A Bridge to Economic Recovery: Be Aware of Financial Stability Risks
October 13, 2020--Despite a global economic crisis comparable only to the Great Depression, near-term financial stability risks have been contained with the help of unprecedented monetary policy easing and massive fiscal support across the globe. But many economies had pre-existing vulnerabilities-which are now intensifying, representing potential headwinds to the recovery.
Extraordinary policy measures have stabilized markets, boosted investors' sentiment, and maintained the flow of credit to the global economy. Critically, these measures helped prevent a slowing economy and sliding financial markets from feeding on each other in a destructive vicious cycle.
The rebound in asset prices and the easing in global financial conditions have benefited not only advanced economies, but also emerging markets. In addition, unlike in previous crises, emerging markets this time were also able to respond by cutting policy rates, injecting liquidity and, for the first time, employing asset purchase programs.
view the IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Bridge to Recovery October 2020
Source: IMF
World Energy Outlook 2020 shows how the response to the Covid crisis can reshape the future of energy
October 13, 2020--Amid deep disruption and uncertainty caused by the pandemic, a surge in well-designed energy policies is needed to put the world on track for a resilient energy system that can meet climate goals
It has been a tumultuous year for the global energy system. The Covid-19 crisis has caused more disruption than any other event in recent history, leaving scars that will last for years to come.
But whether this upheaval ultimately helps or hinders efforts to accelerate clean energy transitions and reach international energy and climate goals will depend on how governments respond to today's challenges.
The World Energy Outlook 2020, the International Energy Agency's flagship publication, focuses on the pivotal period of the next 10 years, exploring different pathways out of the crisis. The new report provides the latest IEA analysis of the pandemic's impact: global energy demand is set to drop by 5% in 2020, energy-related CO2 emissions by 7%, and energy investment by 18%. The WEO's established approach -comparing different scenarios that show how the energy sector could develop- is more valuable than ever in these uncertain times. The four pathways presented in this WEO are described in more detail at the end of this press release.
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA)
All roads lead to Paris: Looking ahead to the low-carbon transition
October 12, 2020--The need to respond to climate change is triggering perhaps the largest and fastest economic transition since the Industrial Revolution. That transition-driven by policy, public concern and innovation-will create and destroy enormous amounts of value, posing challenges for investors attempting to navigate a fundamental reshaping of the global economy.
Over recent decades, an overwhelming consensus has emerged among climate scientists of the need to substantially decarbonize the global economy by the second half of this century. That consensus is reflected in the international policy framework created by the Paris Agreement on climate change, and the policies that national governments are increasingly putting in place to encourage this decarbonization.
Source: FTSE Russell
ETFGI reports year-to-date net inflows into ETFs and ETPs listed globally at the end of Q3 are at a record level of US$ 488.18 billion
October 12, 2020--ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm covering trends in the global ETFs and ETPs ecosystem, reported today that ETFs and ETPs listed globally gathered net inflows of US$59.74 billion during September, bringing year-to-date net inflows to record level of US$488.18 billion which is significantly higher than the US$349 billion gathered at this point last year.
Assets invested in the global ETFs/ETPs industry decreased by 1.8%, from US$7.01 trillion at the end of August 2020, to US$6.89 trillion at the end of September, according to ETFGI's September 2020 Global ETFs and ETPs industry landscape insights report, the monthly report which is part of an annual paid-for research subscription service. (All dollar values in USD unless otherwise noted.)
Highlights
ETFs and ETPs listed globally gathered net inflows of $59.74 billion during September.
Year-to-date net inflows at the end of Q3 are at a record level of US$ 488.18 billion.
Source: ETFGI
Debt Burden of Least Developed Countries continues to climb to a record $744 billion in 2019
October 12, 2020--More detailed and more disaggregated data on sovereign debt will help implement debt relief efforts in least developed countries
In response to an urgent need for greater debt transparency, the latest edition of the International Debt Statistics (IDS) report provides more detailed and more disaggregated data on external debt than ever before in its nearly 70-year history-including breakdowns of what each borrowing country owes to official and private creditors in each creditor country, and the expected month-by-month debt-service payments owed to them through 2021.
