation of Greece, an analysis of internal documents reviewed by Bloomberg shows, setting one of the largest corporate emitters against international efforts to slow the pace of warming.
The drive to expand both fossil-fuel production and planet-warming pollution has come at a time when some of Exxon’s rivals, such as BP Plc and Royal Dutch Shell Plc, are moving to curb oil and zero-out emissions. Exxon's own assessment of its $210 billion investment strategy shows yearly emissions rising 17% by 2025, according to internal projections.
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Source: bloomberg.com
Hunt for answer to bond blues turns to active ETFs
October 3, 2020--The crushing of global interest rates to historically low levels has delivered big gains for bond investors and crowns a four-decade run of solid returns. From here, the picture looks tougher and that may mean investors need to take a more active approach to managing their portfolios.
A universe where bonds provide little to no interest fails in providing a fixed income beyond the current rate of inflation. It also limits the prospect of capital appreciation for portfolios. And that's the good news. Far more daunting is the likelihood that investment in government and other high-quality bonds over time registers negative returns once the global economy negotiates the pandemic.
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Source: echnocodex.com
