Global ETF News Older than One Year
DCGX Academy: Jul: Risk Return : US Jobs 80,000 Vs 100,000 forecast, joblessness stays at 8.2 %
July 9, 2012--HIGHLIGHTS
COMMODITIES
Oil recovers after two weeks slide as Norway Concerns Linger
Gold Declines as US Jobs data revives risk concerns
Copper rises as China comments on stimulus
Copper Declines 1.2% in Shanghai to 55,040 Yuan per Metric Ton
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Euro Touches 2-Year Low.
Analysts see Euro decline , effecting Options
Asians decline as US Jobs data less than forecast
Spanish Banks Need to Be Re-Capitalized Moscovici
AUD, NZD at one month low Versus Yen
Source: DCGX Academy
A decent kick down the road
July 9, 2012--In this issue of Macro Matters, we view the results of the EU summit through the prism of our LSE (Liquidity, Surprises, Events) framework for determining risk on/risk off. In short, the expectations for the EU summit were so low that the outcome, a substantial reduction in EU fragmentation risk, can be viewed as positive in the short run.
Indeed, if the summit had failed to achieve any progress, the implications for the length and depth of the current global economic slowdown would no doubt have been dire. In this scenario, we think slowdown would have worsened despite already extremely modest expectations for economic activity around the world. While we are still far away from a complete plan to hold the EU together (forget implementation), and at least a few months away from the end of the soft patch in global growth, downside risks to the economic outlook have fallen as has the risk of Euro fragmentation. The potential failure of the ECB to reinforce this progress at its meeting this Friday is our main concern.
1. What exactly did the EU summit accomplish?
At last week’s summit, the EU needed to relieve the intensifying financial market volatility reflected in rising yields on Spanish and Italian bonds. To achieve this, it had to present credible short-term measures, as well as a medium-term plan, to convince investors there is a credible way out of debt and deficits in the EU. To cut a long story short, there were three broad areas in which progress was urgent going into the summit: 1) a convincing backstop for countries in crisis involving the provision of sufficient liquidity to sovereigns and banks; 2) a plan for at least a Euro Area banking union; and 3) measures designed to boost medium-term growth (i.e. potential GDP so the ability to pay improves).
view the report-A decent kick down the road
Source: Mirae Asset Management
Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Indexes June 2012 Performance Report
July 9, 2012--The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index was up 5.49% for the month of June. The
Dow Jones-UBS Single Commodity Indexes for corn, soybean meal and wheat had the strongest gains with
month-end returns of 25.40%, 15.52% and 14.39%, respectively.
The three most significant downside performing single commodity indexes were aluminum, tin and feeder cattle, which ended the month down 4.59%, 4.07%, and 3.41% respectively. Year to date, the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index is down 3.74% with the Dow Jones-UBS Soybean Meal Subindex posting the highest gain of 43.75% so far in 2012. Dow Jones-UBS Natural Gas Subindex has the most significant downside YTD performance, down 28.17%.
Source: Mondovisione
Dow Jones Islamic Market Titans 100 Index Closed Up 4.66% In June-Index Measures Performance Of 100 Of World's Leading Shari'ah-Compliant Stocks
Dow Jones Islamic Market Asia/Pacific Titans 25 Index, Dow Jones Islamic Market Europe Titans 25 Index End June In Positive Territory -Dow Jones Islamic Market U.S. Titans 50 Index Gained 4.21%
July 9, 2012--The Dow Jones Islamic Market Titans 100 Index finished June up 4.66%, according to data compiled by S&P Dow Jones Indices. The index measures the performance of 100 of the world's leading Shari'ah-compliant stocks.
The Dow Jones Global Titans 50 Index, which measures the world’s 50 largest companies, posted a June gain of 5.65%.
Regionally, the Dow Jones Islamic Market Asia/Pacific Titans 25 Index, which measures the performance of 25 of the leading Shari’ah-compliant stocks in the Asia/Pacific region, increased 2.63% in June; the Dow Jones Asian Titans 50 Index advanced 5.20%.
In Europe, the Dow Jones Islamic Market Europe Titans 25 Index, which measures the performance of the 25 the leading Shari’ah-compliant stocks in Europe, rose 7.08% in June; the Dow Jones Europe Titans 80 Index, which measures the performance of 80 blue-chip stocks traded in the developed markets of Europe, gained 8.31%.
Source: Mondovisione
EPFR Global Fund Data News Release-Data, earnings reports, central banks and Europe keep investor compasses spinning
July 6, 2012--Those investors hoping for a more communal approach to underwriting Eurozone debts and further monetary easing got at least some of what they were looking for in early July.
But those steps came against a backdrop of profit warnings and dour macroeconomic data that kept any animal spirits firmly in check. Flows into all EPFR Global-tracked Bond Funds during the week ending July 4 were about a fifth of their year-to-date weekly average while US Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) accounted for nearly all of the net $8.93 billion absorbed by Equity Funds.
Visit http://www.epfr.com for more info.
