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SA ranked no better than Greece

June 7, 2010--South Africa may be financially sound, but it will struggle to benefit from the sovereign debt crisis in Europe.
Rating agencies rank South Africa no better than Greece, Portugal, Spain, Ireland or Italy, the so-called PIIGS nations where government debt is dangerously high.

Rating agency Moody’s equates South Africa to Greece at A3 in terms of long-term debt, even though South Africa has balanced its budget for many years.

In addition, government debt in South Africa is 36% of gross domestic product, far lower than the 128% expected for Greece this year.

All of the major grading agencies rank South Africa lower than Portugal, Spain and Italy - each of which has massive debt and is in danger of dragging the eurozone into more trouble.

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Source: FIN24


Rand range bound in thin trade

June 4, 2010--The rand was still range-bound in midday trade on Friday amid low liquidity levels ahead of the weekend. A local trader said the local unit was eyeing the euro vs dollar movement, which was almost unchanged from Thursday's levels.

At 11:40 the rand was bid at R7.6471 to the dollar from R7.6581 at its previous close. It was bid at 9.3355 to the euro from its previous close of R9.3313 and was at R11.2196 against sterling from R11.2061.

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Source: FIN24


JSE flat ahead of US payrolls

June 4, 2010--The JSE was only a tad lower in midday trade on Friday ahead of key US nonfarm payrolls data.

By 12:00 the JSE all share index declined 0.11%, with resources down 0.66%, and platinum miners down 0.78%. Gold miners lost 1.76%. Banks were 0.76% stronger, financials added 0.38%, and industrials were 0.17% firmer.

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Source: FIN24


Bonds subdued on steady rand

June 4, 2010--Trading in bonds was thin across the board in midday trade on Friday as they tracked a steady rand.
By 11:41 the short-term government R154 bond was bid at 6.750% after closing at 6.730% on Thursday and the medium-term R157 was at 7.985% from 8.000% in early trade and 7.980% at its previous close.

The long-term R186 was at 8.965% from 8.930% previously. The long-term R186 was at 8.965% from 8.930% previously.

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Source: FIN24


Debt market shows optimism about SA

June 3, 2010--The SA government has created some much-needed breathing room at the top end of the local bond market after launching two new long bonds.

And the assessment from the market is that the issuance has received plenty of interest from asset managers running annuity books, with the demand a clear thumbs-up on the health of the debt market at a time when global markets languish.

The 2031 R213 was launched last week, while the 2041 hit the market on Tuesday at a yield of 8.82%.

Victor Mphaphuli, a bond analyst and portfolio manager at Stanlib, says this yield is competitive as it is 8-9 points through (stronger than) the 2036 R209 bond. The R209 is a good comparator to use as it matures in 2036 and was last yielding 8.89%.

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Source: FIN24


Economy recovering faster than expected

May 31, 2010--South Africa's economy is recuperating faster than expected, according to analysts Moody's Economy.com.

They point out that the latest national accounts data showed that gross domestic product (GDP) growth quickened to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.6% in the opening months of 2010, from 3.2% in the fourth quarter and 0.9% in the third. On a year-ago basis, the economy expanded 1.6%.

"The factory sector, which is sensitive to the global business cycle, has powered the rebound in each of the past three quarters thanks to improved external demand and inventory replenishment. Mining and quarrying, another economic driver, was the second largest contributor to growth in the first quarter as output of coal and other ores rose," the analysts note.

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Source: FIN24


Bonds remain firm on stronger rand

May 28, 2010--Bonds remained firm by midday Friday as the stronger rand lured foreign investors back into the local bond market.

By 11:50 the short-term government R154 bond was bid at 6.735% and offered at 6.715% after closing at 6.750% on Thursday and the medium-term R157 was at 7.980% from 8.000% at its previous close. The long-term R186 was bid at 8.875% and offered at 8.845% from 8.860% previously.

The rand was bid at R7.5717 to the dollar from R7.5780 at its previous close.

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Source: FIN24


JSE lower on profit-taking

May 28, 2010--The JSE was slightly lower in midday trade on Friday on the back of profit taking and a strong rand, defying the generally positive sentiment among global markets.

By 12:00 the JSE all share index was down 0.11%, with resources lower at 0.40%, and platinum miners 0.19% down. Gold miners shed 1.29%. But banks climbed 0.60% and financials added 0.43%. Industrials shed 0.13%.

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Source: FIN24


Euro strength adds to steady rand

May 28, 2010- The rand was steady in afternoon trade on Friday, holding up against the dollar, aided by a stronger euro.

At 15:24 the rand was bid at R7.5981 to the dollar from R7.5780 at its previous close. It was bid at R9.3999 to the euro from its previous close of R9.3691 and was at R11.0592 against sterling from R11.0379.

The euro was bid at $1.2362 from $1.2345previously.

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Source: FIN24


Zimbabwe grows for first time in 11 years

May 26, 2010--Zimbabwe has recorded its first year of economic growth for more than a decade, a report from the International Monetary Fund said.

Gross domestic product rose 4 per cent last year, the first expansion in 11 years, while prices rose 6.5 per cent. In previous years, by contrast, inflation was measured in millions of per cent and the country’s economy regularly shrank 5-10 per cent.

But the IMF gave a generally downbeat assessment of the state of the country’s economy, urging the coalition government led by Robert Mugabe, the president, to adopt reforms or risk long-term stagnation

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Source: FT.com


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