Before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, rising public debt levels were already a cause for concern, particularly in many of the world’s poorest countries as discussed in our Four Waves of Debt report published in December 2019. Responding to a call from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, the G20 endorsed the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) in April 2020 to help up to 73 of the poorest countries manage the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Source: World Bank
Unemployment Main Concern for Business Leaders but Climate is Moving Up List of Top Risks
October 7, 2020--Unemployment is main concern among executives, closely followed by infectious diseases, while fiscal crisis is third as top risks for doing business
Climate risks such as natural catastrophes and biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse are moving up the list
The findings of Regional Risks for Doing Business 2020 are based on a survey of over 12,000 business leaders from 127 countries; discover live interactive data here
The data is released ahead of the World Economic Forum's inaugural Jobs Reset Summit (20-23 October) which aims to shape inclusive, fair and sustainable economies, societies and workplaces.
Unemployment is the main concern for business executives globally, with fiscal crisis - the top concern in 2019- coming third, according to the World Economic Forum’s interactive map on Regional Risks for Doing Business 2020. Infectious diseases progressed 28 spots and is the second most recurring risk, appearing in the top 10 in all regions except South Asia. Surveyed regions include East Asia and the Pacific, Eurasia, Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, Middle East and North Africa, North America, South Asia, sub-Saharan Africa. The survey pulls 30 risks, including terrorist attacks, extreme weather events and state collapse or crisis.
Source: weforum.org
OECD Economic Outlook-Interim Report September 2020
October 2, 2020--The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. Prepared by the OECD Economics Department, the Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, government spending, prices and current balances based on a review of each member country and of the induced effect on each of them on international developments.
Source: OECD
OECD-Building confidence crucial amid an uncertain economic recovery
September 16, 2020--With the COVID-19 pandemic continuing to threaten jobs, businesses and the health and well-being of millions amid exceptional uncertainty, building confidence will be crucial to ensure that economies recover and adapt, says the OECD's Interim Economic Outlook.
After an unprecedented collapse in the first half of the year, economic output recovered swiftly following the easing of containment measures and the initial re-opening of businesses, but the pace of recovery has lost some momentum more recently.
New restrictions being imposed in some countries to tackle the resurgence of the virus are likely to have slowed growth, the report says.
Uncertainty remains high and the strength of the recovery varies markedly between countries and between business sectors. Prospects for an inclusive, resilient and sustainable economic growth will depend on a range of factors including the likelihood of new outbreaks of the virus, how well individuals observe health measures and restrictions, consumer and business confidence, and the extent to which government support to maintain jobs and help businesses succeeds in boosting demand.
view the OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report Coronavirus (COVID-19): Living with uncertainty
Source: OECD
Markets rose despite subdued economic recovery: BIS Quarterly Review
September 14, 2020--Financial markets gained despite a weak economic outlook and evidence of deteriorating credit quality.
Monetary and fiscal policy underpinned high valuations, particularly in advanced economies.
Concerns emerged about a disconnection between some risky asset classes and economic prospects.
Financial markets largely recovered from March's acute stress, according to the third BIS Quarterly Review1 of 2020. This was supported by both monetary and fiscal policy, and investor sentiment arising from better than expected economic indicators in the initial aftermath of the lockdown phase of the pandemic.
However, the Review indicates that the economy's upturn has been uneven and corporate balance sheets remain fragile. The associated concern of stretched valuations being disconnected from underlying economic prospects, most notably in some segments of the equity and corporate credit markets, has since been reflected in the recent stock market sell-off.
Source: BIS
Private Sector Climate Finance After the Crisis
September 9, 2020--Climate investments in the emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) have so far fallen well short of what is required to meet targets set in the 2015 Paris Agreement. National commitments ahead of the 2021 UN climate summit will further underline the discrepancy.
Climate finance in the EMDEs has been dominated by public sources and development funds, while private investors, local capital markets, and green banking became significant only recently.
This paper surveys the incentives for the provision of dedicated green financial products by private investors and lenders in EMDEs, and the related challenges for regulators.
Source: cgdev.org