EPFR News Release-Europe emerges as unlikely haven as US economic policy unsettles markets
October 4, 2013--After a quarter spent debating when-and how hard-the US Federal Reserve would tap the brakes on its current quantitative easing program, investors headed into 4Q13 wondering if US lawmakers are going to drive over the fiscal cliff with the throttle wide open.
Flows into fund groups dedicated to riskier assets, which began to pick up in late September after the Fed decided not to 'taper' QE3 in October, faltered again as parts of the US government began to shut down and the space under the current debt ceiling dwindled.
Based on flows into EPFR Global-tracked funds during the third quarter, a consensus of sorts is emerging from the latest bout of uncertainty. Investors now expect that, by way of deliberate action on the part of the Fed or as a consequence of political gridlock, US borrowing costs will keep rising. This will slow but not stop the current recovery in the US economy but will make life more difficult for emerging markets, especially those with above average inflation rates or current account deficits. It will also enhance the relative appeal of Japan and Europe, both of which are enjoying a period of relative stability, in both political and policy terms, as well as a pick-up in economic growth.
Between July and September combined monthly and daily data shows Europe Equity Funds posting their biggest quarterly inflow since EPFR Global started tracking them and Japan Equity Funds remaining on course to smash their full-year inflow record set in 2005.
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Source: EPFR
According to ETFGI: Global ETF and ETP assets reached US$2.22 trillion, a new record high, at the end of Q3 2013
October 4, 2013--Strong net inflows of US$35 billion in September and positive market performance helped to push global ETF and ETP assets to US$2.22 trillion, a new record high, at the end of Q3 2013, according to ETFGI's Q3 2013 Global ETF and ETP industry insights report.
The Global ETF/ETP industry now has 4,982 ETFs/ETPs, with 10,019 listing, from 212 providers listed on 57 exchanges.
"The Federal Reserve's decision in their last meeting to maintain the QE scheme at its current size and positive market performance encouraged investors to put net inflows of US$35 billion back into the market through ETFs/ETPs" according to Deborah Fuhr, Managing Partner at ETFGI.
Year to date (YTD) net inflows into ETFs/ETPs are at US$168.9 billion, which is below the US$188.4 billion at this time in 2012. Equity ETFs/ETPs gathered the largest net inflows with US$29.3 billion, followed by fixed income with US$5.8 billion, and commodity with US$1.2 billion.
Source: ETFGI
ETF assets rise on positive market performance
October 4, 2013--ETF assets rise on positive market performance Strong net inflows of $35bn in September and positive market performance helped to push global ETF and ETP assets to $2.22trn, a new record high, at the end of Q3 2013,according to an ETFGI report.
"The Federal Reserve’s decision in their last meeting to maintain the QE scheme at its current size and positive market performance encouraged investors to put net inflows of $35bn back into the market through ETFs/ETPs" says to Deborah Fuhr, managing partner at ETFGI.Year to date net inflows into ETFs/ETPs are at $168.9bn, which is below the $188.4bn at this time in 2012. Equity ETFs/ETPs gathered the largest net inflows with $29.3bn, followed by fixed income with $5.8bn, and commodity with $1.2bn.
Source: FTSE Global Markets
SPDR Market Commentary-Weekly Market Report
October 4, 2013--ECONOMIES: The government shutdown delays the release of key jobs data in the US. GDP rises solidly in Canada. Mortgage approvals rise in the UK. The European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Reserve Bank of Australia leave policy unchanged and very easy.
MARKETS: The US government shutdown erodes investor confidence. Equities are mostly lower. Although Italian equities and bonds rally as Premier Letta survives no-confidence vote. JPY and AUD are bid. For oil, the Brent/WTI spread narrows.
NEXT WEEK PREVIEWED
SPOTLIGHT: The Bank of England should leave policy unchanged. Retail sales likely post a meager gain in the US, although the shutdown may delay the report's release. Employment should rise moderately in Canada and Australia.
THE WEEK IN REVIEW
US
The EMPLOYMENT SITUATION report for September was not released on schedule because of the Federal government
shutdown, which has led to the furlough of roughly 800,000
"non-essential" government workers including those at the
Bureau of Labor Statistics responsible for the closely-followed
and indeed highly-anticipated employment data. ADP Employer
Services did release its independent estimate of private sector
payrolls for the month. We normally don't highlight this print
because it doesn't have a great track record of predicting the official jobs numbers. However, it's all we have for now.
ADP reported a moderate 166,000 gain in private payrolls for September, up from a downwardly revised 159,000 August gain.
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Source: SSgA
Fixed income ETP flows rebound in September
October 3, 2013--Fixed income exchange-traded products attracted $5.8 billion in net inflows in September, benefiting from the US Federal Reserve's decision not to begin
tapering and reversing strong outflows in the previous month..
Source: Financial News
IMF-Global Impact and Challenges of Unconventional Monetary Policies
October 3, 2013--Summary:This paper takes stock of unconventional monetary policies (UMP) and their impact so far, and looks ahead towards exit and prospects for policy coordination. It synthesizes earlier staff work on UMP,1 the findings of a substantial and growing academic and central banking literature, as well as further staff analysis contained in the Background Paper.
While some widely accepted conclusions have emerged from the large and growing number of studies on UMP, many important questions remain unsettled, as enough time has not elapsed to draw definitive conclusions. In those cases, the paper will pose the relevant questions and provide possible nswers, while recognizing the uncertainty that remains.
Source: IMF
Crucial China support for gold may fade
October 3, 2013--Where would we be without China? It is a question many people in the commodities industry have asked in recent years. But it has particular resonance for gold.
An explosion in physical demand from the second biggest economy has prevented a sharp sell-off from becoming a disorderly rout-and provided nervous investors with a reason to remain positive on gold as its 13-year bull run comes to an end.
Source: CNBC.com
Shocked Bitcoin backers reel after raid
October 3, 2013--"Sit him down at his computer and make him do it...Give him the note, let him use his computer to send the coins back, and then kill him ...Considering his arrest, I have to assume he will sing."
For the libertarians who championed Silk Road as a free market for drugs and other goods that governments have no business banning, and who back Bitcoin, its currency of choice, the indictment of the website's founder has been a shock.
Source: FT.com
Nasdaq and LSE speculation lingers
October 3, 2013--Speculation linking Nasdaq OMX in a tie-up with the London Stock Exchange Group revives one of the industry's longest-standing bid stories.
Bob Greifeld, chief executive of Nasdaq, went hostile seven years ago, with a £12.43 per share offer for the 69 per cent of LSE shares it didn't own. The LSE shareholders rebuffed the approach, and Nasdaq later sold its stake at a profit...
Source: FT.com
IntercontinentalExchange Update on Regulatory Approvals for NYSE Euronext Acquisition
October 2, 2013--IntercontinentalExchange (NYSE: ICE), a leading operator of global markets and clearing houses, provided the following update in regard to its acquisition of NYSE Euronext.
IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) and NYSE Euronext (NYSE) are pleased that the Chairmen's Committee of Euronext Regulators have issued a letter to ICE and NYSE Euronext indicating that they are "not minded to object" to the proposed merger between ICE and NYSE Euronext. With this important milestone achieved, ICE and NYSE Euronext now await final approvals to be issued by national authorities and regulatory bodies in each of the relevant European jurisdictions in order to complete the transaction.
Source: IntercontinentalExchange (NYSE: ICE)