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North Africa Economic Outlook 2021: Growth expected to recover to pre-pandemic levels on rebound in oil, vaccines and trade
November 5, 2021--Real gross domestic product growth in North Africa was largely negative in 2020, at -1.1% with a -5.1 percentage point drop over 2019, the African Development Bank's 2021 edition of the North Africa Economic Outlook reports.
Released on November 3, the report finds that in 2020, North African economies experienced three shocks: the Covid-19 pandemic, a collapse in oil prices and a steep drop in tourism. Growth was also cut short due, in part, to sharp contractions in the region's main trading partners. This output loss was found to be less severe than projected on account of prompt interventions by governments to mitigate the impacts of the pandemic.
Egypt managed to achieve positive growth (+3.6%), one of the few countries in the world to do so in 2020. On the other hand, Libya's economy contracted by -60.3%, Tunisia’s by -8.8%, Morocco’s by -7.1%, Algeria’s by -4.6%, and Mauritania's by 3.6%.
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Source: African Development Bank
Are foreign investors buying on Nairobi Securities Exchange?
November 3, 2021--Trading by foreign investors was picking up at Kenya's Nairobi Securities Exchange last month, just as the NSE20 index of blue chip prices retreated. A report by stockbroker AIB-AXYS Africa forecasts a strong last quarter: "Banking, manufacturing stocks and the NSE's sole listed telco Safaricom are tipped to lead in market performance in the last quarter of the year as the effects of the easing of curfew restrictions filter through into the economy".
During the first 3 weeks of October, foreign participation in the NSE trading was 64% of the total trading, up from 48.5% in August and 49.9% in September. The average was 64.7% in 2020.
In terms of value traded on the NSE, the Statistical Bulletin Q3 2021 from the regulator Capital Markets Authority (CMA) shows equities turnover in the quarter to September was KES 31.4bn ($282m), down 17% from KES 38bn in Q2.
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Source: africancapitalmarketsnews.com
Nigeria: With Digital Currency, Nigeria's GDP Projected to Rise By $29bn in 10 Years-Buhari
October 26, 2021-- President Muhammadu Buhari on Monday declared that with the introduction of digital currency by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) the nation's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is projected to rise by $29 billion in the next 10 years.
He also stressed for emphasis that Nigeria was the first country in Africa and one of the first in the world to introduce digital currency to her citizens.
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Source: allafrica.com
Africa: China's Reach Into Africa's Digital Sector Worries Experts
October 22, 2021--Chinese companies like Huawei and the Transsion group are responsible for much of the digital infrastructure and smartphones used in Africa. Chinese phones built in Africa come with already installed apps for mobile money transfer services that increase the reach of Chinese tech companies.
But while many Africans may find the availability of such technology useful, the trend worries some experts on data management.
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Source: allafrica.com
Africa's mobile economy in numbers
October 22, 2021--Here are some estimates of the growth potential of the mobile economy in sub-Saharan Africa, according to industry association GSMA. The GSMA report The Mobile Economy Sub-Saharan Africa was published Sept 2021 with figures up to December 2020.
By end of 2020, 495m people were subscribed to mobile services in Sub-Saharan Africa, 46% of the population and up 20% on 2019.
Primary source of growth in new users is young people owning a mobile phone for the first time, as 40% of population are under 15 years old.
It is estimated there will be 120m new subscribers by 2025 to 615m (share of population 50%). This is 4.4% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over 2020-2025. Out of the new subscribers, 22m will be in Nigeria and 15m will be in Ethiopia.
SIM Connections will rise from 930m in 2020 to 1.12bn by 2025, which is CAGR 4.8%
Mobile internet: In 2020, 303m were connected to mobile internet (28% of the population), and the estimate is there will be 170m more by 2025 (40% of the population) to 474m, CAGR 9.3%.
Mobile technologies and services generated over $130bn (8% of GDP) and this will be $155bn by 2025.
Transactions on mobile money platforms were $490bn end 2020.
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Source: africancapitalmarketsnews.com
Nigerian Stocks Climb By N237 Billion As Big-Cap Stocks Strengthen Gains
October 22, 2021--The all-share index jumped 454.40 points to 41,704.11, while market capitalisation rose to N21.8 trillion at the end of trade.
Nigerian stocks advanced by 1.1 per cent or N237.1 billion on Thursday as investors continued to take a risk-off stance in equities, helping to build a positive atmosphere around the market as the earnings season shapes up gradually.
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Source: allafrica.com
Nigeria retains third most attractive investment destination in Africa
October 14, 2021--Nigeria has retained its spot as the third most attractive country in Africa for foreign investment in 2021 according to the Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 report.
23 African countries were surveyed in the report which used six pillars to rank their openness and attractiveness to foreign investment with South Africa and Mauritius coming first and second respectively.
The report also noted that "South Africa, Mauritius and Nigeria maintain their lead in the index, despite having lower overall
scores than last year's."
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Source: punchng.com
Nigeria: EconomyInvestment Experts Weigh CBN's 2.86% Forecast
October 6, 2021--Investment analysts have said that the Central Bank of Nigeria's (CBN) projection of economic growth at 2.86 percent for 2021 is credible only to the extent that the expansion recorded in the second quarter of the year (Q2, 2021) was driven by the base effect in 2020.
They stated that the country might record a higher growth beginning first quarter 2022 following a pick-up in fiscal spending ahead of the general election.
The CBN had effected a downward review of the economic growth forecast to 2.86 percent for 2021 from 3.15 percent earlier projected despite the expansion in the economy in the second quarter of the year. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) had pegged Q2'21 GDP growth at 5.01 percent.
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Source: allafrica.com
Africa's Pulse Volume 24-October 2021-Climate Change Adaptation and Economic Transformation in Sub-Saharan Africa
October 5, 2021--Africa's Pulse is a biannual analysis of the near-term macroeconomic outlook for the region, published around the World Bank/IMF Spring and Annual meetings each April and October. Each issue also includes a special focus on a particular development challenge that is shaping Africa's economic future.
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view the Africa's Pulse, No. 24, October 2021 : An Analysis of Issues Shaping Africa's Economic Future
Source: World Bank
Africa: Is the Resource Curse Hard-Baked Into African Economies? China's Approach Hints That It May Not Be
October 4, 2021--Countries with abundant natural resources- gold, diamonds, crude oil- often fail to transform that advantage into favourable development outcomes. This is known as the natural resource curse. Countries like Nigeria, Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo are often cited as examples.
Several explanations have been offered for the resource course. These include the lack of government accountability usually associated with large windfalls from natural resources relative to other sources of tax revenues. Others are an increase in the local currency against major currencies such as the US dollar, which makes it difficult for other sectors of the economy to compete globally. This is referred to as the Dutch Disease, named after the economic crisis that hit the Netherlands in the mid-1970s after the discovery of oil in the North Sea.
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Source: allafrica.com
