G20 GDP growth remains relatively stable in the second quarter of 2024
September 12, 2024--Gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the G20 area remained relatively stable in Q2 2024, with a 0.7% quarter-on-quarter increase according to provisional estimates, slightly down from 0.8% in the previous quarter (Figure 1).
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China, India, and the United States contributed the most to G20's economic growth in Q2 2024, 1 although Brazil and Saudi Arabia saw the highest growth rates (both at 1.4%). Growth in both China and India slowed (from 1.5% to 0.7% and from 1.7% to 1.3%, respectively). Japan saw a significant recovery, from a 0.6% contraction in Q1 to a 0.7% expansion in Q2, whereas the United States recorded a more modest increase, from 0.4% to 0.7%. The remaining G20 countries experienced weaker growth than the G20 as a whole, with GDP in Korea and Germany even contracting (by 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively). Growth in Turkey slowed sharply, from 1.4% to 0.1%. France, Italy, and the United Kingdom recorded minor decreases (with growth rates of 0.2%, 0.2% and 0.6% respectively). On the other hand, Canada and Mexico saw small increases (to 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively), while growth picked up in South Africa to 0.4% in Q2, after no growth in Q1. Growth remained stable in Australia at 0.2% and little change was observed in the European Union and the euro area, both zones recording 0.2% in Q2 compared to 0.3% in Q1 2024. |
IMF-Fiscal Monitor October 2024: Putting a Lid on Public DebtOctober 23, 2024--Global public debt is elevated. It is projected to exceed US$100 trillion in 2024 and will rise over the medium term. This chapter shows that risks to the debt outlook are heavily tilted to the upside. In a severely adverse scenario, global debt is estimated to be nearly 20 percentage points of GDP higher three years ahead than the baseline projection, reaching 115 percent of GDP. |
IMF-As Inflation Recedes, Global Economy Needs Policy Triple PivotOctober 22, 2024--Let’s start with the good news: it looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year, slightly below the average during the two decades before the pandemic. |
China stimulus unleashes ETF buying spree in US and EuropeOctober 10, 2024-A scramble for Chinese equities united the global investment industry last month, just as attitudes towards European and Japanese stock markets became heavily bifurcated along geographical lines. |
OECD headline inflation drops to 4.7% in August 2024 as energy inflation declinesOctober 3, 2024--"Year-on-year inflation in the OECD as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 4.7% in August 2024 from 5.4% in July.".
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BIS-Monetary policy in an era of supply headwinds-do the old principles still stand?October 2, 2024--Adverse supply shocks have played a significant role in the post-pandemic inflation surge, when inflation rates in advanced economies reached levels not seen since the 1970s. The future is likely to bring more volatile inflation due to less elastic supply capacities and more frequent adverse supply shocks, necessitating a re-evaluation of monetary policy principles and frameworks |
WEF-Chief Economists Outlook: September 2024September 25, 2024--The September 2024 Chief Economists Outlook explores key trends in the global economy, including the latest outlook for growth, inflation, monetary and fiscal policy, the implications of high public debt levels, and the prospects for a new growth agenda. |
OECD: Global economy is turning the corner as inflation declines and trade growth strengthensSeptember 25, 2024--The global economy is turning the corner as growth remained resilient through the first half of 2024, with declining inflation, though significant risks remain, according to the OECD's latest Interim Economic Outlook.
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