Global ETF News
Global goods trade on track for gradual recovery despite lingering downside risks
October 10, 2024--Global goods trade is projected to post a 2.7% increase in 2024, up slightly from the previous estimate of 2.6%, WTO economists said in an updated forecast on 10 October.
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| Services trade has a more favourable outlook compared to goods according to leading indicators. In the October 2024 update of "Global Trade Outlook and Statistics," WTO economists note that global merchandise trade turned upwards in the first half of 2024 with a 2.3% year-on-year increase, which should be followed by further moderate expansion in the rest of the year and in 2025. The rebound comes on the heels of a -1.1% slump in 2023 driven by high inflation and rising interest rates. World real GDP growth at market exchange rates is expected to remain steady at 2.7% in 2024 and 2025. |
IMF-Fiscal Monitor October 2024: Putting a Lid on Public DebtOctober 23, 2024--Global public debt is elevated. It is projected to exceed US$100 trillion in 2024 and will rise over the medium term. This chapter shows that risks to the debt outlook are heavily tilted to the upside. In a severely adverse scenario, global debt is estimated to be nearly 20 percentage points of GDP higher three years ahead than the baseline projection, reaching 115 percent of GDP. |
Global Financial Fragilities Mount Despite Rate Cuts and Buoyant MarketsOctober 22, 2024-- Increased investor risk-taking could fuel vulnerabilities |
IMF-As Inflation Recedes, Global Economy Needs Policy Triple PivotOctober 22, 2024--Let’s start with the good news: it looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year, slightly below the average during the two decades before the pandemic. |
China stimulus unleashes ETF buying spree in US and EuropeOctober 10, 2024-A scramble for Chinese equities united the global investment industry last month, just as attitudes towards European and Japanese stock markets became heavily bifurcated along geographical lines. |
OECD headline inflation drops to 4.7% in August 2024 as energy inflation declinesOctober 3, 2024--"Year-on-year inflation in the OECD as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 4.7% in August 2024 from 5.4% in July.".
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BIS-Monetary policy in an era of supply headwinds-do the old principles still stand?October 2, 2024--Adverse supply shocks have played a significant role in the post-pandemic inflation surge, when inflation rates in advanced economies reached levels not seen since the 1970s. The future is likely to bring more volatile inflation due to less elastic supply capacities and more frequent adverse supply shocks, necessitating a re-evaluation of monetary policy principles and frameworks |
WEF-Chief Economists Outlook: September 2024September 25, 2024--The September 2024 Chief Economists Outlook explores key trends in the global economy, including the latest outlook for growth, inflation, monetary and fiscal policy, the implications of high public debt levels, and the prospects for a new growth agenda. |
OECD: Global economy is turning the corner as inflation declines and trade growth strengthensSeptember 25, 2024--The global economy is turning the corner as growth remained resilient through the first half of 2024, with declining inflation, though significant risks remain, according to the OECD's latest Interim Economic Outlook.
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