Source: EPFR Global
IMF Working paper-The (Other) Deleveraging
July 6, 2012--Summary: Deleveraging has two components--shrinking of balance sheets due to increased haircuts/shedding of assets, and the reduction in the interconnectedness of the financial system.
We focus on the second aspect and show that post-Lehman there has been a significant decline in the interconnectedness in the pledged collateral market between banks and nonbanks. We find that both the collateral and its associated velocity are not rebounding as of end-2011 and still about $4-5 trillion lower than the peak of $10 trillion as of end-2007. This paper updates Singh (2011) and we use this data to compare with the monetary aggregates (largely due to QE efforts in US, Euro area and UK), and discuss the overall financial lubrication that likely impacts the conduct of global monetary policy.
view the IMF Working paper-The (Other) Deleveraging
Source: IMF
IMF Working paper-Intertwined Sovereign and Bank Solvencies in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Crisis
July 6, 2012--Summary: Large fiscal financing needs, both in advanced and emerging market economies, have often been met by borrowing heavily from domestic banks.
As public debt approached sustainability limits in a number of countries, however, high bank exposure to sovereign risk created a fragile inter-dependence between fiscal and bank solvency. This paper presents a simple model of twin (sovereign and banking) crisis that stresses how this interdependence creates conditions conducive to a self-fulfilling crisis.
Source: IMF
BCBS and IOSCO issue consultative paper on margin requirements for non-centrally-cleared derivatives
July 6, 2012--The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision and the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) have today published a consultative paper on margin requirements for non-centrally-cleared derivatives.
The paper is available on the websites of the Bank for International Settlements and IOSCO.
In 2009, the G20 Leaders initiated a reform programme to reduce the systemic risk of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives markets. In particular, a number of measures were agreed to enhance the transparency and regulation of OTC derivatives, including mandatory central clearing. However, mandatory clearing requirements will capture only standardised OTC derivatives. Non-standardised products will thus continue to be non-centrally cleared and will remain subject to bilateral counterparty risk management. In 2011, the G20 Leaders agreed to add margin requirements on non-centrally-cleared derivatives to the reform programme. These requirements can further mitigate systemic risk in the derivatives markets. In addition, they can encourage standardisation and promote central clearing of derivatives by reflecting the generally higher risk of non-centrally-cleared derivatives. The consultative paper published today lays out a set of high-level principles on margining practices and treatment of collateral, and proposes margin requirements for non-centrally-cleared derivatives.
view the Consultative Document-Margin requirements for non-centrally-cleared derivatives
Source: IOSCO
MSCI Indices Q2 2012 Performance Results-Volatile Global Markets Generate Losses
Global markets produced almost universally negative returns, eroding the semblance of recovery glimpsed in Q1 2012
Only a handful of individual Emerging and Frontier Markets countries posted modest positive returns
High volatility prevailed
July 6, 2012--MSCI Inc. (NYSE: MSCI), a leading provider of investment decision support tools worldwide, including indices, portfolio risk and performance analytics and corporate governance services, today published the Q2 2012 performance of its MSCI Global Equity Indices, revealing widespread negative returns across global markets.
These results significantly pared back the positive gains of Q1 2012; however, year-to-date (YTD) 2012 global market returns for the most part remained in modest positive territory. Major financial markets worldwide showed negative returns across all size segments in Q2 2012. MSCI ACWI IMI, comprised of close to 9,000 large, mid and small cap securities across 24 Developed and 21 Emerging Markets countries, for example, delivered a negative return of -6.44% for the quarter, resulting in a YTD 2012 return of 4.37%1.
Source: MSCI
Global Foreign Direct Investment losing momentum in 2012, though prospects for 2013 and 2014 are cautiously optimistic, UNCTAD Report says
Investment inflows climbed 16 per cent in 2011, World Investment Report 2012 finds, but economic uncertainty around world now making itself felt
July 5, 2012--Global foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows rose 16 per cent in 2011, surpassing the 2005-2007 pre-crisis level for the first time, despite the continuing effects of the global financial and economic crisis and the current debt crisis in Europe, UNCTAD's annual survey of investment trends reports.
The World Investment Report 20121 , subtitled “Towards a New Generation of Investment Policies”, was released today.
A resurgence of economic uncertainty and the possibility of lower growth rates in major emerging markets risk undercutting FDI in 2012, the report contends. UNCTAD predicts the growth rate of FDI will slow in 2012, with flows levelling off at around $1.6 trillion. Leading indicators are suggestive of this trend, with the value of both cross-border mergers and acquisitions and greenfield investments retreating in the first five months of 2012.
UNCTAD projections for the medium term based on macroeconomic fundamentals continue to show FDI flows increasing at a moderate but steady pace, reaching $1.8 trillion in 2013 and $1.9 trillion in 2014, barring any macroeconomic shocks. Investor uncertainty on the course of economic events for this period is still high, with UNCTAD’s annual survey of executives of transnational corporations (TNCs) finding that roughly half of respondents are either neutral or undecided about the state of the global investment climate in 2012.
view the UN report-World Investment Report 2012
Source: UN
