Australia: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2025 Article IV Mission
you are currently viewing:Australia: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2025 Article IV MissionNovember 20, 2025-Australia is managing a soft landing amid global uncertainty: inflation has declined significantly, the labor market is still strong, and private demand is recovering. The economy is gaining momentum, with growth forecast at 1.8 percent in 2025 and 2.1 percent in 2026. However, global developments including elevated trade tensions, along with uncertainty around the momentum in private consumption and labor market conditions, pose risks to growth and inflation. Macroeconomic policies are gradually approaching neutral settings as the economy is returning to balance. Given elevated uncertainty, scenario planning and agility in policy adjustment are essential. If global or domestic risks materialize, monetary policy should adjust, complemented by fiscal automatic stabilizers. Boosting Australia's growth prospects requires continued efforts to tackle fiscal and structural challenges. Comprehensive tax reform and greater spending efficiency can maintain fiscal sustainability, enhance economic resilience, and boost productivity. Driving durable productivity growth also requires careful prioritizing and bundling of reforms around technology, competition, labor markets, and the green transition. Source: imf.org |
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